PythiaBasketballBETA
SuperleagueRound 7· Sports Hall Kumanovo
MKK Kumanovo will host Strumica in the Superleague on 15 November 2026, with the Pythia model naming the home side as the clear favourite at 86% to win. Kumanovo's season record stands at 3-3, scoring 77.3 points per game while allowing 75.3, and they sit fifth in the league; at home they are undefeated 2-0, averaging 80.5 points and conceding 66.5, and their last five games show three wins and two losses, including a 91-74 home victory over Kozuv and a 87-89 loss to TFT Skopje. Strumica, meanwhile, is 2-4 for the season, averaging 79.2 points and allowing 80.8, positioned seventh; on the road they are 0-2, scoring 74.5 and conceding 85.0, with a 5-game span of two wins and three losses that includes a 87-79 home win over MZT Skopje and defeats to Tikvesh and Karpos. The model projects a 88-76 score for Kumanovo, a total of 163.5 points, and a home line of -11.5 with a 52% chance of covering; the over/under line of 162.5 carries a 52% probability of the over, and there is a 3% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 77.3 | 75.3 | 152.7 | +2.0 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 80.5 | 66.5 | 147.0 | +14.0 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 75.8 | 79.8 | 155.5 | -4.0 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.9 | 77.7 | 161.6 | +6.2 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 77.4 | 73.4 | 150.8 | +4.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 66.2 | 79.8 | 146.0 | -13.7 | 0% |
| vs Similar ◀ (13) | 82.8 | 82.5 | 165.3 | +0.4 | 46% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 87.5 | 74.8 | 162.3 | +12.6 | 82% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 79.2 | 80.8 | 160.0 | -1.7 | 33% |
| Season at home (4) | 81.5 | 78.8 | 160.2 | +2.8 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 74.5 | 85.0 | 159.5 | -10.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 77.8 | 79.5 | 157.3 | -1.7 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.0 | 78.6 | 156.6 | -0.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (22) | 75.5 | 90.9 | 166.4 | -15.4 | 5% |
| vs Similar ◀ (7) | 87.1 | 85.7 | 172.9 | +1.4 | 57% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 81.0 | 87.0 | 168.0 | -6.0 | 0% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.1 | 39.9 | 82.0 | +2.2 | 53% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 44.1 | 38.4 | 82.4 | +5.7 | 71% | 64% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 40.4 | 41.2 | 81.6 | -0.8 | 38% | 56% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.3 | 38.3 | 81.6 | +5.0 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.6 | 37.4 | 77.0 | +2.2 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 35.0 | 41.2 | 76.2 | -6.2 | 17% | 50% |
| vs Similar ◀ (13) | 42.8 | 41.8 | 84.5 | +1.0 | 54% | 62% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 45.2 | 36.9 | 82.1 | +8.3 | 73% | 64% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (29) | 40.7 | 47.0 | 87.7 | -6.3 | 28% | 69% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 42.2 | 46.6 | 88.9 | -4.4 | 38% | 69% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 38.8 | 47.5 | 86.3 | -8.6 | 15% | 69% |
| Last 10 (9) | 42.4 | 42.7 | 85.1 | -0.2 | 56% | 44% |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.6 | 37.6 | 77.2 | +2.0 | 60% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (21) | 39.1 | 48.6 | 87.8 | -9.5 | 19% | 76% |
| vs Similar ◀ (7) | 46.0 | 43.1 | 89.1 | +2.9 | 57% | 57% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 37.0 | 40.0 | 77.0 | -3.0 | 0% | 0% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ■■■■■■ ■■■ | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.6 | 23.5 | 56.4% | 47.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.0 | 8.0 | 33.0% | 24.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.5 | 14.0 | 71.8% | 14.0 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 32.0 | 14.0 | 56.4% | 28.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 43.0 | 14.0 | 33.0% | 42.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.0 | 15.0 | 71.8% | 15.0 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/26 | A | TFT Skopje | 87-89 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Kozuv | 91-74 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Rabotnicki | 63-70 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Tikvesh | 76-75 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Karpos | 70-59 |
| 02/10/26 | A | MZT Skopje | 77-85 |
| 29/04/26 | A | Feniks 2010 | 98-92 |
| 26/04/26 | H | Rabotnicki | 90-73 |
| 22/04/26 | H | KK Angeli | 96-77 |
| 18/04/26 | A | Cair 2030 | 91-83 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Tikvesh | 70-75 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Karpos | 81-87 |
| 29/10/26 | H | MZT Skopje | 87-79 |
| 18/10/26 | A | KK Skopje 2023 | 68-83 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Pelister | 84-69 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Rabotnicki | 85-92 |
| 25/05/23 | H | Kumanovo | 124-108 |
| 22/05/23 | A | FMP Akademija | 87-91 |
| 17/05/23 | H | Cair 2030 | 0-20 |
| 14/05/23 | A | Kumanovo | 92-91 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWL | 50% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | LWLL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 25% |
| Points / game | 77.3 | 80.5 | 75.8 |
| Allowed / game | 75.3 | 66.5 | 79.8 |
| Point differential | +2.0 | +14.0 | -4.0 |
| Avg total | 152.7 | 147.0 | 155.5 |
| Over 162.5 | 33% | 50% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | - | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWLL | 33% |
| Home | LWWL | 50% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| Win % | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 79.2 | 81.5 | 74.5 |
| Allowed / game | 80.8 | 78.8 | 85.0 |
| Point differential | -1.7 | +2.8 | -10.5 |
| Avg total | 160.0 | 160.2 | 159.5 |
| Over 162.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rabotnicki | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 85.2 | 77.3 | +7.8 |
| 2 |  MZT Skopje | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 78.0 | 70.5 | +7.5 |
| 3 |  Tikvesh | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 77.6 | 75.9 | +1.7 |
| 4 |  TFT Skopje | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 81.9 | 80.9 | +1.0 |
| 5 | MKK Kumanovo | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 77.3 | 75.3 | +2.0 |
| 6 | Kozuv | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 84.1 | 85.1 | -1.0 |
| 7 | Strumica | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 79.2 | 80.8 | -1.7 |
| 8 |  Karpos | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 75.0 | 83.3 | -8.3 |
| 9 |  Pelister | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 78.9 | 82.4 | -3.6 |
| 10 | KK Skopje 2023 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 84.8 | 90.0 | -5.2 |
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