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Minas vs Osasco Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 86-81
19-22 25-28 22-17 20-14
Position#3
Record7-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game76.6
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#18
Record2-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game87.5
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Osasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
73-83
73
83
-10
54avg 74
H14/06
NBB
Franca
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
52avg 74
A18/06
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
83-81
83
81
+2
80avg 74
H18/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
86avg 74
H20/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
79-71
79
71
+8
75avg 74
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#17
W
76-75
76
75
+1
72avg 74
A27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
84-76
84
76
+8
82avg 74
A01/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
86-70
86
70
+16
81avg 74
H04/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
108-74
108
74
+34
112avg 74
A08/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
78-80
78
80
-2
75avg 74
A10/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
16-14
16-20
24-25
21-23
21-22
27-20
4-21
23-20
21-22
12-20
27-19
20-21
16-16
17-13
22-25
12-17
24-15
22-18
21-21
27-17
8-22
20-14
21-22
23-14
15-23
30-17
16-22
21-17
18-20
22-18
25-15
27-19
26-20
30-18
25-17
19-20
20-21
22-14
17-25
161.0Avg total
82.8Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.276.6161.9+8.688%
Season at home (4)84.077.0161.0+7.0100%
Season away (4)86.576.2162.8+10.275%
Last 10 (10)82.878.2161.0+4.670%
Last 5 (5)86.475.0161.4+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.070.0156.0+16.0100%
vs Similar (8)78.478.8157.1-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)82.370.2152.5+12.195%
This opponent (Osasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsasco
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
60-105
60
105
-45
45avg 67
H19/10
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
74-77
74
77
-3
66avg 67
A22/10
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
69-82
69
82
-13
64avg 67
H25/10
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
104-103
104
103
+1
101avg 67
A30/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
75-91
75
91
-16
73avg 67
A03/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
67-88
67
88
-21
51avg 67
H05/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
81-94
81
94
-13
70avg 67
H09/11
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
69-60
69
60
+9
69avg 67
H12/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
12-25
16-27
14-26
24-19
14-26
18-16
18-16
26-20
12-28
19-16
12-18
23-21
30-26
25-36
26-20
26-21
17-30
15-20
17-20
24-28
14-17
21-29
8-14
17-23
29-24
18-19
17-28
12-12
14-14
17-14
26-20
162.4Avg total
74.9Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.987.5162.4-12.625%
Season at home (5)69.285.8155.0-16.620%
Season away (3)84.390.3174.7-6.033%
Last 10 (8)74.987.5162.4-12.625%
Last 5 (5)79.287.2166.4-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.791.4167.1-15.714%
vs Similar (1)69.060.0129.0+9.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -3.0-3.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -3.0-3.0
MinasOsasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H14/06
NBB
Franca
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A18/06
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H18/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H20/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#17
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A01/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H04/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A08/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A10/11
NBB
78.2Avg total
39.5Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.936.376.2+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.735.776.4+5.082%-
Last 30 away (13)38.837.175.8+1.746%-
Last 10 (10)39.538.778.2+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.838.679.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.037.076.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (8)39.440.579.9-1.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)40.134.774.8+5.476%-
This opponent (Osasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
30-52
30
52
-22
H19/10
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A22/10
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H25/10
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A30/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A03/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H05/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H09/11
NBB
Vasco
#20
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H12/11
NBB
84.1Avg total
39.0Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)39.045.184.1-6.112%-
Last 30 at home (5)35.643.679.2-8.00%-
Last 30 away (3)44.747.792.3-3.033%-
Last 10 (8)39.045.184.1-6.112%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.284.4-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)40.947.988.7-7.014%-
vs Similar (1)26.026.052.0+0.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.3
48.9%
52.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.5
34.2%
32.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.816.8
73.7%
72.8%16.8
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osasco: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.616.1
52.7%
52.2%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.1
30.7%
32.5%27.4
🏀 Free throws19.414.5
74.8%
72.8%14.5
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
LWWWWWWWLL
Osasco
WLLLWLLL
#3
League position
#18
+5.8
Net rating
-16.0
107.6
Offensive rating
97.9
101.8
Defensive rating
113.9
49.9%
Effective FG%
49.4%
45.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
16.6%
Turnover %
18.9%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
20.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.2%
3-point %
30.7%
61.2%
Assist %
68.3%
70%
Form (last 10/8)
25%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 97.9Defence101.8 · 113.9Shooting49.9% · 49.4%3-point %34.2% · 30.7%Ball care16.6% · 18.9%Off. rebounds29.6% · 20.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/8)70% · 25%
■ Minas   ■ Osasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Minas wins
0
Osasco wins
No previous meetings.
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/25ABrasilia78-80
08/11/25ARio Claro108-74
04/11/25HFranca86-70
01/11/25ACruzeiro84-76
27/10/25APato76-75
23/10/25HMogi79-71
20/10/25HSao Jose88-86 OT
18/10/25HCorinthians Paulista83-81
18/06/25AFranca73-86
14/06/25HFranca73-83
Osascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25HVasco69-60
09/11/25HPaulistano81-94
05/11/25HFlamengo67-88
03/11/25APinheiros75-91
30/10/25ARio Claro104-103
25/10/25HBauru69-82
22/10/25ABrasilia74-77
19/10/25HFranca60-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game85.284.086.5
Allowed / game76.677.076.2
Point differential+8.6+7.0+10.2
Avg total161.9161.0162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Osasco
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW25%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %25%20%33%
Points / game74.969.284.3
Allowed / game87.585.890.3
Point differential-12.6-16.6-6.0
Avg total162.4155.0174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo10100100%90.172.7+17.4
2 Minas87188%85.276.6+8.6
3 Mogi86275%82.066.0+16.0
4 Brasilia86275%83.469.5+13.9
5 Corinthians Paulista86275%86.476.4+10.0
6 Pinheiros86275%82.574.9+7.6
7 Franca96367%83.973.8+10.1
8 Unifacisa74357%77.077.7-0.7
9 Paulistano95456%79.173.9+5.2
10 Bauru84450%71.272.9-1.6
11 Caxias do Sul63350%70.778.0-7.3
12 Sao Jose73443%73.773.9-0.1
13 Uniao Corinthians73443%76.185.1-9.0
14 Cearense72529%79.086.4-7.4
15 Osasco82625%74.987.5-12.6
16 Pato92722%71.979.2-7.3
17 Botafogo92722%70.682.0-11.4
18 Cruzeiro92722%73.085.0-12.0
19 Rio Claro92722%78.192.0-13.9
20 Vasco8080%67.177.1-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas1925222086
Osasco2228171481
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