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Nice W vs Graffenstaden W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-71
22-20 21-17 11-17 23-17
Position#11
Record6-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game68.6
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#12
Record8-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game68.6
Allowed / game74.6
FranceLigue 2 WomenRound 19· Salle Serge Leyrit
Women2025-26
Meetings · Nice W v Graffenstaden W
14 Feb 2026
NICE77
GRAF71
09 Mar 2024
NICE59
GRAF46
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nice W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Graffenstaden W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nice WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Union Hainaut W
#7
L
61-75
61
75
-14
52avg 58
A29/11
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#8
L
57-66
57
66
-9
52avg 58
H06/12
Ligue 2 Women
Monaco W
#4
L
69-95
69
95
-26
54avg 58
A13/12
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#14
W
84-61
84
61
+23
83avg 58
H17/12
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#3
L
66-70
66
70
-4
47avg 58
A20/12
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#2
W
60-55
60
55
+5
57avg 58
A10/01
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
60-78
60
78
-18
no box
H17/01
Ligue 2 Women
Rouen W
#9
L
71-76
71
76
-5
59avg 58
A24/01
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
77-61
77
61
+16
72avg 58
H31/01
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#10
L
65-74
65
74
-9
56avg 58
A07/02
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
10-20
20-18
13-13
13-10
22-15
10-21
12-20
12-24
14-27
19-22
24-22
23-11
17-17
17-20
27-13
14-18
10-10
20-24
22-18
11-13
18-17
11-11
20-14
20-13
11-18
16-24
13-23
13-19
18-20
16-21
24-16
28-18
19-16
19-13
11-14
11-26
17-17
18-13
19-18
138.1Avg total
67.0Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)68.672.7141.2-4.133%
Season at home (8)69.569.5139.0+0.050%
Season away (10)67.875.2143.0-7.420%
Last 10 (10)67.071.1138.1-4.130%
Last 5 (5)66.668.8135.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)62.869.9132.7-7.128%
vs Similar ◀ (8)67.272.2139.5-5.025%
vs Weaker (3)79.367.0146.3+12.367%
This opponent (Graffenstaden W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Graffenstaden WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Champagne W
#8
L
74-80
74
80
-6
73avg 59
A29/11
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#14
W
83-65
83
65
+18
75avg 59
H06/12
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#3
L
49-73
49
73
-24
38avg 59
A13/12
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#2
L
60-72
60
72
-12
46avg 59
H17/12
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
74-94
74
94
-20
59avg 59
A20/12
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#6
L
47-88
47
88
-41
35avg 59
A10/01
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
90-61
90
61
+29
no box
H17/01
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#10
W
80-76
80
76
+4
78avg 59
A24/01
Ligue 2 Women
Rouen W
#9
W
67-65
67
65
+2
66avg 59
H31/01
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#1
L
45-73
45
73
-28
32avg 59
H07/02
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-24
31-11
20-27
12-18
28-26
16-17
16-8
23-14
4-14
23-24
12-18
10-17
16-20
15-22
12-20
17-10
20-22
16-32
20-23
18-17
12-29
14-11
17-25
4-23
19-19
26-6
20-16
25-20
21-21
13-22
25-19
21-14
22-16
15-16
16-16
14-17
10-20
7-29
17-11
11-13
141.6Avg total
66.9Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)68.674.6143.2-5.944%
Season at home (9)72.773.8146.4-1.156%
Season away (9)64.675.3139.9-10.833%
Last 10 (10)66.974.7141.6-7.840%
Last 5 (5)65.872.6138.4-6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)60.676.2136.8-15.612%
vs Similar ◀ (9)68.069.6137.6-1.656%
vs Weaker (4)70.563.0133.5+7.550%
This opponent (Nice W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
Nice WGraffenstaden W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nice WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union Hainaut W
#7
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A29/11
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#8
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H06/12
Ligue 2 Women
Monaco W
#4
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A13/12
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#14
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H17/12
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#3
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A20/12
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#2
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A10/01
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H17/01
Ligue 2 Women
Rouen W
#9
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A24/01
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H31/01
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#10
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A07/02
Ligue 2 Women
67.2Avg total
31.9Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.134.367.4-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.732.367.0+2.457%-
Last 30 away (16)31.836.167.8-4.319%-
Last 10 (10)31.935.367.2-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)33.235.468.6-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)32.033.865.8-1.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)31.534.666.1-3.138%-
vs Weaker (3)42.735.378.0+7.367%-
This opponent (Graffenstaden W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Graffenstaden WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Champagne W
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A29/11
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#14
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H06/12
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#3
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A13/12
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H17/12
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A20/12
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#6
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A10/01
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H17/01
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#10
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A24/01
Ligue 2 Women
Rouen W
#9
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H31/01
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#1
L
17-49
17
49
-32
H07/02
Ligue 2 Women
74.0Avg total
33.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.137.871.9-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.937.273.1-1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)32.638.370.9-5.825%-
Last 10 (10)33.940.174.0-6.240%-
Last 5 (5)31.837.869.6-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)32.139.671.8-7.519%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.436.972.3-1.456%-
vs Weaker (4)38.232.871.0+5.575%-
This opponent (Nice W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nice Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nice W: 68.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.5 points a game
56%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.117.6
42.8%
45.0%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.16.0
29.9%
29.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.8
74.7%
72.1%14.8
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Graffenstaden Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Graffenstaden W: 66.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.5 points a game
56%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.518.2
42.8%
45.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.75.1
30.5%
29.7%15.3
🏀 Free throws19.714.7
74.6%
72.1%14.7
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nice W
LWLLWLWLLL
Graffenstaden W
LWWWLLLLWL
#11
League position
#12
-2.8
Net rating
-12.8
81.9
Offensive rating
80.9
84.6
Defensive rating
93.7
43.5%
Effective FG%
43.7%
43.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
23.1%
Turnover %
22.0%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.9%
3-point %
30.5%
67.4%
Assist %
72.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence81.9 · 80.9Defence84.6 · 93.7Shooting43.5% · 43.7%3-point %29.9% · 30.5%Ball care23.1% · 22.0%Off. rebounds28.9% · 22.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Nice W   ■ Graffenstaden W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nice W wins
1
Graffenstaden W wins
DateGameScore
01/11/25Graffenstaden W v Nice W72-70
09/03/24Nice W v Graffenstaden W59-46
02/12/23Graffenstaden W v Nice W48-66
Nice Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26AAulnoye AS W65-74
31/01/26HCentre Federal BB W77-61
24/01/26ARouen W71-76
17/01/26HMondeville W60-78
10/01/26APays Voironnais W60-55
20/12/25AMontbrison W66-70
17/12/25HLe Havre W84-61
13/12/25AMonaco W69-95
06/12/25HChampagne W57-66
29/11/25AUnion Hainaut W61-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HTronche Meylan W45-73
31/01/26HRouen W67-65
24/01/26AAulnoye AS W80-76
17/01/26HCentre Federal BB W90-61
10/01/26AFeytiat W47-88
20/12/25AMondeville W74-94
17/12/25HPays Voironnais W60-72
13/12/25AMontbrison W49-73
06/12/25HLe Havre W83-65
29/11/25AChampagne W74-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nice W
Ligue 2 Women 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game68.669.567.8
Allowed / game72.769.575.2
Point differential-4.1+0.0-7.4
Avg total141.2139.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (1)33% (6)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Graffenstaden W
Ligue 2 Women 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL44%
HomeWLWWL56%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%56%33%
Points / game68.672.764.6
Allowed / game74.673.875.3
Point differential-5.9-1.1-10.8
Avg total143.2146.4139.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pays Voironnais W1814478%71.161.3+9.8
2 Tronche Meylan W1814478%71.561.9+9.6
3 Montbrison W1813572%69.459.8+9.6
4 Aulnoye AS W1811761%76.775.3+1.4
5 Feytiat W1810856%71.267.3+3.9
6 Monaco W1810856%74.270.4+3.7
7 Champagne W1810856%65.362.6+2.8
8 Union Hainaut W1810856%66.764.6+2.1
9 Mondeville W189950%71.368.6+2.7
10 Graffenstaden W1881044%68.674.6-5.9
11 Rouen W1871139%69.171.7-2.6
12 Nice W1861233%68.672.7-4.1
13 Centre Federal BB W1831517%59.475.3-15.9
14 Le Havre W181176%62.879.8-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nice W2221112377
Graffenstaden W2017171771
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