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Mersin W vs Adana Nova W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 20-0
Position#9
Record9-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game67.9
vs
Position#15
Record0-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game0.0
Allowed / game20.0
TurkeyTKBL WomenRound 25· Edip Buran Spor Salonu
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mersin W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adana Nova W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mersin WTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Urla Bld W
#14
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A20/12
TKBL Women
Bodrum W
#12
L
72-73
72
73
-1
66avg 58
H26/12
TKBL Women
Mersin Genclerbirligi W
#6
W
61-58
61
58
+3
43avg 58
A03/01
TKBL Women
Samsun Basketbol W
#1
L
70-81
70
81
-11
no box
H16/01
TKBL Women
Yalova W
#10
L
51-86
51
86
-35
27avg 58
A31/01
TKBL Women
Fenerbahce 2 W
#5
L
64-68
64
68
-4
54avg 58
H07/02
TKBL Women
Edirne W
#13
L
72-95
72
95
-23
53avg 58
A10/02
TKBL Women
Burhaniye W
#8
W
61-59
61
59
+2
55avg 58
A21/02
TKBL Women
Kirklareli W
#3
L
54-93
54
93
-39
47avg 58
H02/03
TKBL Women
Turgutlu W
#2
L
51-73
51
73
-22
39avg 58
A07/03
TKBL Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
16-20
16-16
22-14
18-23
14-11
16-21
17-12
14-14
21-22
15-26
16-16
18-17
20-20
13-21
9-24
9-21
10-11
17-15
14-19
23-23
18-26
9-25
23-21
22-23
11-16
20-18
13-15
17-10
9-25
16-23
8-27
21-18
15-26
13-17
9-15
14-15
126.2Avg total
57.6Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)65.067.9132.9-3.041%
Season at home (11)70.770.2140.9+0.536%
Season away (11)59.265.6124.8-6.545%
Last 10 (10)57.668.6126.2-11.030%
Last 5 (5)60.477.6138.0-17.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)64.174.4138.5-10.433%
vs Similar (7)70.073.7143.7-3.729%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)53.644.498.0+9.280%
This opponent (Adana Nova W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adana Nova WTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Edirne W
#13
L
0-20
0
20
-20
79avg 62
H20/12
TKBL Women
Burhaniye W
#8
L
0-20
0
20
-20
75avg 62
A03/01
TKBL Women
Kirklareli W
#3
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H16/01
TKBL Women
Turgutlu W
#2
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A31/01
TKBL Women
Mersin Genclerbirligi W
#6
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H06/02
TKBL Women
Istanbul GSK W
#4
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H11/02
TKBL Women
Darica W
#7
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A15/02
TKBL Women
Emlak Konut Gelisim 2 W
#11
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H21/02
TKBL Women
Urla Bld W
#14
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A28/02
TKBL Women
Bodrum W
#12
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H07/03
TKBL Women
20.0Avg total
0.0Scored
20.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)0.020.020.0-20.00%
Season at home (11)0.020.020.0-20.00%
Season away (11)0.020.020.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)0.020.020.0-20.00%
Last 5 (5)0.020.020.0-20.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)0.020.020.0-20.00%
vs Similar (1)0.020.020.0-20.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mersin W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9
Mersin WAdana Nova W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mersin WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bodrum W
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H26/12
TKBL Women
Mersin Genclerbirligi W
#6
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A03/01
TKBL Women
Samsun Basketbol W
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H16/01
TKBL Women
Yalova W
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A31/01
TKBL Women
Fenerbahce 2 W
#5
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H07/02
TKBL Women
Edirne W
#13
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A10/02
TKBL Women
Burhaniye W
#8
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A21/02
TKBL Women
Kirklareli W
#3
L
25-48
25
48
-23
H02/03
TKBL Women
Turgutlu W
#2
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A07/03
TKBL Women
69.8Avg total
29.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)34.537.171.7-2.636%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.735.770.4-0.947%-
Last 30 away (13)34.338.873.2-4.523%-
Last 10 (9)29.939.969.8-10.011%-
Last 5 (5)27.640.468.0-12.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)33.638.171.7-4.628%-
vs Similar (7)37.435.773.1+1.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)33.734.768.3-1.067%-
This opponent (Adana Nova W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adana Nova WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
No quarter scores for these games.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mersin Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mersin W: 61.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.115.8
42.6%
44.2%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.06.0
22.2%
29.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws16.511.9
72.1%
70.5%11.9
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adana Nova Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adana Nova W: 65.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.417.7
41.7%
44.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.85.9
29.8%
29.5%17.7
🏀 Free throws17.512.8
73.1%
70.5%12.8
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mersin W
LLWLLLLWLW
Adana Nova W
LLLLLLLLLL
#9
League position
#15
-14.2
Net rating
-5.1
71.4
Offensive rating
86.2
85.6
Defensive rating
91.3
38.7%
Effective FG%
42.7%
45.3%
Opp. effective FG%
43.3%
21.8%
Turnover %
22.8%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
22.2%
3-point %
29.8%
68.8%
Assist %
75.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence71.4 · 86.2Defence85.6 · 91.3Shooting38.7% · 42.7%3-point %22.2% · 29.8%Ball care21.8% · 22.8%Off. rebounds30.4% · 28.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 0%
■ Mersin W   ■ Adana Nova W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mersin W wins
0
Adana Nova W wins
DateGameScore
22/11/25Adana Nova W v Mersin W0-20
Mersin Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26ATurgutlu W51-73
02/03/26HKirklareli W54-93
21/02/26ABurhaniye W61-59
10/02/26AEdirne W72-95
07/02/26HFenerbahce 2 W64-68
31/01/26AYalova W51-86
16/01/26HSamsun Basketbol W70-81
03/01/26AMersin Genclerbirligi W61-58
26/12/25HBodrum W72-73
20/12/25AUrla Bld W20-0
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HBodrum W0-20
28/02/26AUrla Bld W0-20
21/02/26HEmlak Konut Gelisim 2 W0-20
15/02/26ADarica W0-20
11/02/26HIstanbul GSK W0-20
06/02/26HMersin Genclerbirligi W0-20
31/01/26ATurgutlu W0-20
16/01/26HKirklareli W0-20
03/01/26ABurhaniye W0-20
20/12/25HEdirne W0-20

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mersin W
TKBL Women 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL41%
HomeWLLLL36%
AwayWLLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%36%45%
Points / game65.070.759.2
Allowed / game67.970.265.6
Point differential-3.0+0.5-6.5
Avg total132.9140.9124.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%36%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adana Nova W
TKBL Women 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game0.00.00.0
Allowed / game20.020.020.0
Point differential-20.0-20.0-20.0
Avg total20.020.020.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Istanbul GSK W2319483%66.753.0+13.7
2 Samsun Basketbol W2218482%75.965.9+10.0
3 Kirklareli W2419579%66.055.5+10.5
4 Turgutlu W2318578%62.352.7+9.6
5 Fenerbahce 2 W2317674%62.057.6+4.4
6 Mersin Genclerbirligi W24131154%65.462.0+3.5
7 Burhaniye W24131154%62.660.8+1.8
8 Darica W22111150%58.562.5-4.1
9 Yalova W23111248%70.768.2+2.5
10 Mersin W2291341%65.067.9-3.0
11 Emlak Konut Gelisim 2 W2381535%58.259.8-1.6
12 Bodrum W2371630%63.968.6-4.7
13 Edirne W2371630%57.364.9-7.6
14 Urla Bld W211205%1.019.0-18.1
15 Adana Nova W220220%0.020.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

No quarter scores for this game.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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