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NC State vs St. Louis Billikens Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 82-70
33-36 49-34
Position#94
Record7-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game70.6
vs
Position#292
Record7-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game74.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Louis Billikens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#311
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H07/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H11/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
87-53
87
53
+34
H18/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A24/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
86-95
86
95
-9
A25/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A29/11
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
A02/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
93-61
93
61
+32
H07/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H13/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-27
36-32
47-29
37-35
42-23
45-30
43-33
41-45
43-38
43-57
27-35
25-37
36-33
32-35
37-25
56-36
46-35
35-32
31-34
39-45
149.9Avg total
79.3Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.370.6149.9+8.770%
Season at home (5)83.460.8144.2+22.6100%
Season away (5)75.280.4155.6-5.240%
Last 10 (10)79.370.6149.9+8.770%
Last 5 (5)76.071.4147.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.087.0165.0-9.00%
vs Similar (15)71.374.2145.5-2.947%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.267.8151.0+15.592%
This opponent (St. Louis Billikens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Louis BillikensUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#240
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H12/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A16/11
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H17/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
L
69-88
69
88
-19
H20/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#352
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H26/11
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H29/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
62-101
62
101
-39
A02/12
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A07/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H09/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
46-34
34-37
34-35
45-34
32-47
36-31
30-44
39-44
41-30
25-35
35-43
41-38
27-42
35-59
41-25
28-50
29-31
42-37
37-27
38-47
148.5Avg total
71.5Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.374.9149.2-0.658%
Season at home (9)75.872.7148.4+3.167%
Season away (3)70.081.7151.7-11.733%
Last 10 (10)71.577.0148.5-5.550%
Last 5 (5)70.679.8150.4-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)70.080.7150.7-10.729%
vs Similar (15)73.071.2144.2+1.860%
vs Weaker (7)77.465.3142.7+12.1100%
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.6+7.61st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -4.9-4.9
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.6+7.61st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -4.9-4.9
NC StateSt. Louis Billikens
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#311
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H11/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H18/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A24/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A29/11
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A02/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H07/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H13/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A17/12
NCAA
70.0Avg total
38.8Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.332.970.1+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.132.474.5+9.686%-
Last 30 away (16)33.133.266.3-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)38.831.270.0+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)35.432.467.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.036.073.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (15)34.032.466.4+1.647%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.132.974.0+8.277%-
This opponent (St. Louis Billikens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Louis BillikensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#240
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H12/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A16/11
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H17/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H20/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#352
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H26/11
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H29/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A02/12
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A07/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H09/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H17/12
NCAA
71.0Avg total
35.2Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.833.370.1+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.532.369.8+5.368%-
Last 30 away (11)35.535.270.6+0.345%-
Last 10 (10)35.235.871.0-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)33.833.667.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.037.070.0-4.029%-
vs Similar (15)37.133.670.7+3.560%-
vs Weaker (7)37.330.768.0+6.686%-
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
NC State wins
1
St. Louis Billikens wins
DateGameScore
18/12/20St. Louis Billikens v NC State80-69
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23ATennessee70-79
13/12/23HUT Martin81-67
07/12/23HMd.-East. Shore93-61
02/12/23ABoston College84-78 OT
29/11/23AOle Miss52-72
25/11/23ABrigham Young86-95
24/11/23AVanderbilt84-78
18/11/23HCharleston Southern87-53
11/11/23HAbilene Christian84-64
07/11/23HCitadel72-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HLouisiana Tech75-74
09/12/23HHofstra71-68
07/12/23ADrake69-75
02/12/23ASouthern Illinois62-101
29/11/23HUtah State76-81
26/11/23HDartmouth66-65
20/11/23HWichita State69-88
17/11/23HVermont68-78
16/11/23AWyoming79-69
12/11/23HIllinois State80-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL70%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%100%40%
Points / game79.383.475.2
Allowed / game70.660.880.4
Point differential+8.7+22.6-5.2
Avg total149.9144.2155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %10%0%20%
St. Louis Billikens
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW58%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %58%67%33%
Points / game74.375.870.0
Allowed / game74.972.781.7
Point differential-0.6+3.1-11.7
Avg total149.2148.4151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%22%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson109190%78.569.3+9.2
2 Virginia119282%65.655.5+10.2
3 Pittsburgh118373%82.864.8+18.0
4 Virginia Tech118373%74.065.3+8.7
5 Miami (FL)118373%80.772.3+8.5
6 Boston College118373%78.971.0+7.9
7 Syracuse118373%77.770.1+7.6
8 Duke107370%81.666.1+15.5
9 Wake Forest107370%79.968.4+11.5
10 North Carolina107370%84.975.0+9.9
11 NC State107370%79.370.6+8.7
12 SMU Mustangs128467%75.162.0+13.1
13 Georgia Tech96367%72.271.4+0.8
14 Stanford95456%80.474.7+5.8
15 Florida State105550%77.274.6+2.6
16 Louisville115645%74.573.6+0.8
17 California114736%76.075.9+0.1
18 Notre Dame114736%62.867.5-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Saint Josephs Hawks119282%75.863.3+12.5
2 George Washington119282%82.172.5+9.5
3 George Mason119282%74.265.4+8.8
4 Duquesne108280%76.568.9+7.6
5 Dayton108280%72.465.1+7.3
6 Davidson118373%73.965.8+8.1
7 La Salle118373%76.374.6+1.6
8 St. Bonaventure107370%74.064.6+9.4
9 Loyola Chicago127558%74.369.3+5.0
10 St. Louis Billikens127558%74.374.9-0.6
11 Richmond Spiders116555%76.768.3+8.5
12 VCU Rams116555%72.567.1+5.4
13 Fordham115645%71.069.3+1.7
14 Rhode Island115645%72.171.5+0.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State334982
St. Louis Billikens363470
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