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Merrimack Warriors vs Alabama State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 60-66 (OT)
21-20 35-36 4-10
Position#91
Record3-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#281
Record2-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game80.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merrimack Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#368
W
80-59
80
59
+21
A25/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#368
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H02/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#219
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A07/11
NCAA
Worcester State
#428
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H10/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A12/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
52-76
52
76
-24
A16/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
96-73
96
73
+23
A22/11
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-21
45-38
54-33
37-43
33-28
38-32
26-28
41-38
20-36
35-31
40-30
53-42
28-29
43-36
29-35
23-41
44-31
52-42
30-33
41-46
144.0Avg total
74.7Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.072.0145.0+1.050%
Season at home (1)93.072.0165.0+21.0100%
Season away (5)69.072.0141.0-3.040%
Last 10 (10)74.769.3144.0+5.470%
Last 5 (5)76.673.0149.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.073.0136.0-10.00%
vs Similar (18)61.260.4121.6+0.856%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)76.963.2140.1+13.6100%
This opponent (Alabama State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethune-Cookman
#291
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H21/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#254
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H26/02
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#228
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A03/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#49
L
49-69
49
69
-20
A04/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A07/11
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
67-98
67
98
-31
A11/11
NCAA
Oglethorpe
#693
W
115-51
115
51
+64
H15/11
NCAA
Memphis
#57
L
75-92
75
92
-17
A18/11
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
67-99
67
99
-32
A23/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-36
36-34
29-30
21-25
21-38
31-28
29-28
20-41
30-35
29-34
37-49
30-49
50-32
65-19
36-47
39-45
27-41
40-58
49-45
39-28
142.9Avg total
68.7Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.580.3158.8-1.833%
Season at home (1)115.051.0166.0+64.0100%
Season away (5)71.286.2157.4-15.020%
Last 10 (10)68.774.2142.9-5.520%
Last 5 (5)82.482.6165.0-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)64.275.2139.4-10.926%
vs Similar (6)59.365.5124.8-6.20%
vs Weaker (3)76.070.0146.0+6.067%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: -1.1-1.1
Merrimack WarriorsAlabama State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#368
W
35-21
35
21
+14
A25/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#368
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H02/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#219
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H08/03
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A07/11
NCAA
Worcester State
#428
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H10/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A12/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A16/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A22/11
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A24/11
NCAA
64.3Avg total
33.9Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.328.161.4+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.426.862.1+8.686%-
Last 30 away (16)31.429.260.7+2.250%-
Last 10 (10)33.930.464.3+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)34.231.665.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)25.034.559.5-9.50%-
vs Similar (18)30.628.659.2+2.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)38.627.966.5+10.875%-
This opponent (Alabama State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethune-Cookman
#291
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H21/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#254
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#228
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A03/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#49
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A04/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A07/11
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A11/11
NCAA
Oglethorpe
#693
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H15/11
NCAA
Memphis
#57
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A18/11
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A23/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A24/11
NCAA
71.8Avg total
33.7Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.837.068.8-5.230%-
Last 30 at home (11)33.533.266.6+0.345%-
Last 30 away (19)30.939.270.1-8.321%-
Last 10 (10)33.738.171.8-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.882.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)30.738.469.1-7.726%-
vs Similar (6)26.833.560.3-6.70%-
vs Weaker (3)36.336.773.0-0.367%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Merrimack Warriors wins
0
Alabama State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/23ASamford71-79
22/11/23AN. Carolina A&T96-73
16/11/23AOhio State52-76
12/11/23AMaine Black Bears71-65
10/11/23HWorcester State93-72
07/11/23AVermont55-67
08/03/23HFairleigh Dickinson67-66
04/03/23HSacred Heart71-60
02/03/23HLIU Sharks91-76
25/02/23ALIU Sharks80-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/23AN. Carolina A&T88-73
23/11/23ASamford67-99
18/11/23AMemphis75-92
15/11/23HOglethorpe115-51
11/11/23AIowa67-98
07/11/23AOle Miss59-69
04/03/23AGrambling St.49-69
03/03/23ASouthern Univ.52-66
26/02/23HAlabama A&M Bulldogs50-55
21/02/23HBethune-Cookman65-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %50%100%40%
Points / game73.093.069.0
Allowed / game72.072.072.0
Point differential+1.0+21.0-3.0
Avg total145.0165.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alabama State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %33%100%20%
Points / game78.5115.071.2
Allowed / game80.351.086.2
Point differential-1.8+64.0-15.0
Avg total158.8166.0157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quinnipiac54180%84.672.0+12.6
2 Sacred Heart64267%82.571.2+11.3
3 Canisius53260%78.672.6+6.0
4 Manhattan53260%65.675.6-10.0
5 Merrimack Warriors63350%73.072.0+1.0
6 Marist42250%66.567.5-1.0
7 Iona52340%78.075.6+2.4
8 St. Peters41325%66.264.5+1.8
9 Mount St. Mary's41325%66.069.8-3.8
10 Rider51420%66.871.6-4.8
11 Siena51420%58.874.0-15.2
12 Fairfield61517%72.074.0-2.0
13 Niagara3030%66.778.3-11.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Prairie View A&M64267%74.570.7+3.8
2 Bethune-Cookman53260%84.269.0+15.2
3 Arkansas-Pine Bluff73443%87.786.1+1.6
4 Alabama State62433%78.580.3-1.8
5 Grambling St.72529%70.480.6-10.1
6 Alabama A&M Bulldogs51420%76.882.8-6.0
7 Southern Univ.51420%71.890.4-18.6
8 Jackson State71614%68.083.0-15.0
9 Alcorn State81712%69.185.1-16.0
10 Texas Southern5050%50.672.8-22.2
11 Florida A&M4040%57.585.5-28.0
12 Miss. Valley St.6060%49.287.7-38.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Merrimack Warriors2135460
Alabama State20361066
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