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Nicaragua vs Mexico Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:10
Final 72-99
21-22 10-27 16-21 25-29
Position#88
Record-
Form-
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Nicaragua
vs
Mexico 🏆
Position#10
Record1-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game90.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 3· Polideportivo Alexis Argüello
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nicaragua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mexico winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NicaraguaLast 10 – points for & against
No recent games.
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10no games
Last 5no games
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brazil
#23
L
56-102
56
102
-46
H15/11
World Cup
Colombia
#58
W
113-54
113
54
+59
A24/02
World Cup
Uruguay
#40
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A27/02
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
71-91
71
91
-20
H25/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
66-96
66
96
-30
A27/08
World Cup
Egypt
#27
L
72-100
72
100
-28
A29/08
World Cup
New Zealand
#11
W
108-100
108
100
+8
A31/08
World Cup
Jordan
#37
W
93-80
93
80
+13
A02/09
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#9
L
85-92
85
92
-7
H29/11
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#9
W
89-88
89
88
+1
A02/12
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-29
16-21
12-16
18-36
26-17
31-7
31-16
25-14
18-26
28-12
17-18
19-13
19-19
20-29
19-20
13-23
17-32
17-21
17-23
15-20
16-30
19-29
21-18
16-23
31-22
26-19
21-27
30-32
24-24
19-19
25-22
25-15
23-17
20-25
15-26
27-24
24-28
23-26
20-9
22-25
170.7Avg total
83.5Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.090.0177.0-3.050%
Season at home (1)85.092.0177.0-7.00%
Season away (1)89.088.0177.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.587.2170.7-3.750%
Last 5 (5)89.492.0181.4-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.188.9164.0-13.830%
vs Similar (14)78.975.1154.0+3.964%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)85.373.0158.3+12.367%
This opponent (Nicaragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5
NicaraguaMexico
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NicaraguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
No period scores for these games.
MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brazil
#23
L
26-50
26
50
-24
H15/11
World Cup
Colombia
#58
W
57-24
57
24
+33
A24/02
World Cup
Uruguay
#40
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A27/02
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H25/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A27/08
World Cup
Egypt
#27
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A29/08
World Cup
New Zealand
#11
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A31/08
World Cup
Jordan
#37
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A02/09
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H29/11
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#9
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A02/12
World Cup
87.9Avg total
42.7Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.178.7+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.137.574.6-0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)41.840.582.3+1.356%-
Last 10 (10)42.745.287.9-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)45.047.892.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.244.482.6-6.240%-
vs Similar (14)38.338.576.8-0.243%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)45.231.776.8+13.583%-
This opponent (Nicaragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nicaragua wins
0
Mexico wins
No previous meetings.
Nicaragualast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/25ADominican Republic89-88
29/11/25HDominican Republic85-92
02/09/23AJordan93-80
31/08/23ANew Zealand108-100
29/08/23AEgypt72-100
27/08/23ALithuania66-96
25/08/23HMontenegro71-91
27/02/23AUruguay82-69
24/02/23AColombia113-54
15/11/22HBrazil56-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nicaragua
World Cup 2027
Recent: 0 Wins / 0 Losses (last 0)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Mexico
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game87.085.089.0
Allowed / game90.092.088.0
Point differential-3.0-7.0+1.0
Avg total177.0177.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Argentina220100%92.558.5+34.0
2 Jordan220100%87.053.5+33.5
3 Croatia660100%94.566.5+28.0
4 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
5 Saudi Arabia220100%78.054.0+24.0
6 Turkey220100%89.065.5+23.5
7 Angola110100%90.068.0+22.0
8 Iran220100%90.069.5+20.5
9 Germany220100%86.066.5+19.5
10 Spain220100%82.062.5+19.5
11 Canada330100%100.382.7+17.7
12 Greece220100%83.566.0+17.5
13 Uruguay220100%88.571.0+17.5
14 Brazil220100%80.064.0+16.0
15 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
16 Czech Republic220100%97.086.0+11.0
17 Ivory Coast110100%90.080.0+10.0
18 Mali110100%86.077.0+9.0
19 D.R. Congo110100%87.079.0+8.0
20 Poland220100%87.580.5+7.0
21 Australia330100%85.378.7+6.7
22 Serbia220100%82.079.0+3.0
23 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
24 Ukraine65183%82.572.8+9.7
25 Philippines32167%82.762.0+20.7
26 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
27 Switzerland128467%75.466.5+8.9
28 Japan32167%83.374.7+8.7
29 Hungary64267%82.874.8+8.0
30 Netherlands64267%80.375.0+5.3
31 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
32 South Korea32167%78.376.3+2.0
33 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
34 Jamaica32167%95.093.7+1.3
35 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
36 Romania106460%75.674.6+1.0
37 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
38 Austria105550%86.078.6+7.4
39 Portugal21150%75.569.0+6.5
40 Latvia21150%82.077.0+5.0
41 Slovenia21150%93.588.5+5.0
42 France21150%77.573.0+4.5
43 Dominican Republic21150%90.087.0+3.0
44 Great Britain21150%89.086.5+2.5
45 Qatar21150%80.079.0+1.0
46 Finland21150%82.582.5+0.0
47 Lithuania21150%85.085.0+0.0
48 Iceland21150%82.583.0-0.5
49 Lebanon21150%79.080.0-1.0
50 Estonia21150%93.095.0-2.0
51 Italy21150%79.081.0-2.0
52 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
53 Mexico21150%87.090.0-3.0
54 Montenegro21150%71.079.0-8.0
55 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
56 New Zealand31233%75.076.3-1.3
57 China31233%79.783.3-3.7
58 Denmark62433%75.080.3-5.3
59 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
60 Chinese Taipei31233%71.378.3-7.0
61 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
62 Bahamas31233%87.3100.3-13.0
63 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
64 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
65 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
66 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
67 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
68 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
69 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
70 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
71 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
72 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
73 Puerto Rico3030%89.095.0-6.0
74 Madagascar1010%79.087.0-8.0
75 Belgium2020%74.083.0-9.0
76 Egypt1010%77.086.0-9.0
77 Senegal1010%80.090.0-10.0
78 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
79 Bosnia & Herzegovina2020%71.583.5-12.0
80 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
81 Sweden2020%81.595.5-14.0
82 Chile2020%64.080.0-16.0
83 Israel2020%70.087.0-17.0
84 Panama2020%71.088.5-17.5
85 Iraq2020%69.590.0-20.5
86 Georgia2020%70.091.0-21.0
87 Uganda1010%68.090.0-22.0
88 India2020%54.078.0-24.0
89 Guam3030%65.791.7-26.0
90 Cyprus2020%62.091.5-29.5
91 Syria2020%53.587.0-33.5
92 Cuba2020%58.592.5-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 92 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nicaragua2110162572
Mexico2227212999
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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