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Mississippi St. vs Memphis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 71-66
34-30 37-36
Position#257
Record7-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#277
Record4-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game76.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Memphis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa State
#34
W
96-80
96
80
+16
H11/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H15/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
77-98
77
98
-21
A21/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A22/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
81-78 OT
81
78
+3
H25/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
81-87 OT
81
87
-6
H29/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A04/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H07/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A14/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
53-35
43-45
40-35
35-33
36-44
41-54
39-40
39-40
28-34
40-34
43-39
31-35
37-28
48-45
22-30
40-35
32-42
50-32
39-38
48-45
159.0Avg total
80.4Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.977.1158.0+3.864%
Season at home (7)81.174.7155.9+6.471%
Season away (4)80.581.2161.8-0.850%
Last 10 (10)80.478.6159.0+1.860%
Last 5 (5)79.476.4155.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.883.7157.4-9.917%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.079.6160.6+1.457%
vs Weaker (4)80.863.2144.0+17.5100%
This opponent (Memphis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MemphisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Francisco
#191
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H08/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A12/11
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
78-92
78
92
-14
H16/11
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A20/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H27/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H04/12
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H06/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
73-99
73
99
-26
A13/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
70-77 OT
70
77
-7
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-22
40-48
33-42
44-41
36-49
42-43
35-36
36-44
33-27
35-42
42-29
32-29
48-28
38-42
37-34
41-37
37-57
36-42
22-28
40-34
152.0Avg total
75.1Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.176.9152.0-1.840%
Season at home (7)75.772.4148.1+3.357%
Season away (3)73.787.3161.0-13.70%
Last 10 (10)75.176.9152.0-1.840%
Last 5 (5)76.275.0151.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.277.0150.2-3.840%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.874.2153.9+5.667%
vs Weaker (13)79.873.4153.2+6.485%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -1.8-1.8
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -1.8-1.8
Mississippi St.Memphis
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa State
#34
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H11/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H15/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A21/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A22/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H25/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H29/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A04/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H07/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A14/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H17/12
NCAA
73.4Avg total
36.9Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.336.872.1-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.536.172.6+0.447%-
Last 30 away (13)33.637.771.3-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)36.936.573.4+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.635.470.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.739.773.3-6.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.436.472.8-0.143%-
vs Weaker (4)36.229.565.8+6.875%-
This opponent (Memphis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MemphisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Francisco
#191
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H08/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A12/11
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H16/11
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A20/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H27/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H04/12
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H06/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A13/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
22-28
22
28
-6
H18/12
NCAA
71.1Avg total
35.9Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.533.770.1+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.732.268.9+4.563%-
Last 30 away (11)36.036.272.2-0.245%-
Last 10 (10)35.935.271.1+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.272.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.636.871.4-2.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.233.871.0+3.567%-
vs Weaker (13)36.532.468.8+4.154%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mississippi St. wins
1
Memphis wins
DateGameScore
21/12/24Memphis v Mississippi St.66-79
28/03/21Memphis v Mississippi St.77-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25HLIU Sharks87-83
14/12/25AUtah Utes82-74
07/12/25HSan Francisco62-65
04/12/25AGeorgia Tech85-73
29/11/25HSMU Mustangs81-87 OT
25/11/25HNew Orleans81-78 OT
22/11/25ANew Mexico78-80
21/11/25AKansas State77-98
15/11/25HSE Louisiana75-68
11/11/25HIowa State96-80
Memphislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25HVanderbilt70-77 OT
13/12/25ALouisville73-99
06/12/25HBaylor78-71
04/12/25HNew Orleans86-70
27/11/25HSouthern Illinois74-58
22/11/25HWake Forest68-69
20/11/25APurdue71-80
16/11/25HUNLV78-92
12/11/25AOle Miss77-83
08/11/25HSan Francisco76-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW64%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %64%71%50%
Points / game80.981.180.5
Allowed / game77.174.781.2
Point differential+3.8+6.4-0.8
Avg total158.0155.9161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %18%29%0%
Memphis
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL40%
HomeLWWWL57%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %40%57%0%
Points / game75.175.773.7
Allowed / game76.972.487.3
Point differential-1.8+3.3-13.7
Avg total152.0148.1161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %10%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt11110100%93.772.6+21.1
2 Georgia1110191%99.571.6+27.9
3 LSU1110191%87.570.1+17.5
4 Missouri1210283%86.869.8+16.9
5 Arkansas119282%89.973.2+16.7
6 Texas A&M118373%92.976.7+16.2
7 Tennessee118373%81.165.6+15.5
8 Alabama118373%94.182.0+12.1
9 Oklahoma118373%85.174.4+10.7
10 Auburn118373%86.576.8+9.6
11 Kentucky128467%83.866.3+17.4
12 Texas128467%87.471.3+16.1
13 Florida117464%83.871.2+12.6
14 South Carolina117464%78.468.2+10.2
15 Ole Miss117464%75.467.7+7.6
16 Mississippi St.117464%80.977.1+3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa1211192%89.370.7+18.7
2 UAB128467%84.272.3+11.8
3 Florida Atlantic128467%83.272.7+10.5
4 North Texas128467%68.364.2+4.1
5 Tulane128467%74.276.4-2.2
6 Wichita State127558%77.167.2+9.8
7 Temple127558%78.872.2+6.6
8 South Florida116555%89.081.8+7.2
9 Rice126650%77.371.2+6.1
10 Charlotte125742%70.871.5-0.8
11 East Carolina125742%68.474.3-5.9
12 Memphis104640%75.176.9-1.8
13 UTSA Roadrunners114736%71.575.0-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mississippi St.343771
Memphis303666
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