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Mersch W vs Musel Pikes W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 62-72
11-31 17-18 17-14 17-9
Position#9
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game75.0
Mersch W
Luxembourg
vs
Musel Pikes W 🏆
Luxembourg
Position#8
Record6-15
FormLWWWW
Points / game66.1
Allowed / game74.5
LuxembourgTotal League WomenRound 7· Hall Omnisports
Women2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mersch W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Musel Pikes W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mersch WLuxembourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ettelbruck W
#12
W
78-45
78
45
+33
no box
H22/04
Total League Women
Les Sangliers Wooltz W
#10
L
52-83
52
83
-31
no box
H29/04
Total League Women
Soleuvre W
#9
L
39-74
39
74
-35
no box
A03/05
Total League Women
Hesperange W
#13
W
71-50
71
50
+21
no box
H06/05
Total League Women
Ettelbruck W
#12
W
68-49
68
49
+19
no box
A21/05
Total League Women
Schieren W
#10
W
76-59
76
59
+17
no box
A24/02
Total League Women
Musel Pikes W
#8
L
64-93
64
93
-29
49avg 49
A02/03
Total League Women
Soleuvre W
#11
W
72-67
72
67
+5
no box
H08/03
Total League Women
Esch W
#6
L
62-96
62
96
-34
no box
A24/03
Total League Women
Schieren W
#10
L
46-60
46
60
-14
no box
H06/04
Total League Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
26-14
13-8
19-9
19-18
10-22
8-20
15-23
9-29
6-13
17-20
7-12
27-14
16-11
16-12
12-13
19-12
19-13
11-13
19-11
14-16
23-6
28-20
11-17
19-19
15-30
17-16
13-28
–
–
–
–
20-27
14-25
13-23
15-21
8-12
17-18
13-17
8-13
130.4Avg total
62.8Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)64.075.0139.0-11.040%
Season at home (2)59.063.5122.5-4.550%
Season away (3)67.382.7150.0-15.333%
Last 10 (10)62.867.6130.4-4.850%
Last 5 (5)64.075.0139.0-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)63.094.5157.5-31.50%
vs Similar (4)54.086.0140.0-32.00%
vs Weaker (7)68.953.9122.7+15.086%
This opponent (Musel Pikes W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Musel Pikes WLuxembourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Esch W
#6
L
61-63
61
63
-2
56avg 53
H13/01
Total League Women
Soleuvre W
#11
W
85-53
85
53
+32
61avg 53
A28/01
Total League Women
Contern W
#4
L
50-70
50
70
-20
35avg 53
H03/02
Total League Women
Amicale Steesel W
#5
L
68-91
68
91
-23
49avg 53
A09/02
Total League Women
Les Sangliers Wooltz W
#7
L
63-77
63
77
-14
47avg 53
H17/02
Total League Women
Esch W
#6
L
66-73
66
73
-7
52avg 53
A25/02
Total League Women
Mersch W
#9
W
93-64
93
64
+29
86avg 53
H02/03
Total League Women
Schieren W
#10
W
91-68
91
68
+23
no box
A09/03
Total League Women
Soleuvre W
#11
W
85-62
85
62
+23
77avg 53
H30/03
Total League Women
Esch W
#6
W
74-64
74
64
+10
73avg 53
H06/04
Total League Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
16-18
7-14
20-14
30-14
17-11
24-11
14-17
10-26
15-17
8-15
17-12
22-14
17-21
12-26
17-30
8-19
15-23
20-20
20-15
14-20
18-15
13-26
21-12
19-19
30-15
16-17
28-13
26-18
22-17
16-20
27-13
27-10
16-12
20-15
22-25
21-20
23-16
17-14
13-14
142.1Avg total
73.6Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)66.174.5140.7-8.429%
Season at home (11)66.972.7139.6-5.836%
Season away (10)65.376.5141.8-11.220%
Last 10 (10)73.668.5142.1+5.150%
Last 5 (5)81.866.2148.0+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)59.479.0138.4-19.65%
vs Similar (2)65.065.5130.5-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)83.264.6147.9+18.675%
This opponent (Mersch W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
Mersch WMusel Pikes W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mersch WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ettelbruck W
#12
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H22/04
Total League Women
Les Sangliers Wooltz W
#10
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H29/04
Total League Women
Soleuvre W
#9
L
15-42
15
42
-27
A03/05
Total League Women
Hesperange W
#13
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H06/05
Total League Women
Ettelbruck W
#12
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A21/05
Total League Women
Schieren W
#10
W
37-22
37
22
+15
A24/02
Total League Women
Musel Pikes W
#8
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A02/03
Total League Women
Esch W
#6
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A24/03
Total League Women
Schieren W
#10
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H06/04
Total League Women
68.2Avg total
33.4Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)32.335.868.2-3.542%-
Last 30 at home (5)36.034.470.4+1.640%-
Last 30 away (7)29.736.966.6-7.143%-
Last 10 (9)33.434.868.2-1.344%-
Last 5 (5)33.635.669.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)34.050.584.5-16.50%-
vs Similar (4)25.844.870.5-19.00%-
vs Weaker (6)36.225.061.2+11.283%-
This opponent (Musel Pikes W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Musel Pikes WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esch W
#6
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H13/01
Total League Women
Soleuvre W
#11
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A28/01
Total League Women
Contern W
#4
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H03/02
Total League Women
Amicale Steesel W
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A09/02
Total League Women
Les Sangliers Wooltz W
#7
L
23-42
23
42
-19
H17/02
Total League Women
Esch W
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A25/02
Total League Women
Mersch W
#9
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H02/03
Total League Women
Schieren W
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A09/03
Total League Women
Soleuvre W
#11
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H30/03
Total League Women
Esch W
#6
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H06/04
Total League Women
72.6Avg total
38.4Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.236.970.1-3.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.536.872.2-1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)30.637.167.6-6.543%-
Last 10 (10)38.434.272.6+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.232.475.6+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)30.640.070.6-9.425%-
vs Similar (2)35.023.558.5+11.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.232.571.8+6.875%-
This opponent (Mersch W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mersch Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mersch W: 61.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
57%
29%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.518.5
38.9%
47.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.04.0
23.5%
29.8%12.0
🏀 Free throws19.512.0
61.5%
71.5%12.0
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Musel Pikes Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Musel Pikes W: 66.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
57%
29%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.716.0
41.3%
47.4%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.9
33.3%
29.8%23.7
🏀 Free throws16.611.1
66.9%
71.5%11.1
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mersch W
LLWLWWWLLW
Musel Pikes W
WWWWLLLLWL
#9
League position
#8
-40.1
Net rating
+5.6
73.1
Offensive rating
94.0
113.2
Defensive rating
88.4
38.0%
Effective FG%
44.6%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
44.3%
26.2%
Turnover %
17.5%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
23.5%
3-point %
33.3%
66.7%
Assist %
47.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence73.1 · 94.0Defence113.2 · 88.4Shooting38.0% · 44.6%3-point %23.5% · 33.3%Ball care26.2% · 17.5%Off. rebounds28.4% · 31.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Mersch W   ■ Musel Pikes W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mersch W wins
1
Musel Pikes W wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24Musel Pikes W v Mersch W93-64
Mersch Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24HSchieren W46-60
24/03/24AEsch W62-96
08/03/24HSoleuvre W72-67
02/03/24AMusel Pikes W64-93
24/02/24ASchieren W76-59
21/05/23AEttelbruck W68-49
06/05/23HHesperange W71-50
03/05/23ASoleuvre W39-74
29/04/23HLes Sangliers Wooltz W52-83
22/04/23HEttelbruck W78-45
Musel Pikes Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24HEsch W74-64
30/03/24HSoleuvre W85-62
09/03/24ASchieren W91-68
02/03/24HMersch W93-64
25/02/24AEsch W66-73
17/02/24HLes Sangliers Wooltz W63-77
09/02/24AAmicale Steesel W68-91
03/02/24HContern W50-70
28/01/24ASoleuvre W85-53
13/01/24HEsch W61-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mersch W
Total League Women 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game64.059.067.3
Allowed / game75.063.582.7
Point differential-11.0-4.5-15.3
Avg total139.0122.5150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Musel Pikes W
Total League Women 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW29%
HomeLLWWW36%
AwayLWLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%36%20%
Points / game66.166.965.3
Allowed / game74.572.776.5
Point differential-8.4-5.8-11.2
Avg total140.7139.6141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grengewald Hueschtert W23230100%90.365.6+24.7
2 Dudelange W2317674%84.163.8+20.3
3 Bertrange W2315865%78.868.5+10.3
4 Contern W21111052%68.665.7+2.9
5 Amicale Steesel W23111248%79.778.3+1.3
6 Mersch W52340%64.075.0-11.0
7 Esch W2181338%71.174.4-3.2
8 Les Sangliers Wooltz W2181338%70.079.3-9.3
9 Musel Pikes W2161529%66.174.5-8.4
10 Schieren W51420%65.076.8-11.8
11 Soleuvre W201195%59.5100.0-40.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mersch W1117171762
Musel Pikes W311814972
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