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Missouri State vs UTEP Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 79-55
49-23 30-32
Position#223
Record7-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game69.7
vs
Position#307
Record4-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game71.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTEP winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
L
85-86
85
86
-1
H12/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
49-67
49
67
-18
A15/11
NCAA
Rio Grande Redmen
#199
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H22/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H25/11
NCAA
Northeastern State
#422
W
92-71
92
71
+21
H30/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
74-98
74
98
-24
A06/12
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A13/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H17/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H23/12
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
46-33
39-53
25-34
24-33
28-30
46-37
40-35
21-40
60-33
32-38
32-48
42-50
28-31
29-44
30-24
33-38
34-22
36-43
27-17
34-26
139.5Avg total
68.6Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.369.7143.0+3.758%
Season at home (8)79.969.1149.0+10.875%
Season away (4)60.270.8131.0-10.525%
Last 10 (10)68.670.9139.5-2.350%
Last 5 (5)65.068.6133.6-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)66.673.4139.9-6.812%
vs Similar (9)63.170.6133.7-7.422%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)62.052.5114.5+9.5100%
This opponent (UTEP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTEPUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
58-71
58
71
-13
H12/11
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
51-75
51
75
-24
A15/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (TX)
#374
W
84-83 OT
84
83
+1
H20/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H24/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
59-75
59
75
-16
A25/11
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A08/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A14/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H22/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H23/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-34
20-37
20-34
31-41
30-41
42-31
23-35
40-39
34-37
25-38
31-37
37-38
29-25
32-41
32-42
39-30
32-36
44-30
28-38
35-37
138.6Avg total
65.4Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)71.671.5143.1+0.133%
Season at home (7)79.670.3149.9+9.357%
Season away (5)60.473.2133.6-12.80%
Last 10 (10)65.473.2138.6-7.820%
Last 5 (5)67.870.8138.6-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)64.273.0137.2-8.817%
vs Similar (13)70.375.6145.9-5.323%
vs Weaker (2)79.068.0147.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: -6.2-6.22nd half2nd half: -6.6-6.62nd half: -1.7-1.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: -6.2-6.22nd half2nd half: -6.6-6.62nd half: -1.7-1.7
Missouri StateUTEP
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H12/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A15/11
NCAA
Rio Grande Redmen
#199
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H22/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H25/11
NCAA
Northeastern State
#422
W
60-33
60
33
+27
H30/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A06/12
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A13/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H17/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H23/12
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
27-17
27
17
+10
A29/12
NCAA
65.7Avg total
35.0Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.931.764.6+1.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.530.966.4+4.650%-
Last 30 away (14)30.032.562.5-2.529%-
Last 10 (10)35.030.765.7+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)30.228.458.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)31.433.965.3-2.619%-
vs Similar (9)30.429.960.3+0.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)28.520.549.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (UTEP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTEPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H12/11
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
20-34
20
34
-14
A15/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (TX)
#374
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H20/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
23-35
23
35
-12
H24/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A25/11
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A08/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A14/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H22/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H23/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A30/12
NCAA
65.6Avg total
29.7Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.435.267.6-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.935.168.9-1.247%-
Last 30 away (15)30.935.366.3-4.427%-
Last 10 (10)29.735.965.6-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)30.435.666.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)29.934.864.7-4.825%-
vs Similar (13)31.235.867.1-4.638%-
vs Weaker (2)40.536.577.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Missouri State wins
0
UTEP wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/25ADelaware61-43
23/12/25HLindenwood70-65
17/12/25HOral Roberts63-62
13/12/25AXavier57-75
06/12/25ATulsa74-98
30/11/25HNortheastern State92-71
25/11/25HLIU Sharks61-75
22/11/25HRio Grande Redmen74-67
15/11/25AUT Arlington49-67
12/11/25HArkansas State85-86
UTEPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25ALouisiana Tech63-75
23/12/25HNorth Dakota St76-66
22/12/25HNorfolk State71-72
14/12/25AHawaii61-66
08/12/25ASeattle68-75
25/11/25AUAB59-75
24/11/25HWilliam & Mary63-74
20/11/25HSt. Thomas (TX)84-83 OT
15/11/25AUtah State51-75
12/11/25HLoyola Marymount58-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW58%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %58%75%25%
Points / game73.379.960.2
Allowed / game69.769.170.8
Point differential+3.7+10.8-10.5
Avg total143.0149.0131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
UTEP
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLWLLW57%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %33%57%0%
Points / game71.679.660.4
Allowed / game71.570.373.2
Point differential+0.1+9.3-12.8
Avg total143.1149.9133.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1310377%81.568.1+13.5
2 New Mexico State129375%77.467.3+10.1
3 Kennesaw State138562%91.876.5+15.3
4 Louisiana Tech138562%70.258.5+11.6
5 Sam Houston St.138562%88.376.8+11.5
6 Florida International138562%88.279.2+8.9
7 Middle Tenn. St.138562%77.469.6+7.8
8 Western Kentucky138562%84.578.0+6.5
9 Missouri State127558%73.369.7+3.7
10 Jacksonville State137654%74.363.6+10.7
11 UTEP124833%71.671.5+0.1
12 Delaware134931%66.172.2-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State493079
UTEP233255
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