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Mexico W vs Puerto Rico W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 02:10
Final 64-70
15-17 17-17 23-17 9-19
Position#9
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game63.0
Allowed / game72.5
Mexico W
vs
Puerto Rico W 🏆
Position#4
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game61.0
Allowed / game64.3
EuropeAmeriCup Women· Domo de la Feria (León)
Women2023
Meetings · Mexico W v Puerto Rico W
05 Jul 2023
MEXI64
PUER70
24 Sep 2013
MEXI60
PUER78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mexico W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Puerto Rico W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mexico WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Puerto Rico W
#3
L
49-69
49
69
-20
no box
A06/08
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#1
L
39-65
39
65
-26
no box
H08/08
AmeriCup Women
Paraguay W
#5
L
67-73 OT
67
73
-6
no box
A09/08
AmeriCup Women
Cuba W
#8
L
51-62
51
62
-11
no box
H10/08
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
L
53-109
53
109
-56
no box
H22/09
AmeriCup Women
Dominican Republic W
#6
L
52-67
52
67
-15
no box
A23/09
AmeriCup Women
Cuba W
#7
L
62-65
62
65
-3
no box
H25/09
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#5
L
39-79
39
79
-40
no box
A27/09
AmeriCup Women
Dominican Republic W
#10
W
69-62
69
62
+7
58avg 52
H02/07
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
L
57-83
57
83
-26
46avg 52
A03/07
AmeriCup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
7-19
18-14
10-12
8-15
12-13
8-21
11-16
16-17
12-13
14-11
21-22
11-12
14-11
9-22
17-17
13-31
7-20
21-27
12-31
8-9
18-20
14-20
12-18
16-16
13-18
13-12
20-19
8-22
6-20
9-20
16-17
14-19
20-11
14-17
21-15
7-23
14-11
14-27
22-22
127.2Avg total
53.8Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)63.072.5135.5-9.550%
Season at home (1)69.062.0131.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)57.083.0140.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)53.873.4127.2-19.610%
Last 5 (5)55.871.2127.0-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)52.476.7129.1-24.40%
vs Similar (1)77.084.0161.0-7.00%
vs Weaker (3)73.358.3131.7+15.067%
This opponent (Puerto Rico W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Puerto Rico WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Russia W
#8
L
68-102
68
102
-34
no box
H14/02
World Cup Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#13
W
82-58
82
58
+24
no box
A22/09
World Cup Women
USA W
#1
L
42-106
42
106
-64
no box
H23/09
World Cup Women
Belgium W
#7
L
65-68
65
68
-3
no box
H24/09
World Cup Women
China W
#2
L
60-95
60
95
-35
no box
A26/09
World Cup Women
South Korea W
#11
W
92-73
92
73
+19
no box
H27/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
L
60-79
60
79
-19
no box
H29/09
World Cup Women
Colombia W
#5
W
63-62
63
62
+1
56avg 50
H01/07
AmeriCup Women
Dominican Republic W
#10
W
73-47
73
47
+26
64avg 50
A02/07
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
L
47-84
47
84
-37
30avg 50
H04/07
AmeriCup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
22-20
12-31
23-29
31-16
22-20
16-9
13-13
11-27
10-27
6-26
15-26
11-12
20-19
17-18
17-19
15-25
10-26
17-21
18-23
28-10
23-20
21-17
20-26
11-26
12-18
19-16
18-19
10-19
17-21
22-11
14-11
22-11
17-13
14-15
20-8
16-19
12-15
14-25
5-25
142.6Avg total
65.2Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)61.064.3125.3-3.367%
Season at home (2)55.073.0128.0-18.050%
Season away (1)73.047.0120.0+26.0100%
Last 10 (10)65.277.4142.6-12.240%
Last 5 (5)67.069.0136.0-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)60.687.8148.4-27.110%
vs Similar (2)77.567.5145.0+10.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)79.953.5133.4+26.4100%
This opponent (Mexico W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -3.6-3.6
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -3.6-3.6
Mexico WPuerto Rico W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mexico WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puerto Rico W
#3
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A06/08
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#1
L
20-28
20
28
-8
H08/08
AmeriCup Women
Paraguay W
#5
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A09/08
AmeriCup Women
Cuba W
#8
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H10/08
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
L
20-51
20
51
-31
H22/09
AmeriCup Women
Dominican Republic W
#6
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A23/09
AmeriCup Women
Cuba W
#7
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H25/09
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#5
L
14-42
14
42
-28
A27/09
AmeriCup Women
Dominican Republic W
#10
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H02/07
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A03/07
AmeriCup Women
58.2Avg total
23.8Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)26.134.760.8-8.622%-
Last 30 at home (9)25.036.961.9-11.922%-
Last 30 away (9)27.232.659.8-5.322%-
Last 10 (10)23.834.458.2-10.620%-
Last 5 (5)24.833.858.6-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)23.135.959.0-12.714%-
vs Similar (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker (3)36.328.064.3+8.367%-
This opponent (Puerto Rico W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Puerto Rico WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Russia W
#8
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H14/02
World Cup Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#13
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A22/09
World Cup Women
USA W
#1
L
21-54
21
54
-33
H23/09
World Cup Women
Belgium W
#7
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H24/09
World Cup Women
China W
#2
L
25-51
25
51
-26
A26/09
World Cup Women
South Korea W
#11
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H27/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H29/09
World Cup Women
Colombia W
#5
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H01/07
AmeriCup Women
Dominican Republic W
#10
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A02/07
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H04/07
AmeriCup Women
71.7Avg total
33.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.838.372.1-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.137.870.9-4.731%-
Last 30 away (14)34.538.973.4-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)33.138.671.7-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)33.634.468.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)29.743.973.5-14.25%-
vs Similar (2)39.035.074.0+4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.625.267.9+17.4100%-
This opponent (Mexico W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mexico Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mexico W: 62.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.0 points a game
52%
28%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.515.5
34.8%
39.1%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.55.5
33.3%
29.0%16.5
🏀 Free throws22.014.5
65.9%
65.9%14.5
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Puerto Rico Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Puerto Rico W: 60.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.0 points a game
52%
28%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.713.3
35.4%
39.1%26.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.3
27.9%
29.0%19.0
🏀 Free throws22.014.7
66.7%
65.9%14.7
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/3 games with a box score before 05 Jul 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mexico W
LWLLLLLLLL
Puerto Rico W
LWWLWLLLWL
#9
League position
#4
-12.1
Net rating
-3.5
78.8
Offensive rating
79.4
90.9
Defensive rating
82.9
38.9%
Effective FG%
37.8%
36.4%
Opp. effective FG%
36.7%
24.5%
Turnover %
22.0%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.3%
3-point %
27.9%
61.9%
Assist %
71.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence78.8 · 79.4Defence90.9 · 82.9Shooting38.9% · 37.8%3-point %33.3% · 27.9%Ball care24.5% · 22.0%Off. rebounds28.9% · 25.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Mexico W   ■ Puerto Rico W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mexico W wins
3
Puerto Rico W wins
DateGameScore
27/09/19Puerto Rico W v Mexico W79-39
06/08/17Puerto Rico W v Mexico W69-49
24/09/13Mexico W v Puerto Rico W60-78
Mexico Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/23ACanada W57-83
02/07/23HDominican Republic W69-62
27/09/19APuerto Rico W39-79
25/09/19HCuba W62-65
23/09/19ADominican Republic W52-67
22/09/19HCanada W53-109
10/08/17HCuba W51-62
09/08/17AParaguay W67-73 OT
08/08/17HCanada W39-65
06/08/17APuerto Rico W49-69
Puerto Rico Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/07/23HCanada W47-84
02/07/23ADominican Republic W73-47
01/07/23HColombia W63-62
29/09/22HCanada W60-79
27/09/22HSouth Korea W92-73
26/09/22AChina W60-95
24/09/22HBelgium W65-68
23/09/22HUSA W42-106
22/09/22ABosnia & Herzegovina W82-58
14/02/22HRussia W68-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mexico W
AmeriCup Women 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game63.069.057.0
Allowed / game72.562.083.0
Point differential-9.5+7.0-26.0
Avg total135.5131.0140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Puerto Rico W
AmeriCup Women 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game61.055.073.0
Allowed / game64.373.047.0
Point differential-3.3-18.0+26.0
Avg total125.3128.0120.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canada W330100%85.353.0+32.3
2 Brazil W440100%76.259.5+16.8
3 USA W32167%66.359.0+7.3
4 Puerto Rico W32167%61.064.3-3.3
5 Mexico W21150%63.072.5-9.5
6 Venezuela W31233%78.785.0-6.3
7 Colombia W31233%62.369.3-7.0
8 Cuba W31233%68.087.0-19.0
9 Argentina W3030%58.062.3-4.3
10 Dominican Republic W3030%55.070.7-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mexico W151723964
Puerto Rico W1717171970
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