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Mercyhurst Lakers vs Stonehill Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 56-51
23-19 33-32
Position#206
Record16-16
FormLWLWW
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#283
Record13-19
FormLWWLW
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game68.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mercyhurst Lakers v Stonehill
08 Jan 2027
MERC v STON
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
MERC56
STON51
17 Jan 2026
MERC57
STON62
03 Jan 2025
MERC76
STON69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercyhurst Lakers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stonehill winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mercyhurst LakersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#363
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A31/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
98-89 OT
98
89
+9
H06/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A13/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A14/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
H20/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
75-72 OT
75
72
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-35
44-43
45-37
34-42
30-28
22-27
29-25
28-33
50-36
44-43
26-35
44-35
45-45
46-38
30-34
48-46
30-30
32-32
35-28
35-33
150.7Avg total
76.9Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)69.767.5137.2+2.250%
Season at home (14)77.765.0142.7+12.779%
Season away (18)63.569.5133.0-6.028%
Last 10 (10)76.973.8150.7+3.150%
Last 5 (5)78.875.8154.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.076.0147.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)66.168.2134.2-2.144%
vs Weaker (12)74.268.0142.2+6.258%
This opponent (Stonehill) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StonehillUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Moyne
#240
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A31/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A06/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A07/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A13/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H14/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A20/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H21/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
103-77
103
77
+26
H27/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
72-75 OT
72
75
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-28
33-26
24-31
34-43
29-26
25-35
19-38
36-30
24-26
33-42
30-32
21-32
32-24
45-44
54-33
49-44
30-30
32-32
39-32
42-39
135.3Avg total
67.3Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)67.268.6135.8-1.441%
Season at home (13)74.667.3141.9+7.362%
Season away (19)62.269.5131.7-7.426%
Last 10 (10)67.368.0135.3-0.740%
Last 5 (5)76.871.0147.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.076.0140.0-12.020%
vs Similar ◀ (19)63.066.8129.8-3.842%
vs Weaker (6)78.371.2149.5+7.250%
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -1.7-1.7
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -1.7-1.7
Mercyhurst LakersStonehill
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mercyhurst LakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#363
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A31/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H06/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A07/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A13/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A14/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H20/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H21/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A28/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H05/03
NCAA
68.3Avg total
35.0Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.730.563.2+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.527.464.9+10.179%-
Last 30 away (16)28.433.261.6-4.819%-
Last 10 (10)35.033.368.3+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)33.234.467.6-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.037.066.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)29.431.961.4-2.531%-
vs Weaker (12)36.329.265.5+7.267%-
This opponent (Stonehill) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StonehillLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Moyne
#240
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A31/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A06/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A07/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
19-38
19
38
-19
A13/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H14/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A20/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H21/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H27/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H28/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A05/03
NCAA
61.3Avg total
31.3Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.131.261.4-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (12)33.428.862.2+4.758%-
Last 30 away (18)27.932.960.8-4.922%-
Last 10 (10)31.330.061.3+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.030.267.2+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)26.633.660.2-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)29.431.060.4-1.637%-
vs Weaker (6)35.530.065.5+5.567%-
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mercyhurst Lakers wins
2
Stonehill wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26HFairleigh Dickinson70-61
28/02/26AStonehill75-72 OT
27/02/26ACentral Connecticut State78-80
21/02/26HLIU Sharks91-83
20/02/26HWagner80-83 OT
14/02/26ASt. Francis (PA)94-79
13/02/26ALe Moyne57-58
07/02/26AFairleigh Dickinson52-55
06/02/26HSt. Francis (PA)98-89 OT
31/01/26AChicago State74-78
Stonehilllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26ALe Moyne81-71
28/02/26HMercyhurst Lakers72-75 OT
27/02/26HSt. Francis (PA)103-77
21/02/26HLe Moyne77-68
20/02/26ANew Haven Chargers51-64
14/02/26HWagner57-68
13/02/26AChicago State55-68
07/02/26ALIU Sharks54-61
06/02/26AFairleigh Dickinson58-74
31/01/26ALe Moyne65-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercyhurst Lakers
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeWWLWW79%
AwayLLWLW28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321418
Win %50%79%28%
Points / game69.777.763.5
Allowed / game67.565.069.5
Point differential+2.2+12.7-6.0
Avg total137.2142.7133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won31% (13)33% (3)30% (10)
Overtime %12%21%6%
Stonehill
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW41%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayLLLLW26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321319
Win %41%62%26%
Points / game67.274.662.2
Allowed / game68.667.369.5
Point differential-1.4+7.3-7.4
Avg total135.8141.9131.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %12%15%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LIU Sharks32221069%74.271.6+2.6
2 Central Connecticut State30181260%73.870.9+2.9
3 Mercyhurst Lakers32161650%69.767.5+2.2
4 Le Moyne32151747%73.073.2-0.2
5 Wagner30141647%71.871.9-0.1
6 New Haven Chargers31141745%64.966.3-1.4
7 Stonehill32131941%67.268.6-1.4
8 Fairleigh Dickinson32112134%67.270.2-3.0
9 St. Francis (PA)3172423%71.581.0-9.5
10 Chicago State3272522%65.876.1-10.3
11 St. Francis (ILL)1010%55.098.0-43.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mercyhurst Lakers233356
Stonehill193251
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