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Mersin SK vs Gaziantep Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 92-70
27-13 19-15 28-16 18-26
Position#1
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game76.7
vs
Position#8
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game75.0
TurkeyTBLRound 5· Servet Tazegül Spor Salonu
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mersin SK v Gaziantep
08 Oct 2026
MES92
GAZ70
06 Oct 2012
MES76
GAZ68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mersin SK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gaziantep winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mersin SKTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#15
L
87-92
87
92
-5
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
87-94
87
94
-7
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
L
93-101
93
101
-8
A27/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
86-88
86
88
-2
H02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
MKE Ankaragucu
#10
W
100-70
100
70
+30
A19/09
TBL
Konya BBSK
#16
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H26/09
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#7
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A04/10
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
11-34
30-19
15-18
25-29
28-25
22-24
12-16
12-20
21-26
23-25
22-17
29-18
18-20
19-21
18-27
18-26
26-25
17-31
32-19
25-29
25-23
18-19
18-17
20-25
13-24
22-17
25-24
38-18
17-23
29-17
16-12
15-26
24-11
24-26
24-19
21-23
23-14
19-23
18-18
173.2Avg total
86.3Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.376.7166.0+12.7100%
Season at home (1)87.082.0169.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)90.574.0164.5+16.5100%
Last 10 (10)86.386.9173.2-0.630%
Last 5 (5)86.881.6168.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)80.490.9171.2-10.514%
vs Similar (11)90.188.0178.1+2.164%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)86.482.4168.8+4.060%
This opponent (Gaziantep) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GaziantepTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Konya BBSK
#4
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H10/05
TBL
Konya BBSK
#4
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A13/05
TBL
Konya BBSK
#4
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
H16/05
TBL
Bordo Sportif
#2
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A19/05
TBL
Bordo Sportif
#2
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A21/05
TBL
Bordo Sportif
#2
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H24/05
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A12/09
TBL
Final Spor
#5
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
H19/09
TBL
CO Basket
#14
W
84-62
84
62
+22
A26/09
TBL
Harem Spor
#3
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H03/10
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
14-26
17-17
31-13
13-20
20-23
22-19
23-20
23-19
24-24
13-26
24-15
12-22
8-25
21-19
21-17
12-16
21-15
13-21
21-23
18-28
19-17
18-18
10-16
15-16
13-19
21-21
19-26
15-19
23-15
14-21
22-19
24-16
18-15
21-18
21-13
20-21
16-16
16-13
18-17
154.9Avg total
76.3Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.275.0153.2+3.275%
Season at home (2)80.578.0158.5+2.5100%
Season away (2)76.072.0148.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)76.378.6154.9-2.350%
Last 5 (5)75.675.8151.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)70.067.0137.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (10)78.882.8161.6-4.040%
vs Weaker (19)80.170.5150.6+9.674%
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +3.1+3.1
Mersin SKGaziantep
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mersin SKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#15
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A27/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
MKE Ankaragucu
#10
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A19/09
TBL
Konya BBSK
#16
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H26/09
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A04/10
TBL
90.0Avg total
44.0Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.144.787.7-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.342.989.1+3.460%-
Last 30 away (15)39.946.586.3-6.633%-
Last 10 (10)44.046.090.0-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.287.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.547.185.6-8.621%-
vs Similar (11)47.442.389.6+5.173%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.443.089.4+3.460%-
This opponent (Gaziantep) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GaziantepLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Konya BBSK
#4
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H10/05
TBL
Konya BBSK
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A13/05
TBL
Konya BBSK
#4
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H16/05
TBL
Bordo Sportif
#2
L
20-47
20
47
-27
A19/05
TBL
Bordo Sportif
#2
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A21/05
TBL
Bordo Sportif
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H24/05
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A12/09
TBL
Final Spor
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H19/09
TBL
CO Basket
#14
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A26/09
TBL
Harem Spor
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H03/10
TBL
73.3Avg total
34.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.038.978.9+1.155%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.138.679.7+2.560%-
Last 30 away (14)38.939.278.1-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)34.638.773.3-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.236.472.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)36.037.073.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (10)36.540.176.6-3.650%-
vs Weaker (18)42.238.380.6+3.961%-
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mersin SKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mersin SK: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.319.4
58.3%
53.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.7
36.5%
33.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.714.8
75.1%
70.6%14.8
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gazianteptheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gaziantep: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.5
50.4%
53.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.5
29.8%
33.2%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.414.6
68.2%
70.6%14.6
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mersin SK
WWWLLLLLLL
Gaziantep
WWWLLLLWLW
#1
League position
#8
-0.8
Net rating
-2.4
100.4
Offensive rating
91.0
101.2
Defensive rating
93.4
56.6%
Effective FG%
48.1%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.9%
Turnover %
12.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.5%
3-point %
29.8%
85.7%
Assist %
70.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 91.0Defence101.2 · 93.4Shooting56.6% · 48.1%3-point %36.5% · 29.8%Ball care16.9% · 12.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Mersin SK   ■ Gaziantep
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mersin SK wins
0
Gaziantep wins
DateGameScore
06/10/12Mersin SK v Gaziantep76-68
Mersin SKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26AiLab Basketbol81-78
26/09/26HKonya BBSK87-82
19/09/26AMKE Ankaragucu100-70
10/05/26ATrabzonspor80-90
02/05/26HAnadolu Efes86-88
27/04/26AMerkezefendi93-101
18/04/26HBursaspor84-86
11/04/26AEsenler Erokspor78-88
04/04/26HBuyukcekmece87-94
29/03/26AKarsiyaka87-92
Gazianteplast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26HHarem Spor70-67
26/09/26ACO Basket84-62
19/09/26HFinal Spor91-89 OT
12/09/26AKecioren Baglum68-82
24/05/26HBordo Sportif65-79
21/05/26ABordo Sportif67-75
19/05/26ABordo Sportif62-83
16/05/26HKonya BBSK98-96 OT
13/05/26AKonya BBSK78-82
10/05/26HKonya BBSK80-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mersin SK
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.387.090.5
Allowed / game76.782.074.0
Point differential+12.7+5.0+16.5
Avg total166.0169.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gaziantep
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game78.280.576.0
Allowed / game75.078.072.0
Point differential+3.2+2.5+4.0
Avg total153.2158.5148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mersin SK330100%89.376.7+12.7
2 Buyukcekmece440100%83.271.5+11.8
3 Goztepe440100%80.269.0+11.2
4 Harem Spor54180%85.469.0+16.4
5 Kahramanmaras54180%82.072.8+9.2
6 Gaziantep43175%78.275.0+3.2
7 iLab Basketbol52340%82.480.6+1.8
8 Final Spor52340%81.083.0-2.0
9 Ankara Kolejliler52340%80.883.6-2.8
10 Darussafaka52340%75.080.0-5.0
11 Fenerbahce 252340%69.876.6-6.8
12 CO Basket52340%72.079.6-7.6
13 OGM Ormanspor41325%81.281.5-0.2
14 MKE Ankaragucu41325%75.096.5-21.5
15 Kecioren Baglum51420%82.285.0-2.8
16 Balikesir51420%72.275.8-3.6
17 Konya BBSK51420%73.681.6-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mersin SK2719281892
Gaziantep1315162670
← all games of the day
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