Malbas vs Akersberga Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Oct 2024

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 108-65

27-12 29-24 30-9 22-20

Position#5

Record2-1

FormLLWLW

Points / game83.0

Allowed / game77.0

Malbas 🏆

Akersberga

Position#13

Record1-2

FormLWL

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game76.7

Superettan· Heleneholms Sporthall

Other2024-25

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malbas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Akersberga winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Malbas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMalbas

Date

Competition

KFUM Kalmar

#14

78-79 OT

-1

no box

A18/02

Superettan

Ockelbo

#10

66-51

+15

56avg 65

H03/03

Superettan

KFUM Kalmar

#14

79-84

-5

65avg 65

H09/03

Superettan

IK Eos

#11

81-83

-2

70avg 65

A13/03

Superettan

IK Eos

#11

85-72

+13

84avg 65

H27/03

Superettan

AIK Basket

84-89

-5

73avg 65

A06/04

Superettan

Tureberg

69-83

-14

58avg 65

A07/04

Superettan

Aros Basket

70-66

64avg 65

A21/09

Superettan

Ockelbo

71-79

-8

60avg 65

A22/09

Superettan

Blackeberg

#10

108-86

108

+22

107avg 65

H06/10

Superettan

21-21

15-15

15-21

18-12

13-15

17-11

18-10

18-15

19-23

17-21

23-23

20-17

17-21

18-20

21-18

25-24

20-15

14-19

28-13

23-25

23-18

19-27

19-20

23-24

16-25

16-12

19-20

18-26

16-18

14-17

20-21

20-10

20-26

13-22

15-21

23-10

32-17

35-24

20-31

21-14

156.3Avg total

79.1Scored

77.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	83.0	77.0	160.0	+6.0	67%
Season at home (1)	108.0	86.0	194.0	+22.0	100%
Season away (2)	70.5	72.5	143.0	-2.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	79.1	77.2	156.3	+1.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	80.6	161.0	-0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	70.9	78.2	149.1	-7.3	36%
vs Similar (15)	74.6	76.7	151.3	-2.1	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	83.8	73.8	157.5	+10.0	100%

This opponent (Akersberga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Akersberga Sweden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAkersberga

Date

Competition

Wetterbygden Stars

77-79

-2

63avg 70

H21/09

Superettan

IK Eos

#11

87-69

+18

82avg 70

H28/09

Superettan

IK Eos

#11

74-82

-8

63avg 70

A12/10

Superettan

20-18

29-24

15-16

13-21

26-10

22-23

19-11

20-25

25-21

12-23

16-17

21-21

156.0Avg total

79.3Scored

76.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	79.3	76.7	156.0	+2.7	33%
Season at home (2)	82.0	74.0	156.0	+8.0	50%
Season away (1)	74.0	82.0	156.0	-8.0	0%
Last 10 (3)	79.3	76.7	156.0	+2.7	33%
Last 5 (3)	79.3	76.7	156.0	+2.7	33%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	77.0	79.0	156.0	-2.0	0%
vs Similar (2)	80.5	75.5	156.0	+5.0	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Malbas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MalbasAkersberga

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.8	37.1	-0.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	17.7	36.3	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	19.9	37.9	-2.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.7	18.8	37.5	-0.1	45%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.5	19.2	36.7	-1.7	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	20.0	17.2	37.2	+2.8	25%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	23.7	16.3	40.0	+7.3	100%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	23.0	14.0	37.0	+9.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (1)	25.0	21.0	46.0	+4.0	100%	-
Last 10 (3)	23.7	16.3	40.0	+7.3	100%	-
Last 5 (3)	23.7	16.3	40.0	+7.3	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (2)	25.5	15.5	41.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	17.0	35.5	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	22.2	40.9	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	18.8	36.6	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.0	19.9	37.9	-1.9	45%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.6	19.4	37.0	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	24.2	19.5	43.8	+4.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	21.0	23.3	44.3	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	25.5	23.5	49.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (1)	12.0	23.0	35.0	-11.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	21.0	23.3	44.3	-2.3	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	21.0	23.3	44.3	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	29.0	24.0	53.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.0	23.0	40.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

MalbasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

KFUM Kalmar

#14

36-36

A18/02

Superettan

Ockelbo

#10

30-26

H03/03

Superettan

KFUM Kalmar

#14

36-44

-8

H09/03

Superettan

IK Eos

#11

35-41

-6

A13/03

Superettan

IK Eos

#11

34-34

H27/03

Superettan

AIK Basket

42-45

-3

A06/04

Superettan

Tureberg

32-37

-5

A07/04

Superettan

Aros Basket

30-35

-5

A21/09

Superettan

Ockelbo

33-48

-15

A22/09

Superettan

Blackeberg

#10

67-41

+26

H06/10

Superettan

76.2Avg total

37.5Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	38.4	75.3	-1.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	34.7	71.8	+2.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	42.1	78.8	-5.5	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	38.7	76.2	-1.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	41.2	82.0	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	36.7	38.7	75.5	-2.0	36%	-
vs Similar (15)	35.1	38.6	73.7	-3.5	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	44.2	36.8	81.0	+7.5	50%	-

This opponent (Akersberga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AkersbergaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Wetterbygden Stars

49-42

H21/09

Superettan

IK Eos

#11

48-33

+15

H28/09

Superettan

IK Eos

#11

37-44

-7

A12/10

Superettan

84.3Avg total

44.7Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	44.7	39.7	84.3	+5.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	48.5	37.5	86.0	+11.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (1)	37.0	44.0	81.0	-7.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	44.7	39.7	84.3	+5.0	67%	-
Last 5 (3)	44.7	39.7	84.3	+5.0	67%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	49.0	42.0	91.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar (2)	42.5	38.5	81.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Malbas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.7	37.5	-1.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	20.9	37.5	-4.2	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.6	41.2	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.3	19.8	37.1	-2.5	36%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.2	19.3	37.5	-1.1	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	18.0	20.8	38.8	-2.8	25%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	16.7	14.7	31.3	+2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	17.0	13.5	30.5	+3.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (1)	16.0	17.0	33.0	-1.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	16.7	14.7	31.3	+2.0	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	16.7	14.7	31.3	+2.0	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	15.0	16.0	31.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.5	14.0	31.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.4	37.9	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	19.8	37.9	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	17.1	37.9	+3.7	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	17.7	38.6	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	16.8	37.8	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.9	19.6	36.5	-2.7	27%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.7	18.1	38.9	+2.6	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	21.5	16.2	37.8	+5.2	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	18.0	22.3	40.3	-4.3	0%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	16.5	23.0	39.5	-6.5	0%	-
Last 30 away (1)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	18.0	22.3	40.3	-4.3	0%	-
Last 5 (3)	18.0	22.3	40.3	-4.3	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	13.0	21.0	34.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.5	23.0	43.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	38.1	75.4	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	38.3	75.3	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	37.9	75.4	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	37.5	78.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	39.4	79.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	34.2	39.5	73.6	-5.3	27%	-
vs Similar (15)	38.9	37.4	76.3	+1.5	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	39.5	37.0	76.5	+2.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	34.7	37.0	71.7	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	33.5	36.5	70.0	-3.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (1)	37.0	38.0	75.0	-1.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	34.7	37.0	71.7	-2.3	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	34.7	37.0	71.7	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	28.0	37.0	65.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	38.0	37.0	75.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Malbastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas: 76.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game

51%

31%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.7	21.3	49.9%	49.8%	42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.8	7.5	31.5%	30.1%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	17.8	11.8	66.3%	67.1%	11.8

They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Akersbergatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akersberga: 78.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game

51%

31%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	19.0	44.9%	49.8%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	8.7	31.7%	30.1%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	21.0	14.7	69.8%	67.1%	14.7

They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.8	18.0	51.7%	49.8%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	9.4	34.7%	30.1%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	19.3	13.2	68.4%	67.1%	13.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	52.7	22.7	43.0%	49.8%	45.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	4.3	18.1%	30.1%	13.0
🏀 Free throws	25.0	17.7	70.7%	67.1%	17.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.2	20.5	48.7%	49.8%	41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.9	7.0	30.7%	30.1%	21.1
🏀 Free throws	17.3	11.0	63.7%	67.1%	11.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	17.9	50.9%	49.8%	35.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.1	8.7	33.3%	30.1%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	20.3	13.9	68.6%	67.1%	13.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	52.7	22.7	43.0%	49.8%	45.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	4.3	18.1%	30.1%	13.0
🏀 Free throws	25.0	17.7	70.7%	67.1%	17.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Malbas

WLWLLWLLWL

Akersberga

LWL

League position

#13

-0.6

Net rating

+3.0

98.1

Offensive rating

87.9

98.8

Defensive rating

85.0

48.9%

Effective FG%

45.9%

51.9%

Opp. effective FG%

38.0%

18.8%

Turnover %

19.6%

26.4%

Off. rebound %

24.2%

0.27

Free-throw rate

0.30

31.5%

3-point %

31.7%

56.9%

Assist %

59.0%

40%

Form (last 10/3)

33%

Profile

■ Malbas ■ Akersberga

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Malbas wins

Akersberga wins

No previous meetings.

Malbaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/10/24	H	Blackeberg	108-86
22/09/24	A	Ockelbo	71-79
21/09/24	A	Aros Basket	70-66
07/04/24	A	Tureberg	69-83
06/04/24	A	AIK Basket	84-89
27/03/24	H	IK Eos	85-72
13/03/24	A	IK Eos	81-83
09/03/24	H	KFUM Kalmar	79-84
03/03/24	H	Ockelbo	66-51
18/02/24	A	KFUM Kalmar	78-79 OT

Akersbergalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/10/24	A	IK Eos	74-82
28/09/24	H	IK Eos	87-69
21/09/24	H	Wetterbygden Stars	77-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malbas

Superettan 2024-25

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLW	67%
Home	W	100%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	67%	100%	50%
Points / game	83.0	108.0	70.5
Allowed / game	77.0	86.0	72.5
Point differential	+6.0	+22.0	-2.0
Avg total	160.0	194.0	143.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Akersberga

Superettan 2024-25

Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Losses (last 3)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWL	33%
Home	LW	50%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	33%	50%	0%
Points / game	79.3	82.0	74.0
Allowed / game	76.7	74.0	82.0
Point differential	+2.7	+8.0	-8.0
Avg total	156.0	156.0	156.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	KFUM Fryshuset	4	4	0	100%	88.2	62.5	+25.8
2	Sloga Uppsala	2	2	0	100%	89.5	78.5	+11.0
3	Wetterbygden Stars	6	5	1	83%	80.5	82.7	-2.2
4	Ockelbo	4	3	1	75%	80.5	70.5	+10.0
5	Malbas	3	2	1	67%	83.0	77.0	+6.0
6	Huddinge	4	2	2	50%	76.5	73.2	+3.2
7	AIK Basket	2	1	1	50%	73.0	84.0	-11.0
8	Akersberga	3	1	2	33%	79.3	76.7	+2.7
9	Djurgarden	3	1	2	33%	72.7	72.7	+0.0
10	Alvik	3	1	2	33%	82.7	84.7	-2.0
11	Aros Basket	4	1	3	25%	78.0	74.0	+4.0
12	Blackeberg	4	1	3	25%	81.5	90.5	-9.0
13	IK Eos	4	1	3	25%	76.5	86.2	-9.8
14	Tureberg	4	0	4	0%	58.8	84.8	-26.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Malbas	27	29	30	22	108
Akersberga	12	24	9	20	65

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Malbas vs Akersberga Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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