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Mersin BŞB vs Alagoz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 78-84
18-21 27-22 13-25 20-16
Position#2
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game78.3
Mersin BŞB
Turkey
vs
Alagoz 🏆
Turkey
Position#11
Record2-1
FormLWW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game73.7
TurkeyTBLRound 4· Mersin Universitesi Spor Salonu
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mersin BŞB winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alagoz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mersin BŞBTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBŞB
Date
Competition
Gemlik
#15
W
116-98
116
98
+18
no box
A21/05
TBL
Balıkesir BŞB
#8
W
96-65
96
65
+31
no box
H27/05
TBL
Balıkesir BŞB
#8
W
78-66
78
66
+12
no box
A31/05
TBL
Yalovaspor
#4
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
H07/06
TBL
Yalovaspor
#4
L
63-71
63
71
-8
no box
H09/06
TBL
Yalovaspor
#4
L
60-74
60
74
-14
no box
A12/06
TBL
Yalovaspor
#4
L
73-90
73
90
-17
no box
A14/06
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#8
W
109-87
109
87
+22
113avg 113
H16/09
TBL
Konyaspor
#18
W
92-75
92
75
+17
no box
A23/09
TBL
Bornova
#13
W
90-73
90
73
+17
no box
A01/10
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
30-30
35-24
20-20
16-14
24-20
29-17
27-14
23-11
15-22
14-22
26-11
25-18
15-20
18-17
25-23
14-18
20-11
15-19
14-23
14-19
10-23
15-19
21-13
21-24
12-19
19-23
21-24
25-8
27-28
26-21
31-30
22-16
20-15
24-22
26-22
23-18
26-23
18-20
23-12
163.7Avg total
86.0Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)97.078.3175.3+18.7100%
Season at home (1)109.087.0196.0+22.0100%
Season away (2)91.074.0165.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.077.7163.7+8.370%
Last 5 (5)84.879.8164.6+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.775.7139.3-12.00%
vs Similar (7)73.978.7152.6-4.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.372.8159.2+13.590%
This opponent (Alagoz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlagozTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlagoz
Date
Competition
Cayirova
#7
L
57-76
57
76
-19
43avg 43
H16/09
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#8
W
87-71
87
71
+16
no box
A23/09
TBL
Konyaspor
#18
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H30/09
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
12-22
15-11
12-21
20-17
16-17
26-19
25-18
25-16
19-16
25-24
20-18
151.3Avg total
77.7Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.773.7151.3+4.067%
Season at home (2)73.075.0148.0-2.050%
Season away (1)87.071.0158.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (3)77.773.7151.3+4.067%
Last 5 (3)77.773.7151.3+4.067%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (3)77.773.7151.3+4.067%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mersin BŞB) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
Mersin BŞBAlagoz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mersin BŞBLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gemlik
#15
W
61-54
61
54
+7
A21/05
TBL
Balıkesir BŞB
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H27/05
TBL
Balıkesir BŞB
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A31/05
TBL
Yalovaspor
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H07/06
TBL
Yalovaspor
#4
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H09/06
TBL
Yalovaspor
#4
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A12/06
TBL
Yalovaspor
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A14/06
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#8
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H16/09
TBL
Konyaspor
#18
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A23/09
TBL
Bornova
#13
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A01/10
TBL
79.4Avg total
41.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.535.777.2+5.877%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.933.674.4+7.386%-
Last 30 away (16)42.137.679.7+4.669%-
Last 10 (10)41.338.179.4+3.280%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.678.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.037.372.3-2.30%-
vs Similar (7)36.637.474.0-0.971%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.234.979.1+9.490%-
This opponent (Alagoz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlagozLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cayirova
#7
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H16/09
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A23/09
TBL
Konyaspor
#18
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H30/09
TBL
73.3Avg total
36.7Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (3)36.736.773.3+0.067%-
Last 30 at home (2)37.038.075.0-1.050%-
Last 30 away (1)36.034.070.0+2.0100%-
Last 10 (3)36.736.773.3+0.067%-
Last 5 (3)36.736.773.3+0.067%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (3)36.736.773.3+0.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mersin BŞB) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mersin BŞBtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mersin BŞB: 109.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.026.0
63.4%
52.3%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.015.0
53.6%
37.5%45.0
🏀 Free throws14.012.0
85.7%
72.9%12.0
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alagoztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alagoz: 57.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀11%
🏀30%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers6.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.0
47.2%
52.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.02.0
7.1%
37.5%6.0
🏀 Free throws28.017.0
60.7%
72.9%17.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mersin BŞB
WWWLLLWWWW
Alagoz
WWL
#2
League position
#11
+32.2
Net rating
-24.5
146.3
Offensive rating
73.4
114.1
Defensive rating
97.9
70.3%
Effective FG%
31.2%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
12.0%
Turnover %
9.2%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
14.3%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.44
53.6%
3-point %
7.1%
75.6%
Assist %
89.5%
70%
Form (last 10/3)
67%

Profile

Offence146.3 · 73.4Defence114.1 · 97.9Shooting70.3% · 31.2%3-point %53.6% · 7.1%Ball care12.0% · 9.2%Off. rebounds33.3% · 14.3%Free throws0.20 · 0.44Form (last 10/3)70% · 67%
■ Mersin BŞB   ■ Alagoz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mersin BŞB wins
0
Alagoz wins
No previous meetings.
Mersin BŞBlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/23ABornova90-73
23/09/23AKonyaspor92-75
16/09/23HMKE Ankaragucu109-87
14/06/23AYalovaspor73-90
12/06/23AYalovaspor60-74
09/06/23HYalovaspor63-71
07/06/23HYalovaspor83-78
31/05/23ABalıkesir BŞB78-66
27/05/23HBalıkesir BŞB96-65
21/05/23AGemlik116-98
Alagozlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/23HKonyaspor89-74
23/09/23AMKE Ankaragucu87-71
16/09/23HCayirova57-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mersin BŞB
TBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.0109.091.0
Allowed / game78.387.074.0
Point differential+18.7+22.0+17.0
Avg total175.3196.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alagoz
TBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Losses (last 3)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game77.773.087.0
Allowed / game73.775.071.0
Point differential+4.0-2.0+16.0
Avg total151.3148.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Yalovaspor330100%93.773.0+20.7
2 Mersin BŞB330100%97.078.3+18.7
3 iLab Basketbol440100%79.274.0+5.2
4 Ankara Kolejliler43175%79.572.8+6.8
5 Gaziantep43175%81.576.8+4.8
6 Cayirova32167%81.771.3+10.3
7 Alagoz32167%77.773.7+4.0
8 Harem Spor32167%79.778.7+1.0
9 Kapakli Spor32167%93.393.7-0.3
10 Balıkesir BŞB31233%72.772.3+0.3
11 Esenler Erokspor31233%68.369.0-0.7
12 Fenerbahce 231233%84.086.7-2.7
13 Konyaspor31233%80.790.3-9.7
14 Bornova41325%76.083.0-7.0
15 OGM Ormanspor41325%79.090.5-11.5
16 Final Spor3030%72.080.0-8.0
17 Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor4040%70.283.2-13.0
18 MKE Ankaragucu3030%87.3101.3-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mersin BŞB1827132078
Alagoz2122251684
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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