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NC Wilmington vs Mount Olive Trojans Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 101-65
0-0 36-27 0-0 65-38
Position#67
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
NC Wilmington 🏆
USA
Vs
98%
■ NC W 98%■ MOUN 2%
Pythia win probability
Projected 90-66
Projected total 155.9
Mount Olive Trojans
USA
Position#359
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · NC Wilmington v Mount Olive Trojans
02 Nov 2026
NC W101
MOUN65
03 Nov 2025
NC W106
MOUN77
04 Nov 2024
NC W143
MOUN91
06 Nov 2023
NC W105
MOUN66
21 Nov 2022
NC W94
MOUN47
15 Dec 2021
NC W85
MOUN55
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
NC Wilmington host Mount Olive Trojans in the NCAA. Pythia makes NC Wilmington the favourite at 98% and projects 90-66, about 156 points in all. Overtime chance: 1%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC Wilmington winWon
97.8%fair 1.02
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mount Olive Trojans winLost
2.2%fair 45.96
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC WilmingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
William & Mary
#100
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H06/02
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A10/02
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H13/02
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H14/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H20/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A21/02
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H27/02
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H02/03
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
76-57
76
57
+19
A04/03
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H08/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
45-41
0-0
33-44
0-0
42-32
0-0
34-32
0-0
33-24
0-0
32-30
0-0
34-32
0-0
36-34
0-0
36-31
0-0
43-38
0-0
36-35
0-0
37-33
0-0
44-26
0-0
44-39
0-0
35-23
0-0
41-56
0-0
35-24
0-0
41-33
0-0
33-31
0-0
37-54
144.3Avg total
75.1Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.169.2144.3+5.970%
Last 5 (5)76.670.8147.4+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)74.270.4144.6+3.840%
vs Weaker (25)76.466.0142.5+10.492%
Mount Olive TrojansUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Wilmington
#54
L
55-85
55
85
-30
A16/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#58
L
47-94
47
94
-47
A22/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
66-105
66
105
-39
A07/11
NCAA
High Point
#29
L
73-122
73
122
-49
A26/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#27
L
91-143
91
143
-52
A05/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
L
68-101
68
101
-33
A07/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
73-110
73
110
-37
A13/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
77-106
77
106
-29
A04/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-45
0-0
23-40
0-0
18-48
0-0
29-46
0-0
31-55
0-0
35-50
0-0
32-50
0-0
41-72
0-0
43-81
0-0
48-62
0-0
37-52
0-0
31-49
0-0
40-58
0-0
33-52
0-0
33-62
0-0
44-44
177.0Avg total
68.8Scored
108.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (8)68.8108.2177.0-39.50%
Last 5 (5)76.4116.4192.8-40.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.2116.2190.4-42.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
Over/Under 142Actual: Over 142
Over 142
81.2%
Under 142
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 147Actual: Over 147
Over 147
71.4%
Under 147
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152Actual: Over 152
Over 152
59.8%
Under 152
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

NC Wilmington total 73Actual: NC Wilmington over 73
Over 73
96.2%
Under 73
3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NC Wilmington total 77Actual: NC Wilmington over 77
Over 77
91.4%
Under 77
8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NC Wilmington total 81Actual: NC Wilmington over 81
Over 81
83.1%
Under 81
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mount Olive Trojans total 66Actual: Mount Olive Trojans under 66
Over 66
48.8%
Under 66
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mount Olive Trojans total 70Actual: Mount Olive Trojans under 70
Over 70
32.7%
Under 70
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mount Olive Trojans total 74Actual: Mount Olive Trojans under 74
Over 74
19.5%
Under 74
80.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread NC Wilmington -3Actual: NC Wilmington -3
NC W -3
96.8%
MOUN +3
3.2%
Best 5 market prices
NC W
No market prices yet.
MOUN
No market prices yet.
Spread NC Wilmington 0Actual: NC Wilmington 0
NC W 0
97.8%
MOUN 0
2.2%
Best 5 market prices
NC W
No market prices yet.
MOUN
No market prices yet.
Spread NC Wilmington +3Actual: NC Wilmington +3
NC W +3
98.6%
MOUN -3
1.4%
Best 5 market prices
NC W
No market prices yet.
MOUN
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-29-14+0+14+29Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +7.4+7.4Q2: -23.1-23.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -16.4-16.4
-29-14+0+14+29Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +7.4+7.4Q2: -23.1-23.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -16.4-16.4
NC WilmingtonMount Olive Trojans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NC WilmingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
William & Mary
#100
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H06/02
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A10/02
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H13/02
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H14/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H20/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A21/02
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H27/02
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H02/03
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A04/03
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H08/03
NCAA
67.2Avg total
37.3Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.931.867.8+4.177%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.328.664.8+7.783%-
Last 30 away (12)35.436.872.2-1.367%-
Last 10 (10)37.329.967.2+7.4100%-
Last 5 (5)36.627.864.4+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)35.834.470.2+1.460%-
vs Weaker (25)36.031.367.3+4.680%-
Mount Olive TrojansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Wilmington
#54
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A16/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#58
L
18-48
18
48
-30
A22/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A07/11
NCAA
High Point
#29
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A26/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#27
L
43-81
43
81
-38
A05/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A07/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A13/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
33-62
33
62
-29
A04/11
NCAA
89.6Avg total
33.2Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)33.256.489.6-23.10%-
Last 30 at homeno games
Last 30 away (8)33.256.489.6-23.10%-
Last 10 (8)33.256.489.6-23.10%-
Last 5 (5)37.060.697.6-23.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.659.295.8-22.60%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
NC Wilmington wins
0
Mount Olive Trojans wins
DateGameScore
04/11/25NC Wilmington v Mount Olive Trojans106-77
05/11/24NC Wilmington v Mount Olive Trojans143-91
07/11/23NC Wilmington v Mount Olive Trojans105-66
22/11/22NC Wilmington v Mount Olive Trojans94-47
16/12/21NC Wilmington v Mount Olive Trojans85-55
NC Wilmingtonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26HCampbell70-85
04/03/26AElon76-57
02/03/26HCharleston76-79
27/02/26HN. Carolina A&T88-65
21/02/26ACampbell73-68
20/02/26HMonmouth79-69
14/02/26HHofstra70-66
13/02/26HElon65-54
10/02/26ACharleston76-64
06/02/26HWilliam & Mary78-85
Mount Olive Trojanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/25ANC Wilmington77-106
13/11/24AEast Carolina73-110
07/11/24ARichmond Spiders68-101
05/11/24ANC Wilmington91-143
26/11/23AHigh Point73-122
07/11/23ANC Wilmington66-105
22/11/22ANC Wilmington47-94
16/12/21ANC Wilmington55-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC Wilmington
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Mount Olive Trojans
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 8 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 West Florida Argonauts110100%127.042.0+85.0
2 Nicholls State110100%110.056.0+54.0
3 Stony Brook110100%97.047.0+50.0
4 Illinois (Chi.)110100%96.047.0+49.0
5 Hofstra110100%97.051.0+46.0
6 Rice110100%100.055.0+45.0
7 Middle Tenn. St.110100%117.073.0+44.0
8 South Carolina St110100%94.055.0+39.0
9 South Dakota Coyotes110100%95.057.0+38.0
10 IU Indy110100%113.076.0+37.0
11 Mercer110100%90.053.0+37.0
12 Duke110100%84.050.0+34.0
13 Princeton110100%78.046.0+32.0
14 VMI110100%115.083.0+32.0
15 Murray State110100%94.064.0+30.0
16 George Mason110100%82.054.0+28.0
17 Georgetown110100%80.058.0+22.0
18 McNeese State110100%99.078.0+21.0
19 San Jose State110100%95.074.0+21.0
20 Michigan110100%84.068.0+16.0
21 High Point110100%72.057.0+15.0
22 St. John's (N.Y.)110100%78.063.0+15.0
23 Merrimack Warriors110100%63.049.0+14.0
24 Temple110100%68.056.0+12.0
25 Florida110100%77.067.0+10.0
26 Northern Kentucky110100%84.076.0+8.0
27 Albany Great Danes110100%74.067.0+7.0
28 Queens Royals110100%103.098.0+5.0
29 Bowling Green110100%76.073.0+3.0
30 Grambling St.110100%89.087.0+2.0
31 Notre Dame110100%74.072.0+2.0
32 Cornell110100%86.085.0+1.0
33 Pepperdine1010%85.086.0-1.0
34 Northern Illinois1010%87.089.0-2.0
35 Villanova1010%72.074.0-2.0
36 Georgia State1010%73.076.0-3.0
37 Winthrop1010%98.0103.0-5.0
38 Rhode Island Anchormen1010%67.074.0-7.0
39 UTEP1010%76.084.0-8.0
40 Miami (FL)1010%67.077.0-10.0
41 Central Connecticut State1010%56.068.0-12.0
42 Appalachian State1010%49.063.0-14.0
43 Liberty1010%57.072.0-15.0
44 Monmouth1010%63.078.0-15.0
45 Oakland1010%68.084.0-16.0
46 UAB1010%78.099.0-21.0
47 UTSA Roadrunners1010%74.095.0-21.0
48 Loyola Maryland1010%58.080.0-22.0
49 UMBC Retrievers1010%54.082.0-28.0
50 Tennessee State1010%64.094.0-30.0
51 Carnegie Mellon1010%46.078.0-32.0
52 Virginia-Lynchburg1010%83.0115.0-32.0
53 Army1010%50.084.0-34.0
54 Miami (OH) - Middletown1010%76.0113.0-37.0
55 Reinhardt1010%53.090.0-37.0
56 Mount Marty1010%57.095.0-38.0
57 Morris College1010%55.094.0-39.0
58 Fisk1010%73.0117.0-44.0
59 Dallas Christian1010%55.0100.0-45.0
60 St. Joseph's (Brooklyn)1010%51.097.0-46.0
61 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
62 Old Westbury1010%47.097.0-50.0
63 North American Stallions1010%56.0110.0-54.0
64 Southeastern Baptist College1010%42.0127.0-85.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 64 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NC Wilmington036065101
Mount Olive Trojans02703865
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