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Mongolia vs Guam Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 63-74
13-21 19-18 16-19 15-16
Position#15
Record5-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Guam 🏆
Position#14
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game69.0
EuropeAsia Cup· UG Arena
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mongolia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guam winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MongoliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMongolia
Date
Competition
Tahiti
#30
W
91-62
91
62
+29
no box
A12/11
Asia Cup
Vietnam
#24
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
H13/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
L
105-109
105
109
-4
no box
A14/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H24/02
Asia Cup
Singapore
#28
W
73-49
73
49
+24
no box
H25/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
A26/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
50-89
50
89
-39
no box
A26/09
Asian Games
Hong Kong
#12
L
64-69
64
69
-5
no box
H28/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
75-78
75
78
-3
no box
A30/09
Asian Games
China
#2
L
49-80
49
80
-31
39avg 39
A22/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
28-19
22-11
17-17
21-26
25-19
17-12
25-20
31-23
28-29
11-23
35-34
27-15
14-18
20-18
15-18
29-8
22-10
10-16
12-15
26-15
17-24
22-26
16-17
19-20
9-24
12-21
10-24
20-17
10-20
18-17
16-15
19-22
25-21
20-19
11-16
12-20
17-19
7-20
13-21
151.6Avg total
75.2Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.177.5159.6+4.662%
Season at home (4)82.871.8154.5+11.0100%
Season away (4)81.583.2164.8-1.825%
Last 10 (10)75.276.4151.6-1.240%
Last 5 (5)63.879.6143.4-15.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)67.291.2158.4-23.96%
vs Similar (3)95.792.7188.3+3.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)80.768.0148.7+12.770%
This opponent (Guam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuamLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuam
Date
Competition
Hong Kong
#22
W
103-83
103
83
+20
no box
H13/06
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#22
W
112-66
112
66
+46
no box
A15/06
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#16
W
77-72
77
72
+5
no box
H26/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#16
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
A28/08
Asia Cup
Singapore
#28
W
82-59
82
59
+23
no box
A10/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
67-64
67
64
+3
no box
H11/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
A24/02
Asia Cup
Malaysia
#17
W
75-64
75
64
+11
no box
A25/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
56-77
56
77
-21
35avg 35
A22/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-19
22-21
24-20
22-23
30-8
33-18
21-19
28-21
16-25
22-20
19-9
20-18
22-16
19-27
22-26
14-16
18-11
16-15
26-10
22-23
19-21
20-11
16-10
12-22
17-17
21-21
13-14
24-17
16-17
17-17
25-13
17-17
15-26
24-17
26-22
17-16
12-17
24-18
8-20
12-22
152.6Avg total
80.6Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.869.0141.8+3.883%
Season at home (2)74.572.5147.0+2.0100%
Season away (4)72.067.2139.2+4.875%
Last 10 (10)80.672.0152.6+8.680%
Last 5 (5)71.071.0142.0+0.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)72.072.8144.8-0.875%
vs Similar (1)94.0113.0207.0-19.00%
vs Weaker (6)86.371.5157.8+14.883%
This opponent (Mongolia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
MongoliaGuam
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MongoliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tahiti
#30
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A12/11
Asia Cup
Vietnam
#24
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H13/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A14/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H24/02
Asia Cup
Singapore
#28
W
51-18
51
18
+33
H25/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A26/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A26/09
Asian Games
Hong Kong
#12
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H28/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/09
Asian Games
China
#2
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A22/02
Asia Cup
80.7Avg total
42.3Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.178.8-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.539.579.0+0.050%-
Last 30 away (18)38.140.678.7-2.439%-
Last 10 (10)42.338.480.7+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)34.840.475.2-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)33.844.578.2-10.812%-
vs Similar (3)51.345.096.3+6.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.031.173.1+10.980%-
This opponent (Guam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hong Kong
#22
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H13/06
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#22
W
63-26
63
26
+37
A15/06
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#16
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H26/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#16
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A28/08
Asia Cup
Singapore
#28
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A10/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H11/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/02
Asia Cup
Malaysia
#17
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A25/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H26/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A22/02
Asia Cup
78.0Avg total
41.8Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)41.938.079.9+3.945%-
Last 30 at home (5)43.243.286.4+0.040%-
Last 30 away (6)40.833.774.5+7.250%-
Last 10 (10)41.836.278.0+5.650%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.473.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.537.574.0-1.025%-
vs Similar (1)43.056.099.0-13.00%-
vs Weaker (6)45.335.380.7+10.067%-
This opponent (Mongolia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mongoliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mongolia: 47.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws5.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.015.0
44.1%
49.3%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.04.0
23.5%
32.7%12.0
🏀 Free throws6.05.0
83.3%
70.1%5.0
They take 51.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guamtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guam: 54.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.017.0
29.8%
49.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.04.0
22.2%
32.7%12.0
🏀 Free throws12.08.0
66.7%
70.1%8.0
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mongolia
LLLLLWWLWW
Guam
LWWWWWLWWW
#15
League position
#14
-47.1
Net rating
-28.5
67.1
Offensive rating
66.9
114.3
Defensive rating
95.5
41.2%
Effective FG%
30.7%
57.9%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
35.0%
Turnover %
12.5%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
17.9%
0.12
Free-throw rate
0.16
23.5%
3-point %
22.2%
57.9%
Assist %
38.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence67.1 · 66.9Defence114.3 · 95.5Shooting41.2% · 30.7%3-point %23.5% · 22.2%Ball care35.0% · 12.5%Off. rebounds29.0% · 17.9%Free throws0.12 · 0.16Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Mongolia   ■ Guam
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mongolia wins
1
Guam wins
DateGameScore
26/02/23Guam v Mongolia82-81
Mongolialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24AChina49-80
30/09/23AChinese Taipei75-78
28/09/23HHong Kong64-69
26/09/23AChina50-89
26/02/23AGuam81-82
25/02/23HSingapore73-49
24/02/23HHong Kong76-69
14/11/22AThailand105-109
13/11/22HVietnam88-77
12/11/22ATahiti91-62
Guamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24AJapan56-77
26/02/23HMongolia82-81
25/02/23AMalaysia75-64
24/02/23AThailand75-69
11/11/22HHong Kong67-64
10/11/22ASingapore82-59
28/08/21AChinese Taipei77-85
26/08/21HChinese Taipei77-72
15/06/21AHong Kong112-66
13/06/21HHong Kong103-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mongolia
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game82.182.881.5
Allowed / game77.571.883.2
Point differential+4.6+11.0-1.8
Avg total159.6154.5164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guam
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game72.874.572.0
Allowed / game69.072.567.2
Point differential+3.8+2.0+4.8
Avg total141.8147.0139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philippines110100%94.064.0+30.0
2 New Zealand220100%88.559.0+29.5
3 Jordan110100%73.046.0+27.0
4 Australia110100%85.071.0+14.0
5 Kazakhstan110100%63.050.0+13.0
6 Japan220100%76.564.5+12.0
7 Lebanon110100%87.078.0+9.0
8 Bahrain110100%70.064.0+6.0
9 Saudi Arabia110100%64.058.0+6.0
10 Iran110100%76.074.0+2.0
11 Guam65183%72.869.0+3.8
12 Thailand97278%87.873.2+14.6
13 Iraq64267%78.274.0+4.2
14 Mongolia85362%82.177.5+4.6
15 China21150%76.562.5+14.0
16 South Korea21150%83.573.5+10.0
17 United Arab Emirates63350%67.064.8+2.2
18 Palestine63350%68.368.7-0.3
19 Qatar63350%64.765.7-1.0
20 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
21 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
22 Hong Kong72529%68.477.4-9.0
23 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
24 Syria1010%78.087.0-9.0
25 India1010%50.063.0-13.0
26 Indonesia1010%56.073.0-17.0
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Chinese Taipei1010%69.089.0-20.0
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mongolia1319161563
Guam2118191674
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