McNeese State vs Longwood Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Nov 2024

Tip-off: 22:30

Final 84-69

37-28 47-41

Position#20

Record3-2

FormLWLWW

Points / game78.4

Allowed / game67.6

McNeese State 🏆

Longwood

Position#151

Record6-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game76.3

Allowed / game66.5

NCAA

Other2024-25

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

McNeese State winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Longwood winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

McNeese State USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Houston Christian

#358

87-69

+18

H05/03

NCAA

New Orleans

#327

81-57

+24

A07/03

NCAA

Lamar

#146

76-57

+19

H12/03

NCAA

Nicholls State

#138

92-76

+16

H13/03

NCAA

Gonzaga

#21

65-86

-21

A21/03

NCAA

South Dakota St.

#108

73-80

-7

A04/11

NCAA

CBS Ambassadors

#555

111-57

111

+54

H08/11

NCAA

Alabama

#34

64-72

-8

A12/11

NCAA

North Texas

#36

68-61

H19/11

NCAA

Illinois State

#141

76-68

H22/11

NCAA

39-36

48-33

41-30

40-27

39-24

37-33

48-32

44-44

25-48

40-38

33-33

40-47

48-24

63-33

30-41

34-31

32-19

36-42

43-36

33-32

147.6Avg total

79.3Scored

68.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	78.4	67.6	146.0	+10.8	60%
Season at home (3)	85.0	62.0	147.0	+23.0	100%
Season away (2)	68.5	76.0	144.5	-7.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	79.3	68.3	147.6	+11.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	67.6	146.0	+10.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	65.7	73.0	138.7	-7.3	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	80.9	62.4	143.3	+18.5	93%

This opponent (Longwood) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Longwood

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Winthrop

#179

69-56

+13

A08/03

NCAA

High Point

#29

80-79 OT

A09/03

NCAA

UNC Asheville

#83

85-59

+26

A10/03

NCAA

Houston

46-86

-40

A23/03

NCAA

Randolph

#380

79-68

+11

H05/11

NCAA

Morgan State

#258

84-66

+18

H09/11

NCAA

Wisc. Milwaukee

#84

76-62

+14

H14/11

NCAA

UT Martin

#263

64-62

H16/11

NCAA

Binghamton

#227

66-60

A19/11

NCAA

UAB

#91

89-81

A22/11

NCAA

34-33

35-23

29-36

40-33

42-24

43-35

16-43

30-43

37-29

42-39

36-32

48-34

35-27

41-35

24-33

40-29

33-35

33-25

43-43

46-38

141.7Avg total

73.8Scored

67.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	76.3	66.5	142.8	+9.8	100%
Season at home (4)	75.8	64.5	140.2	+11.2	100%
Season away (2)	77.5	70.5	148.0	+7.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	73.8	67.9	141.7	+5.9	90%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	66.2	142.0	+9.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	46.0	86.0	132.0	-40.0	0%
vs Similar (16)	74.9	71.6	146.5	+3.2	69%
vs Weaker (12)	71.7	69.0	140.7	+2.7	42%

This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

McNeese StateLongwood

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

McNeese StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Houston Christian

#358

39-36

H05/03

NCAA

New Orleans

#327

41-30

+11

A07/03

NCAA

Lamar

#146

39-24

+15

H12/03

NCAA

Nicholls State

#138

48-32

+16

H13/03

NCAA

Gonzaga

#21

25-48

-23

A21/03

NCAA

South Dakota St.

#108

33-33

A04/11

NCAA

CBS Ambassadors

#555

48-24

+24

H08/11

NCAA

Alabama

#34

30-41

-11

A12/11

NCAA

North Texas

#36

32-19

+13

H19/11

NCAA

Illinois State

#141

43-36

H22/11

NCAA

70.1Avg total

37.8Scored

32.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	29.6	66.6	+7.4	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.4	26.8	66.2	+12.6	94%	-
Last 30 away (13)	33.8	33.2	67.1	+0.6	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	32.3	70.1	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	30.6	67.8	+6.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	29.0	36.0	65.0	-7.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	37.9	28.9	66.8	+9.0	78%	-

This opponent (Longwood) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LongwoodLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Winthrop

#179

34-33

A08/03

NCAA

High Point

#29

29-36

-7

A09/03

NCAA

UNC Asheville

#83

42-24

+18

A10/03

NCAA

Houston

16-43

-27

A23/03

NCAA

Randolph

#380

37-29

H05/11

NCAA

Morgan State

#258

36-32

H09/11

NCAA

Wisc. Milwaukee

#84

35-27

H14/11

NCAA

UT Martin

#263

24-33

-9

H16/11

NCAA

Binghamton

#227

33-35

-2

A19/11

NCAA

UAB

#91

43-43

A22/11

NCAA

66.4Avg total

32.9Scored

33.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.7	34.0	66.7	-1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	32.5	32.2	64.7	+0.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	32.8	35.4	68.2	-2.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.9	33.5	66.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	34.0	68.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	16.0	43.0	59.0	-27.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	33.9	32.8	66.8	+1.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (12)	32.0	35.2	67.2	-3.2	42%	-

This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	33.9	76.2	+8.5	80%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.9	34.7	78.6	+9.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.3	32.8	73.1	+7.5	92%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	36.0	77.5	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	37.0	78.2	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	36.7	37.0	73.7	-0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	43.0	33.5	76.5	+9.5	81%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	36.2	75.7	+3.4	73%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.7	34.6	75.3	+6.1	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.7	37.4	76.1	+1.4	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	33.4	73.2	+6.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	32.2	73.8	+9.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	30.0	43.0	73.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	39.9	37.4	77.3	+2.6	75%	-
vs Weaker (12)	39.7	33.8	73.4	+5.9	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

McNeese State wins

Longwood wins

No previous meetings.

McNeese Statelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/11/24	H	Illinois State	76-68
19/11/24	H	North Texas	68-61
12/11/24	A	Alabama	64-72
08/11/24	H	CBS Ambassadors	111-57
04/11/24	A	South Dakota St.	73-80
21/03/24	A	Gonzaga	65-86
13/03/24	H	Nicholls State	92-76
12/03/24	H	Lamar	76-57
07/03/24	A	New Orleans	81-57
05/03/24	H	Houston Christian	87-69

Longwoodlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/11/24	A	UAB	89-81
19/11/24	A	Binghamton	66-60
16/11/24	H	UT Martin	64-62
14/11/24	H	Wisc. Milwaukee	76-62
09/11/24	H	Morgan State	84-66
05/11/24	H	Randolph	79-68
23/03/24	A	Houston	46-86
10/03/24	A	UNC Asheville	85-59
09/03/24	A	High Point	80-79 OT
08/03/24	A	Winthrop	69-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

McNeese State

NCAA 2024-25

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	60%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	60%	100%	0%
Points / game	78.4	85.0	68.5
Allowed / game	67.6	62.0	76.0
Point differential	+10.8	+23.0	-7.5
Avg total	146.0	147.0	144.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Longwood

NCAA 2024-25

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	76.3	75.8	77.5
Allowed / game	66.5	64.5	70.5
Point differential	+9.8	+11.2	+7.0
Avg total	142.8	140.2	148.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	75%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Incarnate Word	5	3	2	60%	85.0	71.2	+13.8
2	McNeese State	5	3	2	60%	78.4	67.6	+10.8
3	Stephen F. Austin	7	4	3	57%	66.1	60.9	+5.3
4	UTRGV	6	3	3	50%	86.0	77.8	+8.2
5	Texas A&M-CC	6	3	3	50%	81.0	74.5	+6.5
6	Northwestern St.	7	3	4	43%	78.3	66.1	+12.1
7	SE Louisiana	5	2	3	40%	70.6	69.2	+1.4
8	Houston Christian	5	2	3	40%	66.0	70.4	-4.4
9	Nicholls State	6	2	4	33%	69.2	70.0	-0.8
10	New Orleans	6	2	4	33%	69.5	80.2	-10.7
11	Lamar	6	1	5	17%	77.0	74.2	+2.8
12	TX A&M Commerce	6	1	5	17%	62.8	83.3	-20.5

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Big South conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Longwood	6	6	0	100%	76.3	66.5	+9.8
2	High Point	6	5	1	83%	76.3	65.2	+11.2
3	Radford	6	4	2	67%	78.5	76.3	+2.2
4	Presbyterian	8	5	3	62%	75.6	65.6	+10.0
5	Winthrop	7	4	3	57%	81.4	73.6	+7.9
6	Gardner Webb	5	2	3	40%	70.0	76.8	-6.8
7	UNC Asheville	5	2	3	40%	74.8	84.6	-9.8
8	USC Upstate	8	2	6	25%	81.6	85.2	-3.6
9	Charleston Southern	7	1	6	14%	71.0	77.3	-6.3