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Mount St. Mary's vs Morgan State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 74-60
36-30 38-30
Position#214
Record3-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#216
Record4-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game75.5
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mount St. Mary's winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morgan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mount St. Mary'sUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Coll
#623
W
117-62
117
62
+55
H12/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#283
L
60-80
60
80
-20
A13/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A17/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#336
W
74-70 OT
74
70
+4
A20/11
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A23/11
NCAA
Navy
#86
L
40-67
40
67
-27
H27/11
NCAA
Howard
#161
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H01/12
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#224
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A04/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#98
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A08/12
NCAA
American University
#316
L
66-72 OT
66
72
-6
H11/12
NCAA
1H
2H
61-40
56-22
22-39
38-41
27-38
28-42
22-35
41-28
26-32
33-41
18-33
22-34
31-33
41-37
34-37
21-24
43-46
34-42
31-31
30-30
139.8Avg total
67.5Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)66.074.0140.0-8.027%
Season at home (4)73.867.8141.5+6.050%
Season away (7)61.677.6139.1-16.014%
Last 10 (10)67.572.3139.8-4.830%
Last 5 (5)62.071.6133.6-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)64.578.3142.8-13.833%
vs Similar ◀ (13)57.561.4118.8-3.938%
vs Weaker (11)74.064.5138.5+9.564%
This opponent (Morgan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morgan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Mary's (MD)
#609
W
118-55
118
55
+63
H09/11
NCAA
Penn St.-Allegheny
#619
W
126-75
126
75
+51
H11/11
NCAA
George Mason
#221
L
53-90
53
90
-37
A14/11
NCAA
Seattle
#51
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A19/11
NCAA
Portland
#140
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A21/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A23/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#282
L
59-74
59
74
-15
H29/11
NCAA
Hampton
#310
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A30/11
NCAA
Millersville
#369
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H06/12
NCAA
Longwood
#22
L
55-93
55
93
-38
A11/12
NCAA
1H
2H
58-32
60-23
69-30
57-45
27-43
26-47
23-55
57-38
25-33
38-41
30-40
37-43
24-44
35-30
27-23
33-24
38-37
39-34
22-39
33-54
151.3Avg total
75.8Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.875.5151.3+0.340%
Season at home (4)95.068.8163.8+26.275%
Season away (6)63.080.0143.0-17.017%
Last 10 (10)75.875.5151.3+0.340%
Last 5 (5)63.673.6137.2-10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.389.7157.0-22.30%
vs Similar ◀ (9)71.076.1147.1-5.133%
vs Weaker (15)84.970.5155.3+14.480%
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.9-4.91st half: -3.3-3.32nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +3.6+3.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.9-4.91st half: -3.3-3.32nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +3.6+3.6
Mount St. Mary'sMorgan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mount St. Mary'sLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Coll
#623
W
61-40
61
40
+21
H12/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#283
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A13/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A17/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#336
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A20/11
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A23/11
NCAA
Navy
#86
L
18-33
18
33
-15
H27/11
NCAA
Howard
#161
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H01/12
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#224
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A04/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#98
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A08/12
NCAA
American University
#316
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H11/12
NCAA
67.9Avg total
31.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.931.862.7-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.829.161.9+3.750%-
Last 30 away (16)29.334.163.4-4.838%-
Last 10 (10)31.536.467.9-4.910%-
Last 5 (5)31.436.067.4-4.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.337.267.5-6.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)29.829.459.2+0.554%-
vs Weaker (11)32.531.664.2+0.945%-
This opponent (Morgan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morgan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Mary's (MD)
#609
W
58-32
58
32
+26
H09/11
NCAA
Penn St.-Allegheny
#619
W
69-30
69
30
+39
H11/11
NCAA
George Mason
#221
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A14/11
NCAA
Seattle
#51
L
23-55
23
55
-32
A19/11
NCAA
Portland
#140
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A21/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A23/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#282
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H29/11
NCAA
Hampton
#310
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A30/11
NCAA
Millersville
#369
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H06/12
NCAA
Longwood
#22
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A11/12
NCAA
71.9Avg total
34.3Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.535.972.4+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.435.277.6+7.258%-
Last 30 away (18)32.636.368.9-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)34.337.671.9-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)28.236.664.8-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)25.044.769.7-19.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.336.470.8-2.122%-
vs Weaker (15)38.734.373.0+4.360%-
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mount St. Mary's wins
0
Morgan State wins
DateGameScore
25/11/20Morgan State v Mount St. Mary's55-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/21HAmerican University66-72 OT
08/12/21ASanta Clara77-88
04/12/21ALoyola Maryland55-61
01/12/21HHoward72-70
27/11/21HNavy40-67
23/11/21AOhio59-73
20/11/21ARobert Morris74-70 OT
17/11/21AKentucky55-80
13/11/21ASaint Josephs Hawks60-80
12/11/21HWashington Coll117-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/21ALongwood55-93
06/12/21HMillersville77-71
30/11/21AHampton60-47
29/11/21HGrambling St.59-74
23/11/21ASan Francisco67-83
21/11/21APortland63-74
19/11/21ASeattle80-93
14/11/21AGeorge Mason53-90
11/11/21HPenn St.-Allegheny126-75
09/11/21HSt. Mary's (MD)118-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mount St. Mary's
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL27%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %27%50%14%
Points / game66.073.861.6
Allowed / game74.067.877.6
Point differential-8.0+6.0-16.0
Avg total140.0141.5139.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %18%25%14%
Morgan State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%75%17%
Points / game75.895.063.0
Allowed / game75.568.880.0
Point differential+0.3+26.2-17.0
Avg total151.3163.8143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iona119282%76.569.7+6.7
2 Fairfield118373%76.565.5+11.1
3 Manhattan96367%71.669.2+2.3
4 Quinnipiac106460%74.868.2+6.6
5 Niagara115645%68.663.9+4.7
6 Marist94544%70.069.6+0.4
7 Siena104640%64.471.8-7.4
8 St. Peters83538%66.666.6+0.0
9 Sacred Heart114736%73.072.9+0.1
10 Merrimack Warriors124833%56.263.3-7.2
11 Mount St. Mary's113827%66.074.0-8.0
12 Rider113827%64.872.8-8.0
13 Canisius112918%69.473.8-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-Eastern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norfolk State129375%75.863.2+12.6
2 Howard105550%80.770.8+9.9
3 Md.-East. Shore105550%72.364.3+8.0
4 N. Carolina Central136746%75.269.1+6.2
5 Morgan State104640%75.875.5+0.3
6 South Carolina St135838%73.577.9-4.5
7 Delaware State112918%63.971.4-7.5
8 Coppin State151147%65.378.5-13.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mount St. Mary's363874
Morgan State303060
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