Mistelbach host Mattersburg on 14 November 2026 in the Zweite Liga, and the Pythia model names Mistelbach the clear favourite, rating them 90% to win, a reflection of their flawless 5-0 season record, 85.0 points per game and only 71.4 points allowed, placing them second in the league; Mattersburg sit in seventh with a 3-3 record, 71.5 points per game and 72.8 allowed. Mistelbach have won all three of their home games, averaging 85.0 points and conceding just 66.3, and have won each of their last five outings, including a 90-83 victory over Traiskirchen Young Lions and an 81-80 win at Wagram; Mattersburg's road form is 1-1, with 74.5 points scored and 73.5 allowed, and they have won three of their last five, highlighted by a 86-65 win over BK Wien. In their ten previous meetings, Mistelbach have prevailed seven times, most recently defeating Mattersburg 95-84 on 28 February 2026. The model projects a 85-70 scoreline, 155.2 total points, a home line of -8.0 with a 74% chance of covering, and a 63% probability of the over on the 149.5 total, with a 2% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 85.0 | 71.4 | 156.4 | +13.6 | 100% |
| Season at home (3) | 85.0 | 66.3 | 151.3 | +18.7 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 85.0 | 79.0 | 164.0 | +6.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.4 | 73.0 | 155.4 | +9.4 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 85.0 | 71.4 | 156.4 | +13.6 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (2) | 78.0 | 81.0 | 159.0 | -3.0 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (28) | 86.6 | 71.6 | 158.2 | +15.0 | 82% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 71.5 | 72.8 | 144.3 | -1.3 | 50% |
| Season at home (4) | 70.0 | 72.5 | 142.5 | -2.5 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 74.5 | 73.5 | 148.0 | +1.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 74.8 | 74.8 | 149.6 | +0.0 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 70.6 | 72.0 | 142.6 | -1.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 71.9 | 81.0 | 152.9 | -9.1 | 15% |
| vs Similar (6) | 83.2 | 77.5 | 160.7 | +5.7 | 67% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 82.5 | 71.0 | 153.5 | +11.5 | 91% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 75.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.0 | 36.1 | 80.1 | +8.0 | 73% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 43.5 | 34.3 | 77.8 | +9.2 | 81% | 56% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 44.6 | 38.1 | 82.7 | +6.6 | 64% | 71% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.1 | 37.0 | 80.1 | +6.1 | 80% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.0 | 35.8 | 81.8 | +10.2 | 100% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (2) | 45.5 | 41.0 | 86.5 | +4.5 | 50% | 100% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (28) | 43.9 | 35.7 | 79.6 | +8.2 | 75% | 61% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 75.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.9 | 36.9 | 75.9 | +2.0 | 63% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 39.3 | 35.9 | 75.2 | +3.4 | 69% | 44% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 38.5 | 38.1 | 76.6 | +0.4 | 57% | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.9 | 37.9 | 75.8 | +0.0 | 70% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.6 | 39.0 | 73.6 | -4.4 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 36.8 | 39.7 | 76.5 | -2.8 | 54% | 38% |
| vs Similar (6) | 41.7 | 37.2 | 78.8 | +4.5 | 50% | 50% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 39.9 | 33.5 | 73.5 | +6.4 | 82% | 55% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mistelbach -8 | 74.3% | 1.81 | 1.81 | - | - | - | - | +24.6pp | Lost |
| Mistelbach over 79 | 74.0% | 1.63 | 1.63 | - | - | - | - | +21.1pp | Lost |
| Mistelbach over 80 | 70.5% | 1.68 | 1.68 | - | - | - | - | +19.3pp | Lost |
| Mistelbach over 75.5 | 83.4% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +18.7pp | Lost |
| Mistelbach -6.5 | 77.9% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +16.5pp | Lost |
| Mistelbach over 78.5 | 74.8% | 1.50 | 1.57 | 1.44 | - | - | - | +14.9pp | Lost |
| Mistelbach over 79.5 | 71.5% | 1.62 | 1.75 | 1.60 | 1.52 | - | - | +14.5pp | Lost |
| Mistelbach over 77.5 | 77.9% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +14.0pp | Lost |
| Mistelbach over 76.5 | 80.8% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +13.6pp | Lost |
| Over 146.5 | 70.1% | 1.62 | 1.62 | - | - | - | - | +12.5pp | Lost |
| Mistelbach (regulation) | 89.1% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +10.3pp | Won |
| Mistelbach win | 90.4% | 1.06 | 1.08 | 1.07 | 1.07 | 1.07 | 1.06 | +5.6pp | Won |
| Mistelbach -8.5 | 72.1% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Lost |
| Mistelbach -7.5 | 75.1% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Lost |
| Overtime: no | 97.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.01 | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.9 | 19.4 | 54.3% | 38.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.7 | 8.2 | 31.4% | 24.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.2 | 18.7 | 64.1% | 18.7 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 31.4 | 17.7 | 54.3% | 35.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.3 | 8.4 | 31.4% | 25.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.9 | 16.1 | 64.1% | 16.1 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 | Mistelbach v Mattersburg | 95-84 |
| 15/11/25 | Mattersburg v Mistelbach | 68-74 |
| 01/02/25 | Mattersburg v Mistelbach | 70-90 |
| 09/11/24 | Mistelbach v Mattersburg | 76-87 |
| 10/02/24 | Mistelbach v Mattersburg | 94-54 |
| 03/12/23 | Mattersburg v Mistelbach | 58-81 |
| 14/04/23 | Mistelbach v Mattersburg | 81-64 |
| 08/04/23 | Mattersburg v Mistelbach | 67-69 |
| 01/04/23 | Mistelbach v Mattersburg | 91-95 OT |
| 21/01/23 | Mistelbach v Mattersburg | 69-72 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | A | Celovec | 80-75 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Traiskirchen Young Lions | 90-83 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Wagram | 81-80 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Gussing Blackbirds | 97-56 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Vienna United | 77-63 |
| 14/05/26 | H | Wagram | 67-74 |
| 09/05/26 | A | Wagram | 53-96 |
| 02/05/26 | H | Wagram | 87-60 |
| 25/04/26 | H | Vienna United | 103-72 |
| 19/04/26 | A | Vienna United | 89-71 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | Vienna Timberwolves | 57-81 |
| 01/11/26 | H | BK Rapid Wien | 86-65 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Radenthein | 75-62 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Vienna United | 73-70 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Wagram | 62-82 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Worthersee Piraten | 76-77 OT |
| 28/03/26 | H | Kufstein | 87-89 |
| 21/03/26 | A | Kufstein | 70-85 |
| 14/03/26 | H | Wagram | 69-64 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Salzburg | 93-73 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 100% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 85.0 | 85.0 | 85.0 |
| Allowed / game | 71.4 | 66.3 | 79.0 |
| Point differential | +13.6 | +18.7 | +6.0 |
| Avg total | 156.4 | 151.3 | 164.0 |
| Over 151.5 | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWWL | 50% |
| Home | LWWL | 50% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Points / game | 71.5 | 70.0 | 74.5 |
| Allowed / game | 72.8 | 72.5 | 73.5 |
| Point differential | -1.3 | -2.5 | +1.0 |
| Avg total | 144.3 | 142.5 | 148.0 |
| Over 151.5 | 17% | 0% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | - | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 17% | 0% | 50% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 89.2 | 65.7 | +23.5 | |
| 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 85.0 | 71.4 | +13.6 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 101.2 | 78.8 | +22.3 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 92.7 | 80.0 | +12.7 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 84.5 | 74.8 | +9.7 | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 87.3 | 81.5 | +5.8 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 71.5 | 72.8 | -1.3 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 78.0 | 80.4 | -2.4 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 83.8 | 87.0 | -3.2 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 72.8 | 77.8 | -5.0 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 89.2 | 99.0 | -9.8 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 84.5 | 88.3 | -3.8 | |
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 79.7 | 98.8 | -19.2 | |
| 14 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 80.2 | 98.3 | -18.2 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 72.6 | 103.6 | -31.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 65 | |
| 18 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 63 |
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