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Michigan vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 87-89
49-45 38-44
Position#44
Record8-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game63.1
vs
Position#118
Record7-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game64.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#216
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A14/03
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
W
101-53
101
53
+48
H05/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A10/11
NCAA
TCU
#210
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H15/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
W
94-67
94
67
+27
H18/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
W
72-49
72
49
+23
H22/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A25/11
NCAA
Xavier
#82
W
78-53
78
53
+25
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A04/12
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
22-33
35-33
54-26
47-27
38-34
32-38
34-31
42-33
44-36
50-31
40-30
32-19
34-33
41-30
41-30
37-23
26-32
41-32
40-37
45-46
140.9Avg total
77.5Scored
63.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.863.1142.9+16.789%
Season at home (6)84.361.5145.8+22.8100%
Season away (3)70.766.3137.0+4.367%
Last 10 (10)77.563.4140.9+14.180%
Last 5 (5)75.462.4137.8+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)68.180.6148.7-12.510%
vs Similar ◀ (5)85.064.0149.0+21.0100%
vs Weaker (4)73.262.0135.2+11.275%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#26
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A14/03
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A10/11
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
65-49
65
49
+16
H14/11
NCAA
Pacific
#336
W
91-72
91
72
+19
H19/11
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H23/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
109-35
109
35
+74
H26/11
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A28/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A04/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-38
31-42
39-28
37-32
33-42
34-30
26-27
39-22
44-37
47-35
42-24
37-43
60-15
49-20
34-49
43-41
32-40
44-33
27-32
48-28
143.9Avg total
78.1Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.464.2143.7+15.278%
Season at home (6)82.557.2139.7+25.3100%
Season away (3)73.378.3151.7-5.033%
Last 10 (10)78.165.8143.9+12.370%
Last 5 (5)83.265.0148.2+18.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.281.3155.5-7.231%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.576.5151.9-1.055%
vs Weaker (6)87.268.3155.5+18.883%
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: +9.0+9.02nd half: +8.3+8.3
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: +9.0+9.02nd half: +8.3+8.3
MichiganArkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#216
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A14/03
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H05/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A10/11
NCAA
TCU
#210
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H15/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H18/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H22/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A25/11
NCAA
Xavier
#82
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A04/12
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H07/12
NCAA
69.5Avg total
37.3Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.535.771.2-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.635.775.3+3.965%-
Last 30 away (13)30.135.765.8-5.638%-
Last 10 (10)37.332.269.5+5.180%-
Last 5 (5)36.232.468.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)34.037.271.2-3.338%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.032.273.2+8.880%-
vs Weaker (4)36.532.068.5+4.5100%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#26
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A14/03
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A10/11
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H14/11
NCAA
Pacific
#336
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H19/11
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H23/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
60-15
60
15
+45
H26/11
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A28/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A04/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H07/12
NCAA
70.4Avg total
37.2Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.835.771.5+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.832.869.5+4.059%-
Last 30 away (13)34.539.574.0-5.123%-
Last 10 (10)37.233.270.4+4.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.032.071.0+7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.837.474.2-0.646%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.035.069.0-1.045%-
vs Weaker (6)36.833.370.2+3.533%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan wins
0
Arkansas wins
No previous meetings.
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HIowa85-83
04/12/24AWisconsin67-64
28/11/24HXavier78-53
25/11/24AVirginia Tech75-63
22/11/24HTarleton72-49
18/11/24HMiami (Ohio)94-67
15/11/24HTCU76-64
10/11/24AWake Forest70-72
05/11/24HCleveland State101-53
14/03/24APenn State57-66
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HUTSA Roadrunners75-60
04/12/24AMiami (FL)76-73
28/11/24AIllinois77-90
26/11/24HMd.-East. Shore109-35
23/11/24HUALR79-67
19/11/24HPacific91-72
14/11/24HTroy65-49
10/11/24ABaylor67-72
07/11/24HLipscomb76-60
14/03/24ASouth Carolina66-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %89%100%67%
Points / game79.884.370.7
Allowed / game63.161.566.3
Point differential+16.7+22.8+4.3
Avg total142.9145.8137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%83%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %78%100%33%
Points / game79.482.573.3
Allowed / game64.257.278.3
Point differential+15.2+25.3-5.0
Avg total143.7139.7151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon109190%79.068.2+10.8
2 UCLA98189%77.755.1+22.6
3 Michigan98189%79.863.1+16.7
4 Maryland108280%85.561.1+24.4
5 Penn State108280%88.769.0+19.7
6 Michigan State108280%82.368.3+14.0
7 Indiana108280%80.469.1+11.3
8 Wisconsin108280%82.070.9+11.1
9 Purdue108280%78.370.4+7.9
10 Iowa97278%86.173.3+12.8
11 Illinois86275%86.262.5+23.8
12 Nebraska86275%79.470.6+8.8
13 Northwestern107370%73.064.6+8.4
14 Ohio State96367%82.266.2+16.0
15 Washington85362%68.969.4-0.5
16 Rutgers106460%79.775.6+4.1
17 USC106460%73.270.6+2.6
18 Minnesota116555%65.463.8+1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee990100%82.457.2+25.2
2 Florida990100%86.665.0+21.6
3 Oklahoma990100%81.766.0+15.7
4 Vanderbilt109190%83.569.5+14.0
5 Missouri98189%89.466.8+22.7
6 Kentucky98189%92.670.7+21.9
7 Auburn98189%87.067.1+19.9
8 Georgia98189%82.364.4+17.9
9 Ole Miss98189%83.366.2+17.1
10 Mississippi St.98189%86.269.2+17.0
11 LSU98189%81.869.9+11.9
12 Texas A&M108280%75.164.9+10.2
13 Texas97278%79.063.0+16.0
14 Arkansas97278%79.464.2+15.2
15 Alabama97278%89.278.1+11.1
16 South Carolina96367%75.167.2+7.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan493887
Arkansas454489
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