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Middle Tenn. St. vs Florida Atlantic Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 74-70
31-32 43-38
Position#143
Record15-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game68.7
vs
Position#6
Record24-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game65.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Middle Tenn. St. v Florida Atlantic
16 Feb 2023
MIDD74
FLOR70
13 Jan 2022
MIDD70
FLOR57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida Atlantic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rice
#164
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A12/01
NCAA
UAB
#44
W
74-73 OT
74
73
+1
H17/01
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
68-51
68
51
+17
A21/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A27/01
NCAA
Florida International
#255
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A29/01
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H03/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
W
84-60
84
60
+24
H04/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
L
89-93
89
93
-4
A10/02
NCAA
UAB
#44
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
22-36
49-32
31-31
35-35
26-27
36-31
43-24
25-27
30-38
37-47
39-44
35-38
38-31
46-41
35-29
49-31
39-49
50-44
22-47
47-45
147.6Avg total
74.2Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)71.668.7140.2+2.958%
Season at home (14)72.661.4134.0+11.186%
Season away (12)70.477.1147.5-6.725%
Last 10 (10)74.273.4147.6+0.860%
Last 5 (5)80.079.8159.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)67.470.6138.0-3.157%
vs Similar (15)73.471.5144.9+1.953%
vs Weaker (6)78.364.0142.3+14.367%
This opponent (Florida Atlantic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida AtlanticUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#19
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H14/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A17/01
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
W
83-64
83
64
+19
A20/01
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A22/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
W
85-67
85
67
+18
H27/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H28/01
NCAA
UAB
#44
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A03/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
W
67-52
67
52
+15
A04/02
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H10/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-32
39-30
34-33
42-29
46-30
37-34
37-24
30-35
38-30
47-37
35-30
35-33
30-43
47-43
30-31
37-21
38-32
52-49
41-41
35-35
145.2Avg total
77.1Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.065.5143.5+12.592%
Season at home (15)80.965.1146.1+15.8100%
Season away (11)74.065.9139.9+8.182%
Last 10 (10)77.168.1145.2+9.090%
Last 5 (5)78.873.4152.2+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.080.0146.0-14.00%
vs Similar (2)82.586.0168.5-3.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)78.164.8142.8+13.396%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -3.1-3.11st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +5.5+5.5
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -3.1-3.11st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +5.5+5.5
Middle Tenn. St.Florida Atlantic
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rice
#164
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A12/01
NCAA
UAB
#44
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H17/01
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A21/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A27/01
NCAA
Florida International
#255
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A29/01
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H03/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A10/02
NCAA
UAB
#44
L
22-47
22
47
-25
A11/02
NCAA
68.1Avg total
32.5Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.632.466.0+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.729.465.1+6.367%-
Last 30 away (15)31.535.466.9-3.927%-
Last 10 (10)32.535.668.1-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)34.640.074.6-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.333.065.3-0.757%-
vs Similar (15)33.132.665.7+0.540%-
vs Weaker (6)35.832.768.5+3.250%-
This opponent (Florida Atlantic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida AtlanticLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#19
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H14/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A17/01
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A20/01
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A22/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H27/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H28/01
NCAA
UAB
#44
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A03/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A04/02
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H10/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H11/02
NCAA
68.2Avg total
35.6Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.030.367.3+6.670%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.528.767.2+9.878%-
Last 30 away (12)34.732.867.5+1.858%-
Last 10 (10)35.632.668.2+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)34.835.470.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.047.082.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (2)35.542.077.5-6.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)37.229.266.5+8.080%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Middle Tenn. St. wins
4
Florida Atlantic wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23AUAB69-92
10/02/23AWestern Kentucky89-93
04/02/23HUTSA Roadrunners84-60
03/02/23HUTEP84-72
29/01/23AFlorida International74-82
27/01/23AFlorida Atlantic67-85
21/01/23ALouisiana Tech68-51
20/01/23HCharlotte62-58
17/01/23HUAB74-73 OT
12/01/23ARice71-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23HLouisiana Tech90-85 OT
10/02/23HRice90-81
04/02/23ACharlotte67-52
03/02/23AUAB77-86
28/01/23HWestern Kentucky70-63
27/01/23HMiddle Tenn. St.85-67
22/01/23AUTEP67-59
20/01/23AUTSA Roadrunners83-64
17/01/23AWestern Kentucky76-62
14/01/23HNorth Texas66-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL58%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %58%86%25%
Points / game71.672.670.4
Allowed / game68.761.477.1
Point differential+2.9+11.1-6.7
Avg total140.2134.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)80% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %8%7%8%
Florida Atlantic
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %92%100%82%
Points / game78.080.974.0
Allowed / game65.565.165.9
Point differential+12.5+15.8+8.1
Avg total143.5146.1139.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%60%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (7)100% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %8%7%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2721678%74.759.0+15.7
2 Sam Houston St.2519676%75.359.2+16.0
3 Kennesaw State2720774%75.268.7+6.5
4 Middle Tenn. St.26151158%71.668.7+2.9
5 Western Kentucky25141156%73.970.6+3.4
6 Louisiana Tech25131252%74.569.3+5.2
7 Missouri State27141352%65.163.3+1.7
8 Florida International26131350%71.873.5-1.8
9 Delaware27131448%69.369.9-0.6
10 UTEP25121348%68.266.6+1.6
11 Jacksonville State27101737%68.269.5-1.3
12 New Mexico State2691735%68.067.7+0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Atlantic2624292%78.065.5+12.5
2 North Texas2621581%63.255.6+7.7
3 Memphis2519676%81.273.4+7.8
4 Tulane2316770%82.275.7+6.5
5 UAB2618869%82.271.1+11.1
6 Rice2516964%78.774.2+4.6
7 Charlotte25141156%65.661.5+4.1
8 Temple26141254%69.669.4+0.2
9 Wichita State25131252%69.667.6+2.0
10 East Carolina25131252%69.870.2-0.4
11 South Florida26111542%73.372.3+1.0
12 UTSA Roadrunners2671927%67.174.8-7.7
13 Tulsa2552020%67.178.6-11.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Middle Tenn. St.314374
Florida Atlantic323870
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