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MKE Ankaragucu vs Gaziantep Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 62-71
16-22 15-15 15-19 16-15
Position#12
Record3-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game93.6
MKE Ankaragucu
Turkey
Vs
29%
71%
■ MKE 29%■ GAZ 71%
Pythia win probability
Projected 78-85
Projected total 162.8
Gaziantep 🏆
Turkey
Position#5
Record4-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game78.7
TurkeyTBLRound 9· TOBB ETÜ Spor Salonu
Other2026-27
Meetings · MKE Ankaragucu v Gaziantep
31 Oct 2026
MKE 62
GAZ71
09 Feb 2026
MKE 72
GAZ87
28 Apr 2025
MKE 72
GAZ66
26 Mar 2025
MKE 93
GAZ84
27 Nov 2023
MKE 85
GAZ96
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
MKE Ankaragucu host Gaziantep in the TBL. Pythia makes Gaziantep the favourite at 71% and projects 78-85, about 163 points in all. On the market's main spread (MKE Ankaragucu +7) Pythia gives MKE Ankaragucu 52% to cover. Overtime chance: 5%. MKE Ankaragucu are 3-4 this season (81.9 scored, 93.6 allowed a game), form LWWWL; Gaziantep are 4-3 this season (79.7 scored, 78.7 allowed a game), form WWLWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

MKE Ankaragucu winLost
28.9%fair 3.46
Best odds3.40
Implied28.6%
Edge+0.3pp
Gaziantep winWon
71.1%fair 1.41
Best odds1.33
Implied71.4%
Edge-0.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 29 Oct 18:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MKE AnkaragucuTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAnkaragucu
Date
Competition
Goztepe
#5
L
81-94
81
94
-13
72avg 68
A07/04
TBL
Final Spor
#16
W
77-70
77
70
+7
74avg 68
H12/04
TBL
Cayirova
#1
L
65-81
65
81
-16
57avg 68
H18/04
TBL
Harem Spor
#3
L
62-113
62
113
-51
50avg 68
A12/09
TBL
Mersin SK
#1
L
70-100
70
100
-30
50avg 68
H19/09
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#7
L
77-89
77
89
-12
66avg 68
A26/09
TBL
OGM Ormanspor
#8
W
91-84
91
84
+7
83avg 68
H03/10
TBL
Goztepe
#2
W
88-86
88
86
+2
68avg 68
H10/10
TBL
Konya BBSK
#15
W
93-88
93
88
+5
87avg 68
H17/10
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#9
L
92-95
92
95
-3
82avg 68
A24/10
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-32
22-18
18-20
25-24
24-9
21-21
16-18
16-22
18-17
18-19
11-27
18-18
13-19
20-38
16-30
13-26
18-38
23-17
17-29
12-16
15-25
26-26
21-22
15-16
27-17
20-14
22-28
22-25
17-25
29-20
25-24
17-17
18-26
19-28
31-19
25-15
20-24
33-20
12-23
27-28
169.6Avg total
79.6Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.993.6175.4-11.743%
Season at home (4)85.589.5175.0-4.075%
Season away (3)77.099.0176.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)79.690.0169.6-10.440%
Last 5 (5)88.288.4176.6-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)77.488.0165.4-10.631%
vs Similar (13)81.083.2164.2-2.254%
vs Weaker (1)20.00.020.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Gaziantep) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GaziantepTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGaziantep
Date
Competition
Bordo Sportif
#2
L
62-83
62
83
-21
51avg 77
A19/05
TBL
Bordo Sportif
#2
L
67-75
67
75
-8
57avg 77
A21/05
TBL
Bordo Sportif
#2
L
65-79
65
79
-14
61avg 77
H24/05
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
L
68-82
68
82
-14
57avg 77
A12/09
TBL
Final Spor
#6
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
78avg 77
H19/09
TBL
CO Basket
#10
W
84-62
84
62
+22
81avg 77
A26/09
TBL
Harem Spor
#3
W
70-67
70
67
+3
68avg 77
H03/10
TBL
Mersin SK
#1
L
70-92
70
92
-22
64avg 77
A08/10
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#7
W
90-70
90
70
+20
91avg 77
H11/10
TBL
OGM Ormanspor
#8
L
85-89
85
89
-4
71avg 77
A17/10
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
8-25
21-19
21-17
12-16
21-15
13-21
21-23
18-28
19-17
18-18
10-16
15-16
13-19
21-21
19-26
15-19
23-15
14-21
22-19
24-16
18-15
21-18
21-13
20-21
16-16
16-13
18-17
13-27
15-19
16-28
26-18
21-18
33-12
20-23
16-17
20-20
24-21
22-19
19-29
154.0Avg total
75.2Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.778.7158.4+1.057%
Season at home (3)83.775.3159.0+8.3100%
Season away (4)76.881.2158.0-4.525%
Last 10 (10)75.278.8154.0-3.640%
Last 5 (5)79.876.0155.8+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.079.5149.5-9.550%
vs Similar (11)80.283.3163.5-3.136%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)79.269.5148.7+9.671%
This opponent (MKE Ankaragucu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 158Actual: Under 158
Over 158
61.1%
Under 158
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 163.25 · main lineActual: Under 163.25
Over 163.25
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under 163.25
no forecast
@ 1.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 168Actual: Under 168
Over 168
36.7%
Under 168
63.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

MKE Ankaragucu total 74Actual: MKE Ankaragucu under 74
Over 74
66.1%
Under 74
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MKE Ankaragucu total 78 · main lineActual: MKE Ankaragucu under 78
Over 78
50.4%
@ 1.72+0.4pp
Under 78
49.6%
@ 1.72-0.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.72
Under
1xBet
1.72
MKE Ankaragucu total 82Actual: MKE Ankaragucu under 82
Over 82
34.9%
Under 82
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gaziantep total 81.5Actual: Gaziantep under 81.5
Over 81.5
61.8%
@ 1.41-0.1pp
Under 81.5
38.2%
@ 2.29+0.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.41
Under
1xBet
2.29
Gaziantep total 85.5 · main lineActual: Gaziantep under 85.5
Over 85.5
46.2%
@ 1.91-2.4pp
Under 85.5
53.8%
@ 1.83+2.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.77
Under
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.78
BetVictor
1.78
1xBet
1.67
Gaziantep total 89.5Actual: Gaziantep under 89.5
Over 89.5
31.2%
@ 2.48-4.2pp
Under 89.5
68.8%
@ 1.36+4.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.48
Under
1xBet
1.36

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread MKE Ankaragucu +4Actual: Gaziantep -4
MKE +4
40.2%
@ 2.08-2.6pp
GAZ -4
59.8%
@ 1.56+2.6pp
Best 5 market prices
MKE
Pinnacle
2.08
GAZ
Pinnacle
1.56
Spread MKE Ankaragucu +7 · main lineActual: Gaziantep -7
MKE +7
52.1%
@ 1.86+2.5pp
GAZ -7
47.9%
@ 1.84-2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
MKE
SBO
1.86
Pinnacle
1.85
GAZ
SBO
1.84
Pinnacle
1.82
Spread MKE Ankaragucu +10Actual: MKE Ankaragucu +10
MKE +10
63.4%
GAZ -10
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
MKE
No market prices yet.
GAZ
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
MKE AnkaragucuGaziantep
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MKE AnkaragucuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goztepe
#5
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A07/04
TBL
Final Spor
#16
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H12/04
TBL
Cayirova
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H18/04
TBL
Harem Spor
#3
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A12/09
TBL
Mersin SK
#1
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H19/09
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A26/09
TBL
OGM Ormanspor
#8
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H03/10
TBL
Goztepe
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H10/10
TBL
Konya BBSK
#15
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H17/10
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#9
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A24/10
TBL
87.0Avg total
41.7Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 80.5
Last 30 (29)39.743.382.9-3.634%59%
Last 30 at home (14)41.440.982.3+0.443%50%
Last 30 away (15)38.145.583.5-7.427%67%
Last 10 (10)41.745.387.0-3.640%70%
Last 5 (5)44.845.089.8-0.260%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.945.185.1-5.231%69%
vs Similar (13)39.341.080.3-1.738%46%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gaziantep) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GaziantepLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bordo Sportif
#2
L
20-47
20
47
-27
A19/05
TBL
Bordo Sportif
#2
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A21/05
TBL
Bordo Sportif
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H24/05
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A12/09
TBL
Final Spor
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H19/09
TBL
CO Basket
#10
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A26/09
TBL
Harem Spor
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H03/10
TBL
Mersin SK
#1
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A08/10
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#7
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H11/10
TBL
OGM Ormanspor
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A17/10
TBL
73.7Avg total
36.0Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 80.5
Last 30 (29)39.639.078.6+0.752%38%
Last 30 at home (14)41.437.979.3+3.457%50%
Last 30 away (15)38.039.977.9-1.947%27%
Last 10 (10)36.037.773.7-1.750%30%
Last 5 (5)40.837.077.8+3.860%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.041.573.5-9.50%0%
vs Similar (11)38.539.878.3-1.455%55%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.438.179.4+3.356%31%
This opponent (MKE Ankaragucu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Gaziantep win
MKE win
no forecast
@ 2.60
GAZ win
no forecast
@ 1.45
1st half Spread MKE Ankaragucu +3.5 · main lineActual: Gaziantep -3.5
MKE +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
GAZ -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Over/Under 80.5 · main lineActual: Under 80.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
MKE Ankaragucu 1st half total 38.5 · main lineActual: MKE Ankaragucu under 38.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
Gaziantep 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Gaziantep under 42.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half: MKE + total 81.5
MKE & over
no forecast
@ 5.00
MKE & under
no forecast
@ 4.90
1st half: Draw + total 81.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 31.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 31.00
1st half: GAZ + total 81.5
GAZ & over
no forecast
@ 2.95
GAZ & under
no forecast
@ 2.90
1st half Spread MKE Ankaragucu +2.5Actual: Gaziantep -2.5
MKE +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
GAZ -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.74
1st half Over/Under 82.5Actual: Under 82.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.00
Under
no forecast
@ 1.73
1st half Spread MKE Ankaragucu 0Actual: Gaziantep 0
MKE 0
no forecast
@ 2.62
GAZ 0
no forecast
@ 1.44
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Gaziantep (regulation)
MKE
no forecast
@ 2.77
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
GAZ
no forecast
@ 1.50

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
MKE win + total 163.5
🔒 Pro
GAZ win + total 163.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: MKE leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: GAZ leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Gaziantep under 90.572.2%1.31
1xBet
1.31		----+4.6ppWon
Overtime: no95.4%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+3.7pp-
MKE Ankaragucu over 72.570.8%1.30
1xBet
1.30		----+2.7ppLost
MKE Ankaragucu +12.571.0%1.29
1xBet
1.29		----+2.2ppWon
Gaziantep win71.1%1.30
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Bet365
1.31
WilliamHill
1.30
BetVictor
1.30		-0.3ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
MKE Ankaragucutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MKE Ankaragucu: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.7
51.0%
52.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.4
33.0%
33.0%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.012.4
65.3%
71.1%12.4
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gazianteptheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gaziantep: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.0
50.5%
52.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.0
28.0%
33.0%21.0
🏀 Free throws23.616.2
68.6%
71.1%16.2
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
MKE Ankaragucu
LWWWLLLLWL
Gaziantep
LWLWWWLLLL
#12
League position
#5
-13.4
Net rating
-4.1
90.1
Offensive rating
89.7
103.5
Defensive rating
93.8
50.3%
Effective FG%
47.1%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
14.6%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.0%
3-point %
28.0%
63.7%
Assist %
62.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.1 · 89.7Defence103.5 · 93.8Shooting50.3% · 47.1%3-point %33.0% · 28.0%Ball care14.6% · 14.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ MKE Ankaragucu   ■ Gaziantep
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
MKE Ankaragucu wins
4
Gaziantep wins
DateGameScore
09/02/26MKE Ankaragucu v Gaziantep72-87
20/10/25Gaziantep v MKE Ankaragucu102-73
01/05/25Gaziantep v MKE Ankaragucu78-83
28/04/25MKE Ankaragucu v Gaziantep72-66
26/03/25MKE Ankaragucu v Gaziantep93-84
03/12/24Gaziantep v MKE Ankaragucu60-72
17/03/24Gaziantep v MKE Ankaragucu84-83
27/11/23MKE Ankaragucu v Gaziantep85-96
MKE Ankaraguculast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AiLab Basketbol92-95
17/10/26HKonya BBSK93-88
10/10/26HGoztepe88-86
03/10/26HOGM Ormanspor91-84
26/09/26ABuyukcekmece77-89
19/09/26HMersin SK70-100
12/09/26AHarem Spor62-113
18/04/26HCayirova65-81
12/04/26HFinal Spor77-70
07/04/26AGoztepe81-94
Gazianteplast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26AOGM Ormanspor85-89
11/10/26HBuyukcekmece90-70
08/10/26AMersin SK70-92
03/10/26HHarem Spor70-67
26/09/26ACO Basket84-62
19/09/26HFinal Spor91-89 OT
12/09/26AKecioren Baglum68-82
24/05/26HBordo Sportif65-79
21/05/26ABordo Sportif67-75
19/05/26ABordo Sportif62-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

MKE Ankaragucu
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL43%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game81.985.577.0
Allowed / game93.689.599.0
Point differential-11.7-4.0-22.0
Avg total175.4175.0176.0
Over 163.25100%100%100%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gaziantep
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game79.783.776.8
Allowed / game78.775.381.2
Point differential+1.0+8.3-4.5
Avg total158.4159.0158.0
Over 163.2529%33%25%
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mersin SK880100%90.674.6+16.0
2 Goztepe76186%85.776.6+9.1
3 Harem Spor97278%80.467.2+13.2
4 Kahramanmaras86275%83.975.0+8.9
5 Final Spor85362%79.978.4+1.5
6 Buyukcekmece74357%81.979.0+2.9
7 iLab Basketbol74357%85.783.7+2.0
8 Gaziantep74357%79.778.7+1.0
9 OGM Ormanspor84450%84.283.0+1.2
10 CO Basket94544%74.481.8-7.3
11 MKE Ankaragucu73443%81.993.6-11.7
12 Fenerbahce 283538%72.978.8-5.9
13 Ankara Kolejliler93633%75.881.1-5.3
14 Darussafaka93633%76.083.4-7.4
15 Balikesir92722%73.278.3-5.1
16 Konya BBSK71614%77.784.4-6.7
17 Kecioren Baglum91811%82.887.4-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
MKE Ankaragucu1615151662
Gaziantep2215191571
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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