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Mercyhurst Lakers vs Lafayette Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 73-77
38-31 35-46
Position#219
Record5-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game69.5
vs
Position#290
Record4-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game68.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercyhurst Lakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lafayette winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mercyhurst LakersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#96
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A05/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#258
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A06/11
NCAA
Houghton
#472
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H09/11
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H14/11
NCAA
Columbia
#260
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A16/11
NCAA
Mount Aloysius
#635
W
98-45
98
45
+53
H20/11
NCAA
Air Force
#367
L
48-82
48
82
-34
A24/11
NCAA
California
#268
L
55-81
55
81
-26
A28/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A01/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#45
L
59-87
59
87
-28
A02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-29
30-47
33-31
45-42
49-32
39-30
29-25
33-27
36-43
27-34
54-23
44-22
24-31
24-51
23-41
32-40
33-22
33-38
36-32
23-55
137.1Avg total
67.6Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)67.669.5137.1-1.950%
Season at home (3)82.753.0135.7+29.7100%
Season away (7)61.176.6137.7-15.429%
Last 10 (10)67.669.5137.1-1.950%
Last 5 (5)65.271.0136.2-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)59.081.5140.5-22.50%
vs Similar ◀ (4)65.572.8138.2-7.250%
vs Weaker (3)66.065.3131.3+0.767%
This opponent (Lafayette) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LafayetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lehigh
#257
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H08/03
NCAA
Villanova
#138
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A05/11
NCAA
La Salle
#272
L
60-81
60
81
-21
A09/11
NCAA
Penn
#331
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H13/11
NCAA
Cornell
#113
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A16/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#137
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A21/11
NCAA
Rosemont
#594
W
91-45
91
45
+46
H24/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H29/11
NCAA
Niagara
#315
W
59-47
59
47
+12
H30/11
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
H01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-40
35-36
29-30
34-45
28-45
32-36
29-23
36-40
31-33
40-48
27-40
45-46
38-22
53-23
35-26
40-30
21-18
38-29
33-40
40-33
139.0Avg total
69.8Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)70.868.4139.2+2.344%
Season at home (5)74.258.6132.8+15.680%
Season away (4)66.580.8147.2-14.20%
Last 10 (10)69.869.2139.0+0.640%
Last 5 (5)75.663.2138.8+12.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)63.668.9132.5-5.327%
vs Similar ◀ (13)66.864.4131.2+2.562%
vs Weaker (1)65.063.0128.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: -5.6-5.62nd half: +2.7+2.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: -5.6-5.62nd half: +2.7+2.7
Mercyhurst LakersLafayette
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mercyhurst LakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#96
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A05/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#258
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A06/11
NCAA
Houghton
#472
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H09/11
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H14/11
NCAA
Columbia
#260
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A16/11
NCAA
Mount Aloysius
#635
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H20/11
NCAA
Air Force
#367
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A24/11
NCAA
California
#268
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A28/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
33-22
33
22
+11
A01/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#45
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A02/12
NCAA
65.5Avg total
34.6Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)34.132.666.7+1.555%-
Last 30 at home (3)44.026.770.7+17.3100%-
Last 30 away (8)30.434.965.2-4.538%-
Last 10 (10)34.630.965.5+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)34.029.863.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.530.563.0+2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)31.234.265.5-3.050%-
vs Weaker (3)34.029.363.3+4.767%-
This opponent (Lafayette) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LafayetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lehigh
#257
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H08/03
NCAA
Villanova
#138
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A05/11
NCAA
La Salle
#272
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A09/11
NCAA
Penn
#331
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H13/11
NCAA
Cornell
#113
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A16/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#137
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A21/11
NCAA
Rosemont
#594
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H24/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H29/11
NCAA
Niagara
#315
W
21-18
21
18
+3
H30/11
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H01/12
NCAA
61.4Avg total
29.7Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.230.658.8-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)28.630.559.1-1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)27.730.858.5-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)29.731.761.4-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)30.829.260.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)27.731.559.2-3.927%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)28.030.858.8-2.846%-
vs Weaker (1)29.023.052.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mercyhurst Lakers wins
0
Lafayette wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/24ASan Francisco59-87
01/12/24ASacramento State66-60
28/11/24ACalifornia55-81
24/11/24AAir Force48-82
20/11/24HMount Aloysius98-45
16/11/24AColumbia63-77
14/11/24HCanisius62-52
09/11/24HHoughton88-62
06/11/24AMorgan State78-73
05/11/24AGeorge Washington59-76
Lafayettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24HBinghamton81-82 OT
30/11/24HNiagara59-47
29/11/24HLIU Sharks75-56
24/11/24HRosemont91-45
21/11/24ARhode Island72-86
16/11/24ACornell71-81
13/11/24HPenn65-63
09/11/24ALa Salle60-81
05/11/24AVillanova63-75
08/03/24HLehigh61-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercyhurst Lakers
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %50%100%29%
Points / game67.682.761.1
Allowed / game69.553.076.6
Point differential-1.9+29.7-15.4
Avg total137.1135.7137.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lafayette
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL44%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%80%0%
Points / game70.874.266.5
Allowed / game68.458.680.8
Point differential+2.3+15.6-14.2
Avg total139.2132.8147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State96367%70.765.4+5.2
2 Wagner84450%58.258.6-0.4
3 Mercyhurst Lakers105550%67.669.5-1.9
4 Stonehill105550%67.671.8-4.2
5 LIU Sharks114736%72.671.1+1.5
6 Fairleigh Dickinson114736%81.780.5+1.3
7 St. Francis (PA)114736%70.376.3-6.0
8 Le Moyne103730%74.982.9-8.0
9 Chicago State100100%60.284.7-24.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Army85362%83.975.0+8.9
2 American University106460%70.969.7+1.2
3 Loyola Maryland84450%70.267.8+2.5
4 Holy Cross105550%67.572.0-4.5
5 Lafayette94544%70.868.4+2.3
6 Boston University94544%66.368.3-2.0
7 Bucknell104640%70.775.8-5.1
8 Lehigh93633%71.977.2-5.3
9 Navy103730%72.973.0-0.1
10 Colgate92722%66.272.9-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mercyhurst Lakers383573
Lafayette314677
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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