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Montana State vs UMKC Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 74-62
34-23 40-39
Position#238
Record4-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game67.7
vs
Position#288
Record4-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game63.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMKC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grambling St.
#141
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
H20/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A08/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
L
69-89
69
89
-20
A10/11
NCAA
Northwest Indian
#675
W
93-35
93
35
+58
H12/11
NCAA
Denver
#320
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A17/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A20/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H25/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
85-59
85
59
+26
H27/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
69-72 OT
69
72
-3
H30/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A05/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-33
30-39
33-39
34-40
31-46
38-43
60-15
33-20
33-47
45-32
39-34
30-38
41-26
38-33
47-30
38-29
36-35
28-29
33-29
43-36
146.3Avg total
76.6Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.167.7143.8+8.444%
Season at home (4)81.556.2137.8+25.275%
Season away (5)71.876.8148.6-5.020%
Last 10 (10)76.669.7146.3+6.940%
Last 5 (5)75.665.4141.0+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.979.9156.8-3.040%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.075.8153.8+2.250%
vs Weaker (10)74.462.7137.1+11.760%
This opponent (UMKC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hannibal-LaGrange
#419
W
91-68
91
68
+23
H05/11
NCAA
Kansas Christian
#692
W
124-36
124
36
+88
H09/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
56-82
56
82
-26
A12/11
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
56-79
56
79
-23
A17/11
NCAA
Calvary
#694
W
119-19
119
19
+100
H19/11
NCAA
American University
#102
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A22/11
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#197
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A23/11
NCAA
Mayaguez Bulldogs
#479
W
88-55
88
55
+33
H24/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
59-80
59
80
-21
A01/12
NCAA
Idaho
#271
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H05/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-36
52-32
62-19
62-17
22-34
34-48
31-48
25-31
64-9
55-10
29-27
31-37
31-34
34-33
43-33
45-22
21-40
38-40
31-43
46-39
142.7Avg total
79.5Scored
63.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.563.2142.7+16.340%
Season at home (5)99.852.0151.8+47.880%
Season away (5)59.274.4133.6-15.20%
Last 10 (10)79.563.2142.7+16.340%
Last 5 (5)69.869.6139.4+0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)56.076.7132.7-20.70%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.871.5142.3-0.747%
vs Weaker (9)73.964.9138.8+9.056%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +11.3+11.3
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +11.3+11.3
Montana StateUMKC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grambling St.
#141
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H20/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A08/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A10/11
NCAA
Northwest Indian
#675
W
60-15
60
15
+45
H12/11
NCAA
Denver
#320
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A17/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H25/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H27/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H30/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A05/12
NCAA
72.9Avg total
39.5Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.334.070.3+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.930.968.8+7.160%-
Last 30 away (15)34.737.171.8-2.353%-
Last 10 (10)39.533.472.9+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.230.870.0+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.836.167.9-4.330%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.235.273.4+3.070%-
vs Weaker (10)39.030.669.6+8.470%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hannibal-LaGrange
#419
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H05/11
NCAA
Kansas Christian
#692
W
62-19
62
19
+43
H09/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A12/11
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A17/11
NCAA
Calvary
#694
W
64-9
64
9
+55
H19/11
NCAA
American University
#102
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A22/11
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#197
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A23/11
NCAA
Mayaguez Bulldogs
#479
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H24/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A01/12
NCAA
Idaho
#271
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H05/12
NCAA
69.6Avg total
37.3Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.531.467.0+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.329.469.7+10.973%-
Last 30 away (15)30.833.564.3-2.753%-
Last 10 (10)37.332.369.6+5.050%-
Last 5 (5)31.035.466.4-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.033.361.3-5.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.834.067.8-0.260%-
vs Weaker (9)34.429.964.3+4.667%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Montana State wins
0
UMKC wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/24ANebraska O.76-65
30/11/24HCS Northridge69-72 OT
27/11/24HAbilene Christian85-59
25/11/24HSouthern Miss79-59
20/11/24ANorthwestern69-72
17/11/24ADenver78-79
12/11/24HNorthwest Indian93-35
10/11/24AWichita State69-89
08/11/24AWisconsin67-79
20/03/24HGrambling St.81-88 OT
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/24HIdaho77-82
01/12/24ASoutheast Missouri State59-80
24/11/24HMayaguez Bulldogs88-55
23/11/24AAlbany Great Danes65-67
22/11/24AAmerican University60-64
19/11/24HCalvary119-19
17/11/24ACreighton56-79
12/11/24AIowa State56-82
09/11/24HKansas Christian124-36
05/11/24HHannibal-LaGrange91-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW44%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game76.181.571.8
Allowed / game67.756.276.8
Point differential+8.4+25.2-5.0
Avg total143.8137.8148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%75%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %11%25%0%
UMKC
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL40%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%80%0%
Points / game79.599.859.2
Allowed / game63.252.074.4
Point differential+16.3+47.8-15.2
Avg total142.7151.8133.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Arizona107370%80.969.2+11.7
2 Montana106460%76.174.0+2.1
3 Northern Colorado116555%83.475.2+8.2
4 Montana State94544%76.167.7+8.4
5 Idaho State94544%73.466.7+6.8
6 Portland State94544%82.082.6-0.6
7 Weber State104640%76.169.0+7.1
8 Idaho104640%76.075.5+0.5
9 Sacramento State92722%67.267.9-0.7
10 East. Washington102820%72.481.3-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Dakota St.118373%78.766.5+12.3
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)117464%84.373.5+10.7
3 South Dakota Coyotes117464%87.378.5+8.8
4 North Dakota St117464%77.972.8+5.1
5 Denver115645%74.077.0-3.0
6 North Dakota94544%71.274.7-3.4
7 UMKC104640%79.563.2+16.3
8 Nebraska O.114736%70.574.1-3.5
9 Oral Roberts103730%74.674.4+0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana State344074
UMKC233962
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