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Neuchatel vs SAM Massagno Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 80-82
Projected total 161.9
Scheduled
Position#7
Record3-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game78.2
Vs
42%
58%
■ NEUC 42%■ SAM 58%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
5.9/10
Above normal
Position#3
Record7-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game79.8
SwitzerlandSB LeagueRound 10· La Riveraine
Other2026-27
Meetings · Neuchatel v SAM Massagno
21 Nov 2026
NEUC v SAM
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
NEUC99
SAM 92
05 Oct 2024
NEUC90
SAM 69
23 Apr 2024
NEUC74
SAM 86
21 Apr 2024
NEUC63
SAM 82
18 Nov 2023
NEUC107
SAM 88
30 May 2023
NEUC65
SAM 74
27 May 2023
NEUC64
SAM 74
05 Nov 2022
NEUC90
SAM 69
17 May 2022
NEUC76
SAM 73
14 May 2022
NEUC71
SAM 69
02 Feb 2022
NEUC78
SAM 77
03 Jan 2021
NEUC82
SAM 75
15 Jan 2020
NEUC92
SAM 86
14 Apr 2019
NEUC86
SAM 67
12 Jan 2019
NEUC75
SAM 67
08 May 2018
NEUC81
SAM 66
05 May 2018
NEUC91
SAM 67
14 Apr 2018
NEUC82
SAM 88
21 Oct 2017
NEUC73
SAM 54
18 Mar 2017
NEUC74
SAM 72
19 Apr 2016
NEUC90
SAM 73
16 Apr 2016
NEUC85
SAM 76
27 Feb 2016
NEUC91
SAM 67
31 Oct 2015
NEUC86
SAM 70
10 Jan 2015
NEUC80
SAM 66
18 Oct 2014
NEUC93
SAM 66
08 Mar 2014
NEUC80
SAM 76
07 Dec 2013
NEUC102
SAM 59
06 Apr 2013
NEUC78
SAM 65
03 Nov 2012
NEUC90
SAM 75
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Neuchatel host SAM Massagno in the SB League. Pythia makes SAM Massagno the favourite at 58% and projects 80-82, about 162 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Neuchatel are 3-6 this season (68.8 scored, 78.2 allowed a game), form LWLLL; SAM Massagno are 7-2 this season (88.8 scored, 79.8 allowed a game), form WWWLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neuchatel win
42.2%fair 2.37
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
SAM Massagno win
57.8%fair 1.73
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeuchatelSwitzerlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeuchatel
Date
Competition
Lausanne Basket
#5
L
70-71
70
71
-1
62avg 71
H30/04
SB League
Fribourg Olympic
#2
L
68-75
68
75
-7
52avg 71
A27/09
SB League
Lugano Tigers
#6
W
69-61
69
61
+8
55avg 71
H30/09
SB League
SAM Massagno
#3
L
75-104
75
104
-29
67avg 71
A03/10
SB League
Regio Basel
#9
W
65-53
65
53
+12
58avg 71
H10/10
SB League
Geneva Lions
#1
L
41-91
41
91
-50
29avg 71
H17/10
SB League
Zurich
#10
W
87-65
87
65
+22
81avg 71
A24/10
SB League
BBC Monthey
#8
L
72-88
72
88
-16
53avg 71
A31/10
SB League
Sdent BBC Nyon
#4
L
68-78
68
78
-10
no box
H07/11
SB League
Lausanne Basket
#5
L
74-89
74
89
-15
no box
A15/11
SB League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
24-14
12-17
7-23
12-24
19-18
18-18
19-15
18-18
18-13
8-21
25-9
24-26
16-29
17-24
18-25
18-19
19-12
9-12
19-10
11-19
10-27
6-22
14-23
22-18
29-21
24-16
12-10
14-29
20-20
19-21
19-18
14-12
24-27
16-21
14-18
20-32
19-22
15-13
20-22
146.4Avg total
68.9Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)68.878.2147.0-9.433%
Season at home (4)60.870.8131.5-10.050%
Season away (5)75.284.2159.4-9.020%
Last 10 (10)68.977.5146.4-8.630%
Last 5 (5)68.482.2150.6-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)69.186.8155.9-17.711%
vs Similar (11)79.880.9160.7-1.145%
vs Weaker (10)85.976.5162.4+9.480%
This opponent (SAM Massagno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SAM MassagnoSwitzerlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMassagno
Date
Competition
Regio Basel
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
70avg 74
H25/04
SB League
Regio Basel
#9
W
91-73
91
73
+18
76avg 74
A26/09
SB League
Lausanne Basket
#5
W
90-84
90
84
+6
78avg 74
H30/09
SB League
Neuchatel
#7
W
104-75
104
75
+29
101avg 74
H03/10
SB League
Sdent BBC Nyon
#4
L
73-94
73
94
-21
58avg 74
A10/10
SB League
Lugano Tigers
#6
W
102-72
102
72
+30
101avg 74
A17/10
SB League
BBC Monthey
#8
W
97-83
97
83
+14
94avg 74
H24/10
SB League
Zurich
#10
W
85-68
85
68
+17
82avg 74
H01/11
SB League
Geneva Lions
#1
L
76-103
76
103
-27
no box
A07/11
SB League
Fribourg Olympic
#2
W
81-66
81
66
+15
no box
H14/11
SB League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
21-24
24-14
19-19
18-24
27-13
29-14
17-22
23-23
21-24
23-22
23-15
26-24
29-16
24-17
25-18
21-15
14-20
18-30
20-29
22-16
27-14
30-23
23-19
24-18
35-23
19-21
19-21
21-14
19-12
32-14
13-28
19-20
21-29
17-27
19-27
24-7
17-25
22-13
18-21
169.2Avg total
88.5Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.879.8168.6+9.078%
Season at home (5)91.475.2166.6+16.2100%
Season away (4)85.585.5171.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)88.580.7169.2+7.870%
Last 5 (5)88.278.4166.6+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)78.396.6174.9-18.421%
vs Similar (6)88.384.5172.8+3.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)95.874.2170.0+21.6100%
This opponent (Neuchatel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 157.5
Over 157.5
59.8%
Under 157.5
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 162.5
Over 162.5
47.8%
Under 162.5
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 167.5
Over 167.5
36.1%
Under 167.5
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Neuchatel total 78.5
Over 78.5
54.8%
Under 78.5
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neuchatel total 82.5
Over 82.5
39.6%
Under 82.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neuchatel total 86.5
Over 86.5
25.9%
Under 86.5
74.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SAM Massagno total 76
Over 76
72.8%
Under 76
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SAM Massagno total 80
Over 80
58.1%
Under 80
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SAM Massagno total 84
Over 84
42.1%
Under 84
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Neuchatel -3
NEUC -3
33.4%
SAM +3
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
NEUC
No market prices yet.
SAM
No market prices yet.
Spread Neuchatel 0
NEUC 0
42.2%
SAM 0
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
NEUC
No market prices yet.
SAM
No market prices yet.
Spread Neuchatel +3
NEUC +3
51.2%
SAM -3
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
NEUC
No market prices yet.
SAM
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.3-2.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.3-2.3
NeuchatelSAM Massagno
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeuchatelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lausanne Basket
#5
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H30/04
SB League
Fribourg Olympic
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A27/09
SB League
Lugano Tigers
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H30/09
SB League
SAM Massagno
#3
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A03/10
SB League
Regio Basel
#9
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H10/10
SB League
Geneva Lions
#1
L
21-46
21
46
-25
H17/10
SB League
Zurich
#10
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A24/10
SB League
BBC Monthey
#8
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A31/10
SB League
Sdent BBC Nyon
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H07/11
SB League
Lausanne Basket
#5
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A15/11
SB League
79.5Avg total
37.8Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.983.1-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.640.482.0+1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)40.743.584.1-2.840%-
Last 10 (10)37.841.779.5-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.645.482.0-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.845.381.1-9.611%-
vs Similar (11)42.039.481.4+2.664%-
vs Weaker (10)45.041.786.7+3.360%-
This opponent (SAM Massagno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SAM MassagnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regio Basel
#3
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H25/04
SB League
Regio Basel
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A26/09
SB League
Lausanne Basket
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H30/09
SB League
Neuchatel
#7
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H03/10
SB League
Sdent BBC Nyon
#4
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A10/10
SB League
Lugano Tigers
#6
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A17/10
SB League
BBC Monthey
#8
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H24/10
SB League
Zurich
#10
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H01/11
SB League
Geneva Lions
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A07/11
SB League
Fribourg Olympic
#2
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H14/11
SB League
84.4Avg total
45.1Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.844.287.0-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.542.487.9+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)40.146.086.1-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)45.139.384.4+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.835.681.4+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)40.947.187.9-6.226%-
vs Similar (6)43.343.086.3+0.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)49.634.884.4+14.8100%-
This opponent (Neuchatel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neuchateltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neuchatel: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.7
50.1%
52.7%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.36.2
27.8%
31.5%18.6
🏀 Free throws21.013.8
65.7%
70.3%13.8
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
SAM Massagnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

SAM Massagno: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.326.2
55.4%
52.7%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.8
34.1%
31.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.713.9
74.3%
70.3%13.9
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neuchatel
LLLWLWLWLL
SAM Massagno
WLWWWLWWWL
#7
League position
#3
-8.6
Net rating
+6.3
80.7
Offensive rating
100.4
89.3
Defensive rating
94.1
47.0%
Effective FG%
54.0%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
19.7%
Turnover %
12.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
27.8%
3-point %
34.1%
54.2%
Assist %
49.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence80.7 · 100.4Defence89.3 · 94.1Shooting47.0% · 54.0%3-point %27.8% · 34.1%Ball care19.7% · 12.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Neuchatel   ■ SAM Massagno
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Neuchatel wins
5
SAM Massagno wins
Neuchatellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ALausanne Basket74-89
07/11/26HSdent BBC Nyon68-78
31/10/26ABBC Monthey72-88
24/10/26AZurich87-65
17/10/26HGeneva Lions41-91
10/10/26HRegio Basel65-53
03/10/26ASAM Massagno75-104
30/09/26HLugano Tigers69-61
27/09/26AFribourg Olympic68-75
30/04/26HLausanne Basket70-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HFribourg Olympic81-66
07/11/26AGeneva Lions76-103
01/11/26HZurich85-68
24/10/26HBBC Monthey97-83
17/10/26ALugano Tigers102-72
10/10/26ASdent BBC Nyon73-94
03/10/26HNeuchatel104-75
30/09/26HLausanne Basket90-84
26/09/26ARegio Basel91-73
25/04/26HRegio Basel86-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neuchatel
SB League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game68.860.875.2
Allowed / game78.270.884.2
Point differential-9.4-10.0-9.0
Avg total147.0131.5159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
SAM Massagno
SB League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%100%50%
Points / game88.891.485.5
Allowed / game79.875.285.5
Point differential+9.0+16.2+0.0
Avg total168.6166.6171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geneva Lions990100%93.260.8+32.4
2 Fribourg Olympic97278%84.368.3+16.0
3 SAM Massagno97278%88.879.8+9.0
4 Sdent BBC Nyon96367%85.277.0+8.2
5 Lausanne Basket96367%84.278.0+6.2
6 Lugano Tigers93633%74.383.1-8.8
7 Neuchatel93633%68.878.2-9.4
8 BBC Monthey92722%77.387.0-9.7
9 Regio Basel92722%70.386.6-16.2
10 Zurich9090%61.489.2-27.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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