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Nacional vs Larre Borges Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 95-67
26-10 23-23 24-14 22-20
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#13
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game87.5
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Larre Borges
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nacional v Larre Borges
02 Nov 2023
NACI95
LARR67
03 Mar 2023
NACI74
LARR77
24 Jan 2018
NACI96
LARR72
23 Nov 2012
NACI80
LARR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Larre Borges winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Bigua
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
no box
H03/05
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
W
88-79
88
79
+9
no box
A06/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
no box
A10/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
W
88-79
88
79
+9
no box
H13/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
W
81-64
81
64
+17
no box
A16/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
no box
H18/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
A23/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
71-84
71
84
-13
no box
H30/05
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
83-81
83
81
+2
77avg 86
H27/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
98-65
98
65
+33
94avg 86
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
19-18
19-22
23-26
17-23
20-20
22-17
29-19
17-18
15-21
21-18
22-25
26-16
22-20
19-19
21-24
24-16
20-17
12-14
25-17
18-23
13-22
18-17
23-22
23-15
13-26
15-23
21-21
26-14
16-23
11-22
18-25
23-20
27-22
22-20
11-19
21-16
18-15
31-19
28-15
160.4Avg total
80.8Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.573.0163.5+17.5100%
Season at home (1)83.081.0164.0+2.0100%
Season away (1)98.065.0163.0+33.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.879.6160.4+1.250%
Last 5 (5)79.279.8159.0-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.882.9162.8-3.146%
vs Similar (14)77.179.6156.8-2.543%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)88.070.0158.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Larre Borges) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Larre BorgesUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBorges
Date
Competition
Urupan
#8
W
84-61
84
61
+23
no box
H17/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#7
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
A03/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#4
W
74-70
74
70
+4
no box
H11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
no box
A15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#4
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
no box
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
L
93-95
93
95
-2
no box
A28/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
no box
H01/04
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
L
74-90
74
90
-16
no box
A05/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
83-79
83
79
+4
82avg 84
H25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
89-96
89
96
-7
85avg 84
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
25-13
19-19
16-11
25-26
18-11
14-19
20-18
20-12
15-19
19-18
20-21
26-24
11-19
20-13
11-23
20-18
20-17
17-17
20-25
27-22
25-27
18-27
23-19
18-26
22-25
24-25
21-16
12-32
16-19
26-22
20-17
20-13
25-30
20-21
18-15
22-19
24-21
18-29
25-27
163.9Avg total
81.7Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.087.5173.5-1.550%
Season at home (2)86.087.5173.5-1.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.782.2163.9-0.550%
Last 5 (5)84.890.4175.2-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)83.487.3170.7-3.940%
vs Similar (13)81.885.2167.1-3.438%
vs Weaker (2)81.574.5156.0+7.050%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
NacionalLarre Borges
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H03/05
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A06/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A10/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H13/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A16/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H18/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A23/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H30/05
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H27/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
78.9Avg total
39.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.579.8+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.139.281.4+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)38.639.878.4-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.739.278.9+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.278.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.741.381.0-1.646%-
vs Similar (14)39.738.678.3+1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)45.336.081.3+9.3100%-
This opponent (Larre Borges) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Larre BorgesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urupan
#8
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H17/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A03/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#4
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#4
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A28/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H01/04
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A05/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
82.6Avg total
41.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.442.383.7-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.141.083.1+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)40.843.684.4-2.847%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.182.6+0.470%-
Last 5 (5)42.246.889.0-4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)41.143.584.6-2.353%-
vs Similar (13)42.841.083.8+1.862%-
vs Weaker (2)35.042.077.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.524.5
59.0%
51.0%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.5
27.7%
33.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws26.521.0
79.2%
71.7%21.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Larre Borgestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larre Borges: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.023.0
65.7%
51.0%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.0
33.3%
33.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.516.0
82.1%
71.7%16.0
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
WWLLLWWLWL
Larre Borges
LWLLLWLWWW
#3
League position
#13
+20.9
Net rating
+0.6
107.0
Offensive rating
110.1
86.1
Defensive rating
109.5
52.7%
Effective FG%
59.3%
42.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
16.1%
Turnover %
21.3%
17.8%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.33
27.7%
3-point %
33.3%
59.7%
Assist %
46.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 110.1Defence86.1 · 109.5Shooting52.7% · 59.3%3-point %27.7% · 33.3%Ball care16.1% · 21.3%Off. rebounds17.8% · 22.4%Free throws0.41 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Nacional   ■ Larre Borges
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nacional wins
3
Larre Borges wins
DateGameScore
03/03/23Nacional v Larre Borges74-77
16/12/22Larre Borges v Nacional94-92
24/01/18Nacional v Larre Borges96-72
06/11/17Larre Borges v Nacional58-81
23/11/12Nacional v Larre Borges80-86 OT
07/10/12Larre Borges v Nacional58-77
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/23ACordon98-65
27/10/23HTrouville83-81
30/05/23HHebraica y Macabi71-84
23/05/23AHebraica y Macabi72-85
18/05/23HHebraica y Macabi72-84
16/05/23AHebraica y Macabi81-64
13/05/23HHebraica y Macabi88-79
10/05/23AHebraica y Macabi75-82
06/05/23ABigua88-79
03/05/23HBigua80-93
Larre Borgeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/23HMalvin89-96
25/10/23HCordon83-79
05/04/23ABigua74-90
01/04/23HBigua85-92
28/03/23ABigua93-95
19/03/23AGoes90-86 OT
15/03/23AGoes68-79
11/03/23HGoes74-70
03/03/23ANacional77-74
17/02/23HUrupan84-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.583.098.0
Allowed / game73.081.065.0
Point differential+17.5+2.0+33.0
Avg total163.5164.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Larre Borges
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game87.587.5-
Point differential-1.5-1.5-
Avg total173.5173.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional220100%90.573.0+17.5
2 Defensor220100%86.071.5+14.5
3 Malvin220100%92.081.0+11.0
4 Hebraica y Macabi21150%83.074.5+8.5
5 Penarol21150%83.075.0+8.0
6 Trouville21150%85.583.0+2.5
7 Larre Borges21150%86.087.5-1.5
8 Urupan21150%78.583.5-5.0
9 Aguada21150%73.580.5-7.0
10 Goes2020%78.088.5-10.5
11 Cordon2020%72.090.5-18.5
12 Bigua2020%69.088.5-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional2623242295
Larre Borges1023142067
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