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Nacional vs Bohemios Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 77-74
13-18 21-17 21-25 22-14
Position#6
Record9-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#13
Record4-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game85.6
UruguayLiga UruguayaRound 18
Other2017-18
Meetings · Nacional v Bohemios
03 Jan 2018
NACI77
BOHE74
18 Jan 2014
NACI86
BOHE91
05 Oct 2013
NACI82
BOHE76
03 Dec 2012
NACI80
BOHE82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bohemios winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Kings
#10
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#11
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#12
W
81-58
81
58
+23
A06/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#3
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H01/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#9
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H08/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#8
L
89-90
89
90
-1
A14/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#4
W
106-86
106
86
+20
H18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#5
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A22/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
18-28
12-11
17-17
18-26
23-22
25-22
23-7
22-14
18-10
20-11
21-23
18-21
19-20
17-26
24-19
21-22
21-23
22-17
19-18
18-14
23-24
19-21
19-22
23-6
9-18
19-23
19-17
26-18
24-25
24-20
15-27
25-23
26-18
24-18
31-27
24-27
25-18
14-19
10-20
159.3Avg total
81.4Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.274.8154.1+4.456%
Season at home (8)81.971.9153.8+10.088%
Season away (8)76.677.8154.4-1.125%
Last 10 (10)81.477.9159.3+3.550%
Last 5 (5)83.481.0164.4+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (25)78.477.0155.3+1.448%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)88.673.0161.6+15.6100%
This opponent (Bohemios) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BohemiosUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Larre Borges
#12
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#3
W
94-92 OT
94
92
+2
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#2
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
H13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#9
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#7
L
47-108
47
108
-61
A29/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#8
L
85-105
85
105
-20
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#4
L
83-101
83
101
-18
H08/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#5
L
81-99
81
99
-18
A12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#7
L
54-86
54
86
-32
H21/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
15-8
14-25
22-23
14-11
28-17
20-23
20-31
29-15
11-20
20-18
15-24
16-18
15-22
24-15
17-17
23-15
13-14
14-23
29-17
15-19
6-25
15-34
11-30
29-18
10-23
23-34
23-30
16-23
17-28
23-22
27-28
16-30
18-16
23-25
24-28
9-23
14-20
16-18
15-25
163.4Avg total
74.3Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.185.6158.7-12.527%
Season at home (8)76.587.1163.6-10.625%
Season away (7)69.383.9153.1-14.629%
Last 10 (10)74.389.1163.4-14.830%
Last 5 (5)70.099.8169.8-29.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)72.085.5157.5-13.524%
vs Similar (8)77.181.6158.8-4.538%
vs Weaker (5)88.276.2164.4+12.080%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -5.0-5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -5.0-5.0
NacionalBohemios
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Kings
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#11
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#12
W
40-24
40
24
+16
A06/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H01/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#9
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H08/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#8
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A14/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#4
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#5
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A22/12
Liga Uruguaya
81.4Avg total
42.0Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.135.273.3+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.634.773.4+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)37.635.673.2+2.156%-
Last 10 (10)42.039.481.4+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.638.282.8+6.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (25)37.335.973.2+1.456%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.031.673.6+10.480%-
This opponent (Bohemios) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BohemiosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Larre Borges
#12
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#3
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#9
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#7
L
21-44
21
44
-23
A29/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H08/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#5
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#7
L
23-43
23
43
-20
H21/12
Liga Uruguaya
71.2Avg total
32.8Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.737.771.4-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.637.972.5-3.333%-
Last 30 away (15)32.737.570.2-4.740%-
Last 10 (10)32.838.471.2-5.640%-
Last 5 (5)30.045.075.0-15.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)31.938.870.7-6.829%-
vs Similar (8)32.437.970.2-5.512%-
vs Weaker (5)41.633.875.4+7.8100%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nacional wins
4
Bohemios wins
DateGameScore
17/10/17Bohemios v Nacional66-77
10/02/14Bohemios v Nacional86-79
18/01/14Nacional v Bohemios86-91
17/12/13Bohemios v Nacional50-53
06/10/13Nacional v Bohemios82-76
03/12/12Nacional v Bohemios80-82
16/10/12Bohemios v Nacional69-54
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/17AHebraica y Macabi73-84
18/12/17HWelcome106-86
14/12/17ADefensor89-90
08/12/17HBigua70-64
05/12/17HMalvin79-81
01/12/17HGoes83-80
10/11/17AAguada78-86
06/11/17ALarre Borges81-58
31/10/17HUrunday89-77
26/10/17AOlimpia Kings66-73
Bohemioslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/17HTrouville54-86
12/12/17AHebraica y Macabi81-99
08/12/17HWelcome83-101
05/12/17HDefensor85-105
29/11/17ATrouville47-108
18/11/17ABigua79-69
13/11/17HMalvin80-79 OT
07/11/17AAguada75-77
31/10/17HGoes94-92 OT
26/10/17ALarre Borges65-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL56%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%88%25%
Points / game79.281.976.6
Allowed / game74.871.977.8
Point differential+4.4+10.0-1.1
Avg total154.1153.8154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bohemios
Liga Uruguaya 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeWWLLL25%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %27%25%29%
Points / game73.176.569.3
Allowed / game85.687.183.9
Point differential-12.5-10.6-14.6
Avg total158.7163.6153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %13%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hebraica y Macabi1510567%82.978.9+4.1
2 Welcome1711665%85.680.8+4.8
3 Aguada159660%77.174.8+2.3
4 Defensor1710759%89.284.8+4.4
5 Urunday1710759%79.280.0-0.8
6 Nacional169756%79.274.8+4.4
7 Malvin169756%74.473.2+1.2
8 Trouville168850%79.074.4+4.6
9 Bigua1771041%72.376.5-4.2
10 Goes1661038%76.276.9-0.8
11 Olimpia Kings1661038%75.677.9-2.4
12 Larre Borges1761135%72.277.8-5.5
13 Bohemios1541127%73.185.6-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional1321212277
Bohemios1817251474
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