PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

NC Wilmington vs USC Upstate Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 73-60
39-26 34-34
Position#17
Record1-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#274
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game63.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC Wilmington winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USC Upstate winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC WilmingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hampton
#193
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A22/02
NCAA
William & Mary
#178
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A24/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
79-60
79
60
+19
A28/02
NCAA
Delaware
#246
W
88-58
88
58
+30
H02/03
NCAA
Hampton
#193
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H09/03
NCAA
Charleston
#47
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H11/03
NCAA
Delaware
#246
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H11/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A21/03
NCAA
Mount Olive Trojans
#463
W
106-77
106
77
+29
H04/11
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-43
44-40
39-39
40-31
38-28
41-32
44-28
44-30
45-28
34-37
40-30
28-37
36-28
40-44
34-38
38-44
62-33
44-44
34-43
43-43
151.4Avg total
79.4Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.581.5173.0+10.050%
Season at home (1)106.077.0183.0+29.0100%
Season away (1)77.086.0163.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)79.472.0151.4+7.470%
Last 5 (5)79.876.8156.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)78.578.0156.5+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)76.869.4146.3+7.477%
This opponent (USC Upstate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USC UpstateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNC Asheville
#86
L
85-92
85
92
-7
H13/02
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#316
L
87-96
87
96
-9
H15/02
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#329
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A22/02
NCAA
High Point
#13
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A27/02
NCAA
Longwood
#151
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H01/03
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#316
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A06/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A04/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A06/11
NCAA
Southern Virginia
#577
W
105-46
105
46
+59
H08/11
NCAA
Bob Jones
#640
W
114-53
114
53
+61
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-42
43-50
43-50
44-46
42-30
37-39
30-49
36-39
33-44
33-39
28-31
35-52
28-41
47-46
25-36
42-30
56-25
49-21
48-28
66-25
157.0Avg total
80.7Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.263.0153.2+27.275%
Season at home (2)109.549.5159.0+60.0100%
Season away (2)71.076.5147.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)80.776.3157.0+4.440%
Last 5 (5)84.867.0151.8+17.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)71.686.3157.8-14.74%
vs Similar (4)73.871.2145.0+2.575%
vs Weaker (2)109.549.5159.0+60.0100%
This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +4.5+4.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +4.5+4.5
NC WilmingtonUSC Upstate
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC WilmingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hampton
#193
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A22/02
NCAA
William & Mary
#178
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A24/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A28/02
NCAA
Delaware
#246
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H02/03
NCAA
Hampton
#193
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H09/03
NCAA
Charleston
#47
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H11/03
NCAA
Delaware
#246
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H11/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A21/03
NCAA
Mount Olive Trojans
#463
W
62-33
62
33
+29
H04/11
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A11/11
NCAA
73.6Avg total
39.8Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.432.671.9+6.873%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.031.173.1+10.988%-
Last 30 away (13)35.934.570.5+1.454%-
Last 10 (10)39.833.873.6+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.234.475.6+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)39.034.073.0+5.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)38.333.071.3+5.273%-
This opponent (USC Upstate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USC UpstateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNC Asheville
#86
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H13/02
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#316
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H15/02
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#329
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A22/02
NCAA
High Point
#13
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A27/02
NCAA
Longwood
#151
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H01/03
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#316
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A06/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A04/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A06/11
NCAA
Southern Virginia
#577
W
56-25
56
25
+31
H08/11
NCAA
Bob Jones
#640
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H13/11
NCAA
75.1Avg total
37.5Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.039.075.0-3.027%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.938.678.5+1.229%-
Last 30 away (16)32.739.372.0-6.625%-
Last 10 (10)37.537.675.1-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.269.2+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)34.741.476.2-6.717%-
vs Similar (4)33.034.867.8-1.825%-
vs Weaker (2)52.026.578.5+25.5100%-
This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
NC Wilmington wins
0
USC Upstate wins
DateGameScore
16/11/24USC Upstate v NC Wilmington85-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/25AKent State77-86
04/11/25HMount Olive Trojans106-77
21/03/25ATexas Tech72-82
11/03/25HDelaware76-72
11/03/25HCharleston68-67
09/03/25HHampton79-65
02/03/25HDelaware88-58
28/02/25ACampbell79-60
24/02/25AWilliam & Mary79-70
22/02/25AHampton70-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/25HBob Jones114-53
08/11/25HSouthern Virginia105-46
06/11/25AFresno State67-66
04/11/25ACalifornia Baptist75-87
06/03/25AGardner Webb63-83
01/03/25HLongwood66-83
27/02/25AHigh Point66-88
22/02/25ACharleston Southern79-69
15/02/25HGardner Webb87-96
13/02/25HUNC Asheville85-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC Wilmington
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game91.5106.077.0
Allowed / game81.577.086.0
Point differential+10.0+29.0-9.0
Avg total173.0183.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
USC Upstate
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game90.2109.571.0
Allowed / game63.049.576.5
Point differential+27.2+60.0-5.5
Avg total153.2159.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stony Brook43175%80.862.0+18.8
2 Towson43175%66.856.0+10.8
3 Elon32167%93.379.0+14.3
4 N. Carolina A&T32167%82.078.7+3.3
5 NC Wilmington21150%91.581.5+10.0
6 Hofstra42250%82.275.2+7.0
7 Hampton42250%78.571.8+6.8
8 Campbell42250%82.076.5+5.5
9 Charleston42250%79.875.8+4.0
10 William & Mary42250%84.281.0+3.2
11 Northeastern42250%73.571.5+2.0
12 Monmouth31233%71.370.3+1.0
13 Drexel41325%72.876.2-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 USC Upstate43175%90.263.0+27.2
2 High Point43175%95.869.5+26.2
3 Radford43175%86.271.0+15.2
4 Longwood43175%81.071.8+9.2
5 Presbyterian53260%70.471.6-1.2
6 Winthrop42250%85.577.8+7.8
7 UNC Asheville42250%77.271.5+5.8
8 Charleston Southern52340%82.081.2+0.8
9 Gardner Webb3030%66.792.0-25.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC Wilmington393473
USC Upstate263460
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.