Navy faces Delaware State in the NCAA on 5 November 2026, with the model favouring Navy at 90% due to their dominant 0-1 record, 39.0 points per game and 91.0 allowed, contrasted with Delaware State's 1-0 record, 86.0 points per game and 52.0 allowed; the 90% probability reflects Navy's higher scoring margin and defensive pressure. Navy's single game this season was a 39-91 loss to George Washington, yet they have won three of their last five, including a 74-69 victory over Bucknell, while Delaware State's lone victory came 86-52 over St. Vincent and they have also won three of their last five, with a recent 75-70 win over Morgan State. Historically, Navy has beaten Delaware State once, 66-59 on 3 December 2025, giving them a 1-0 edge in head-to-head. Pythia projects a 77-62 score, 139.2 total points, and a 68% chance that Navy covers the -9.5 line; the over/under line of 139.5 carries a 49% probability of exceeding it, and there is a 2% chance of overtime. Navy's recent form and defensive statistics suggest they will maintain the lead and finish comfortably ahead of Delaware State.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Navy winWon
90.1%fair 1.11
Best odds1.25
Implied76.8%
Edge+13.3pp
Delaware State winLost
9.9%fair 10.15
Best odds4.14
Implied23.2%
Edge-13.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 04 Nov 06:58 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Navy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 129.5Actual: Under 129.5
Over 129.5
72.4%
@ 1.47+8.8pp
Under 129.5
27.6%
@ 2.62-8.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Under
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.47
Over/Under 134.5 · main lineActual: Under 134.5
Over 134.5
61.3%
@ 1.92+11.7pp
Under 134.5
38.7%
@ 2.40-11.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.92
Betano
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
Bet365
2.40
Betano
1.90
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
Over/Under 139.5Actual: Under 139.5
Over 139.5
49.1%
@ 2.62+3.1pp
Under 139.5
50.9%
@ 1.85-3.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.45
Pinnacle
2.06
Marathon Be
1.92
WilliamHill
1.91
Under
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Marathon Be
1.77
Pinnacle
1.75
📊 3. Team Totals
Navy total 67.5Actual: Navy under 67.5
Over 67.5
no forecast
@ 1.39
Under 67.5
no forecast
@ 3.50
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.25
Under
1xBet
3.50
Betano
2.60
Navy total 72 · main lineActual: Navy under 72
Over 72
70.2%
@ 1.87+20.5pp
Under 72
29.8%
@ 1.85-20.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Navy total 76Actual: Navy under 76
Over 76
54.4%
Under 76
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Delaware State total 59Actual: Delaware State over 59
Over 59
62.6%
Under 59
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Delaware State total 63 · main lineActual: Delaware State under 63
Over 63
46.2%
@ 1.85-3.8pp
Under 63
53.8%
@ 1.85+3.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
Delaware State total 67Actual: Delaware State under 67
Over 67
30.7%
Under 67
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Navy -11.5Actual: Delaware State +11.5
NAVY -11.5
61.6%
@ 2.40+22.3pp
DELA +11.5
38.4%
@ 1.53-22.3pp
Best 5 market prices
NAVY
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.30
DELA
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.52
Spread Navy -8.5 · main lineActual: Delaware State +8.5
NAVY -8.5
71.5%
@ 1.92+21.3pp
DELA +8.5
28.5%
@ 1.93-21.3pp
Best 5 market prices
NAVY
Pinnacle
1.92
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.90
BetVictor
1.88
Marathon Be
1.84
DELA
Pinnacle
1.93
SBO
1.92
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.89
Betano
1.88
Spread Navy -5.5Actual: Navy -5.5
NAVY -5.5
80.0%
@ 1.61+20.8pp
DELA +5.5
20.0%
@ 2.40-20.8pp
Best 5 market prices
NAVY
Pinnacle
1.61
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.52
DELA
Bet365
2.40
Pinnacle
2.34
Betano
2.27
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
NavyDelaware State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Navy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: Navy win
NAVY win
no forecast
@ 1.47
DELA win
no forecast
@ 2.72
2nd half Spread Navy -3.5 · main lineActual: Delaware State +3.5
NAVY -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
DELA +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
2nd half Over/Under 71.5 · main lineActual: Under 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Navy 2nd half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Navy under 37.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Delaware State 2nd half total 34.5 · main lineActual: Delaware State under 34.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
2nd half Spread Navy -4.5Actual: Delaware State +4.5
NAVY -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
DELA +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
2nd half Over/Under 73.5Actual: Under 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Navy (regulation)
NAVY
no forecast
@ 1.50
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.00
DELA
no forecast
@ 2.77
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Navy over 69.5
77.7%
1.62
Pinnacle
1.76
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.53
-
-
+24.2pp
Lost
Navy over 71
73.8%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
-
+23.8pp
Lost
Navy over 70.5
74.6%
1.67
Pinnacle
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.72
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.50
+23.6pp
Lost
Navy -9
70.5%
1.95
Pinnacle
2.01
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Bet
1.88
-
-
+22.9pp
Lost
Navy over 71.5
71.3%
1.85
Pinnacle
1.94
Marathon Bet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
+22.8pp
Lost
Navy -8.5
71.5%
1.87
Pinnacle
1.92
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.90
BetVictor
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.84
+21.3pp
Lost
Navy -8
73.7%
1.78
Pinnacle
1.82
Marathon Bet
1.77
Bet365
1.74
-
-
+21.0pp
Lost
Navy -6
79.5%
1.58
Pinnacle
1.62
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
+20.8pp
Push
Navy -5.5
80.0%
1.56
Pinnacle
1.61
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.52
-
-
+20.8pp
Won
Navy over 72
70.2%
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+20.5pp
Lost
Navy -7
76.7%
1.70
Marathon Bet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.66
-
-
+19.6pp
Lost
Navy -7.5
74.5%
1.74
BetVictor
1.78
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Marathon Bet
1.71
Bet365
1.71
+19.4pp
Lost
Navy -5
82.1%
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
-
+18.7pp
Won
Navy -6.5
77.3%
1.64
Marathon Bet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.63
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.60
-
+18.6pp
Lost
Navy -4.5
82.5%
1.44
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
+18.4pp
Won
Navy -3.5
84.9%
1.38
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
+17.6pp
Won
Navy -4
84.5%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+17.5pp
Won
Navy (regulation)
88.7%
1.26
Betano
1.28
Marathon Bet
1.24
-
-
-
+17.3pp
Won
Navy -2.5
86.7%
1.31
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
+16.1pp
Won
Navy -3
86.4%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+15.5pp
Won
Navy -1.5
88.9%
1.25
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
+15.2pp
Won
Navy -2
88.6%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+14.1pp
Won
Navy win
90.1%
1.23
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathon Bet
1.22
+13.3pp
Won
Navy -1
90.0%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+12.5pp
Won
Navy +1.5
91.2%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
+10.7pp
Won
Over 130.5
70.3%
1.52
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
+9.6pp
Lost
Over 129.5
72.4%
1.46
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
-
-
-
+8.8pp
Lost
Delaware State under 70.5
79.6%
1.30
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
-
-
+8.5pp
Won
Over 128.5
74.5%
1.40
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
+8.4pp
Lost
Over 130
71.9%
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
-
+8.4pp
Lost
Over 129
73.9%
1.41
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
-
+8.3pp
Lost
Over 128
76.0%
1.36
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
-
+7.9pp
Lost
Over 127.5
76.4%
1.35
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
+7.8pp
Lost
Delaware State under 67.5
70.4%
1.47
1xBet
1.57
Betano
1.36
-
-
-
+7.6pp
Won
Delaware State under 73.5
86.8%
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-
-
-
-
+7.4pp
Won
Navy +6.5
96.0%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+7.3pp
Won
Over 127
77.9%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+6.9pp
Lost
Navy +11.5
98.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.8pp
Won
Overtime: no
97.8%
1.03
WilliamHill
1.04
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+6.7pp
-
Delaware State under 69.5
76.8%
1.30
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
+6.5pp
Won
Over 126.5
78.3%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+6.4pp
Lost
Delaware State under 68.5
73.7%
1.36
Bet365
1.43
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
+6.3pp
Won
Delaware State under 74.5
88.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+4.8pp
Won
Delaware State under 78.5
94.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+4.6pp
Won
Delaware State under 80.5
96.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.5pp
Won
Delaware State under 72.5
84.6%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
+4.5pp
Won
Delaware State under 76.5
91.8%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+4.3pp
Won
Delaware State under 75.5
90.4%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+4.3pp
Won
Delaware State under 82.5
97.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.6pp
Won
Under 163.5
93.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.9pp
Won
Navy under 92.5
94.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.3pp
Won
Navy under 90.5
91.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-0.2pp
Won
Under 158.5
88.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-1.2pp
Won
Over 123.5
83.4%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-2.7pp
Won
Navy under 88.5
87.7%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-2.8pp
Won
Delaware State over 54.5
77.6%
1.15
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-2.8pp
Won
Under 153.5
81.1%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-3.9pp
Won
Under 148.5
71.8%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-4.4pp
Won
Delaware State over 56.5
71.2%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-5.0pp
Won
Navy under 86.5
83.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-5.6pp
Won
Navy under 84.5
77.5%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-8.0pp
Won
Navy under 83.5
74.4%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-8.7pp
Won
Delaware State over 55.5
74.5%
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-9.2pp
Won
Navy under 82.5
71.0%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-10.0pp
Won
Delaware State +23.5
77.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-10.8pp
Won
Free daily update
Get it on Telegram
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which
predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our
Cookie Policy.
Manage Cookies
Strictly Necessary
Always Active
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the
pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the
operation of our website.
Session and security cookies, your logged-in state, your
subscription status, and the record of this cookie choice itself. These cannot be switched
off because the site cannot be delivered without them.
Functionality Cookies
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site
behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to
build a profile of you.
Your preferred tours and filters, which notices you have dismissed, your
theme choice, and display preferences you have chosen. Kept for up to two years, and you
can clear them from your browser at any time.
These are what "Essential Only" keeps. Choosing "Allow Necessary Cookies
Only" inside this panel switches them off as well.
Performance Cookies
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to
produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics
internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them
our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Which pages and predictions are read, how long pages take to
load, and which features are used, including Google Analytics. Reported in
aggregate, never sold, and not used to identify you personally when you are not signed in.
These are off unless you switch them on here or choose "Accept All".
Third Party Marketing/Targeting
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include
limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the
effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they
will not be adjusted to your interests.
Set by our advertising partners. Switching these off does not
reduce the number of adverts you see; it only makes them less relevant to you.
🔒
A Pro feature
Filtering, slicing and choosing dates are part of Pro -
unlock every pick, all slicers, Challenger/ITF boards, set scores and games markets.