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NC State W vs Wofford W Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Projected 77-62
Projected total 139.2
Final 80-50
25-7 19-9 22-17 14-17
Position#142
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
NC State W 🏆
USA
Vs
91%
■ NC S 91%■ WOFF 9%
Pythia win probability
Wofford W
USA
Position#127
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA Women
Women2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

NC State Women host Wofford Women on 2 November 2026 in the NCAA Women competition, and the Pythia model names NC State as the clear favourite, assigning a 91% chance of victory largely because of their dominant season performance and the 77-62 projected score that reflects a comfortable margin. NC State's last five outings include three wins and two losses, with a recent loss to Michigan Wolverines W 63-92 away on 22 March 2026 and a recent win over Tennessee Volunteers W 76-61 at home on 20 March 2026, while Wofford's recent five games also feature three wins and two losses, highlighted by a loss to Samford Bulldogs W 57-59 at home on 5 March 2026 and a win over Samford Bulldogs W 52-44 at home on 21 February 2026. The projected total points for the game are 139.2, and the model estimates a 2% chance of overtime. With a 91% probability of a home win, the projected outcome is 77-62 in favour of NC State. The matchup promises a decisive contest for the home side.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State W winWon
90.6%fair 1.10
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wofford W winLost
9.4%fair 10.69
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC State WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State W
#303
W
83-55
83
55
+28
H06/02
NCAA Women
Virginia Tech W
#75
W
82-62
82
62
+20
A08/02
NCAA Women
Notre Dame W
#80
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A15/02
NCAA Women
Duke W
#53
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A20/02
NCAA Women
Syracuse W
#65
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H22/02
NCAA Women
Wake Forest W
#238
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H27/02
NCAA Women
Pittsburgh W
#331
W
93-43
93
43
+50
A01/03
NCAA Women
Notre Dame W
#80
L
63-81
63
81
-18
H06/03
NCAA Women
Tennessee Volunteers W
#162
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H21/03
NCAA Women
Michigan Wolverines W
#29
L
63-92
63
92
-29
A22/03
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-11
18-12
16-20
15-12
19-19
25-8
20-18
18-17
14-17
13-30
15-18
25-14
16-28
10-13
22-15
17-27
26-14
20-15
20-24
16-16
16-13
21-19
14-9
14-15
25-10
25-8
26-10
17-15
18-23
14-17
9-22
22-19
26-19
14-10
17-19
19-13
13-12
12-16
19-32
19-32
142.0Avg total
73.9Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.968.1142.0+5.860%
Last 5 (5)72.066.6138.6+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.782.7153.3-12.00%
vs Similar (13)72.266.2138.5+6.069%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.858.5144.4+27.3100%
This opponent (Wofford W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wofford WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer Bears W
#182
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A24/01
NCAA Women
Furman Paladins W
#153
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H30/01
NCAA Women
East Tennessee St W
#156
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H06/02
NCAA Women
Chattanooga Mocs W
#110
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H07/02
NCAA Women
UNC Greensboro W
#224
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A13/02
NCAA Women
Western Carolina W
#362
W
73-54
73
54
+19
A14/02
NCAA Women
Mercer Bears W
#182
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H19/02
NCAA Women
Samford Bulldogs W
#227
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H21/02
NCAA Women
Furman Paladins W
#153
L
42-64
42
64
-22
A28/02
NCAA Women
Samford Bulldogs W
#227
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H05/03
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
10-11
23-21
12-18
14-14
19-16
17-18
14-17
19-11
15-15
8-17
15-18
16-14
21-15
17-18
13-16
17-9
12-10
14-8
8-11
20-11
14-14
24-14
15-15
21-15
16-16
18-14
17-13
6-13
19-14
20-13
7-4
14-14
12-15
9-18
7-17
16-11
7-17
20-23
14-8
117.2Avg total
60.2Scored
57.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)60.257.0117.2+3.260%
Last 5 (5)59.255.8115.0+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)58.373.7132.0-15.30%
vs Similar (11)57.062.5119.5-5.545%
vs Weaker (15)68.756.3125.0+12.367%
This opponent (NC State W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 126Actual: Over 126
Over 126
79.7%
Under 126
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 131Actual: Under 131
Over 131
69.7%
Under 131
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 136Actual: Under 136
Over 136
57.8%
Under 136
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

NC State W total 66.5Actual: NC State W over 66.5
Over 66.5
86.0%
Under 66.5
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NC State W total 70.5Actual: NC State W over 70.5
Over 70.5
75.2%
Under 70.5
24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NC State W total 74.5Actual: NC State W over 74.5
Over 74.5
60.9%
Under 74.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wofford W total 56.5Actual: Wofford W under 56.5
Over 56.5
70.6%
Under 56.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wofford W total 60.5Actual: Wofford W under 60.5
Over 60.5
55.6%
Under 60.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wofford W total 64.5Actual: Wofford W under 64.5
Over 64.5
39.8%
Under 64.5
60.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread NC State W -3Actual: NC State W -3
NC S -3
87.1%
WOFF +3
12.9%
Best 5 market prices
NC S
No market prices yet.
WOFF
No market prices yet.
Spread NC State W 0Actual: NC State W 0
NC S 0
90.6%
WOFF 0
9.4%
Best 5 market prices
NC S
No market prices yet.
WOFF
No market prices yet.
Spread NC State W +3Actual: NC State W +3
NC S +3
93.8%
WOFF -3
6.2%
Best 5 market prices
NC S
No market prices yet.
WOFF
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.5-1.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.5-1.5
NC State WWofford W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NC State WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State W
#303
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H06/02
NCAA Women
Virginia Tech W
#75
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A08/02
NCAA Women
Notre Dame W
#80
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A15/02
NCAA Women
Duke W
#53
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A20/02
NCAA Women
Syracuse W
#65
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H22/02
NCAA Women
Wake Forest W
#238
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H27/02
NCAA Women
Pittsburgh W
#331
W
50-18
50
18
+32
A01/03
NCAA Women
Notre Dame W
#80
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H06/03
NCAA Women
Tennessee Volunteers W
#162
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H21/03
NCAA Women
Michigan Wolverines W
#29
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A22/03
NCAA Women
69.3Avg total
37.9Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.430.268.7+8.270%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.828.665.4+8.275%-
Last 30 away (14)40.332.172.4+8.164%-
Last 10 (10)37.931.469.3+6.560%-
Last 5 (5)36.829.466.2+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.333.565.8-1.250%-
vs Similar (13)35.630.065.6+5.669%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.128.773.8+16.482%-
This opponent (Wofford W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wofford WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer Bears W
#182
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A24/01
NCAA Women
Furman Paladins W
#153
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H30/01
NCAA Women
East Tennessee St W
#156
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H06/02
NCAA Women
Chattanooga Mocs W
#110
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H07/02
NCAA Women
UNC Greensboro W
#224
W
29-19
29
19
+10
A13/02
NCAA Women
Western Carolina W
#362
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A14/02
NCAA Women
Mercer Bears W
#182
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H19/02
NCAA Women
Samford Bulldogs W
#227
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H21/02
NCAA Women
Furman Paladins W
#153
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A28/02
NCAA Women
Samford Bulldogs W
#227
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H05/03
NCAA Women
57.9Avg total
31.0Scored
26.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.027.959.9+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.325.659.9+8.771%-
Last 30 away (16)30.030.060.0+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)31.026.957.9+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)29.028.057.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)31.334.065.3-2.767%-
vs Similar (11)28.127.255.3+0.955%-
vs Weaker (15)32.727.560.2+5.160%-
This opponent (NC State W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
NC State W wins
0
Wofford W wins
No previous meetings.
NC State Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26AMichigan Wolverines W63-92
21/03/26HTennessee Volunteers W76-61
06/03/26HNotre Dame W63-81
01/03/26APittsburgh W93-43
27/02/26HWake Forest W65-56
22/02/26HSyracuse W82-69
20/02/26ADuke W65-83
15/02/26ANotre Dame W67-79
08/02/26AVirginia Tech W82-62
06/02/26HFlorida State W83-55
Wofford Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26HSamford Bulldogs W57-59
28/02/26AFurman Paladins W42-64
21/02/26HSamford Bulldogs W52-44
19/02/26HMercer Bears W72-58
14/02/26AWestern Carolina W73-54
13/02/26AUNC Greensboro W51-38
07/02/26HChattanooga Mocs W67-63
06/02/26HEast Tennessee St W57-61
30/01/26HFurman Paladins W64-65
24/01/26AMercer Bears W67-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State W
NCAA Women 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Wofford W
NCAA Women 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMKC W110100%120.040.0+80.0
2 Yale Bulldogs W110100%111.038.0+73.0
3 Oakland W110100%104.032.0+72.0
4 South Carolina State W110100%112.042.0+70.0
5 Utah Tech W110100%107.039.0+68.0
6 Detroit Titans W110100%94.030.0+64.0
7 Vanderbilt W110100%112.053.0+59.0
8 St. John's (N.Y.) W110100%95.037.0+58.0
9 Morgan State W110100%103.047.0+56.0
10 Montana State W110100%82.038.0+44.0
11 Ole Miss W110100%80.038.0+42.0
12 East Texas A&M Lions W110100%81.040.0+41.0
13 William & Mary W110100%89.048.0+41.0
14 Butler W110100%108.071.0+37.0
15 Boise State W110100%84.048.0+36.0
16 Stony Brook W110100%73.039.0+34.0
17 USC Trojans W110100%100.068.0+32.0
18 Kennesaw State W110100%72.042.0+30.0
19 Nebraska Cornhuskers W110100%81.054.0+27.0
20 Southern Mississippi W110100%85.059.0+26.0
21 Idaho Vandals W110100%71.047.0+24.0
22 Notre Dame W110100%99.075.0+24.0
23 UMass Lowell W110100%77.053.0+24.0
24 Iona W110100%76.054.0+22.0
25 Clemson W110100%68.047.0+21.0
26 UCLA W110100%73.053.0+20.0
27 Washington W110100%79.063.0+16.0
28 Georgia Tech W110100%80.065.0+15.0
29 Stanford Cardinal W110100%84.069.0+15.0
30 Coastal Carolina W110100%68.054.0+14.0
31 Mcneese State W110100%65.053.0+12.0
32 Oklahoma Sooners W110100%91.079.0+12.0
33 Houston Cougars W110100%73.065.0+8.0
34 South Carolina W110100%101.093.0+8.0
35 Columbia W110100%71.065.0+6.0
36 Old Dominion W110100%62.058.0+4.0
37 Seattle U Redhawks W110100%63.062.0+1.0
38 New Mexico W1010%62.063.0-1.0
39 Central Michigan W1010%58.062.0-4.0
40 Davidson W1010%65.071.0-6.0
41 Hampton W1010%65.073.0-8.0
42 Maryland W1010%93.0101.0-8.0
43 North Carolina W1010%79.091.0-12.0
44 Texas A&M-Kingsville W1010%53.065.0-12.0
45 Western Michigan W1010%54.068.0-14.0
46 Arizona Wildcats W1010%69.084.0-15.0
47 Hofstra W1010%65.080.0-15.0
48 UC San Diego Tritons W1010%63.079.0-16.0
49 Lehigh W1010%53.073.0-20.0
50 Radford W1010%47.068.0-21.0
51 Dominican Chargers W1010%54.076.0-22.0
52 St. Anselm Hawks W1010%53.077.0-24.0
53 St. Martin's W1010%47.071.0-24.0
54 Villanova W1010%75.099.0-24.0
55 Mississippi Christian W1010%59.085.0-26.0
56 San Jose State W1010%54.081.0-27.0
57 Shorter W1010%42.072.0-30.0
58 UNLV Lady Rebels W1010%68.0100.0-32.0
59 Molloy W1010%39.073.0-34.0
60 Bushnell W1010%48.084.0-36.0
61 Tennessee Tech W1010%71.0108.0-37.0
62 Chowan W1010%48.089.0-41.0
63 Oklahoma Christian W1010%40.081.0-41.0
64 Alcorn State W1010%38.080.0-42.0
65 Black Hills W1010%38.082.0-44.0
66 Washington Adventist W1010%47.0103.0-56.0
67 Lafayette W1010%37.095.0-58.0
68 Lipscomb Bisons W1010%53.0112.0-59.0
69 Michigan-Dearborn W1010%30.094.0-64.0
70 Life Pacific W1010%39.0107.0-68.0
71 Trinity College of Jacksonville W1010%42.0112.0-70.0
72 Cleary University W1010%32.0104.0-72.0
73 Elms College W1010%38.0111.0-73.0
74 Baker Wildcats W1010%40.0120.0-80.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 74 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NC State W2519221480
Wofford W79171750
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