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Nice W vs USBD Alencon W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 61-57
18-15 18-13 11-14 14-15
Position#8
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game51.0
Nice W 🏆
France
vs
USBD Alencon W
France
Position#7
Record1-0
FormWW
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game59.0
FranceLigue 2 WomenRound 2· Salle Serge Leyrit
Women2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nice W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USBD Alencon W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nice WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Aulnoye AS W
#1
L
59-78
59
78
-19
46avg 59
A02/03
Ligue 2 Women
Graffenstaden W
#11
W
59-46
59
46
+13
50avg 59
H09/03
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#7
W
72-64
72
64
+8
58avg 59
A16/03
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
W
89-68
89
68
+21
86avg 59
H23/03
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#9
W
75-56
75
56
+19
68avg 59
H30/03
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
L
61-68
61
68
-7
51avg 59
A06/04
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
W
85-77
85
77
+8
84avg 59
H10/04
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
L
65-77
65
77
-12
no box
A13/04
Ligue 2 Women
Monaco W
#11
L
57-71
57
71
-14
46avg 59
A25/09
French Cup Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
75-51
75
51
+24
70avg 59
A05/10
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
5-23
22-20
18-22
14-13
19-11
18-8
11-12
11-15
13-25
19-8
18-14
22-17
31-16
24-15
17-21
17-16
12-12
28-17
14-11
21-16
21-17
12-15
14-20
14-16
24-16
22-18
16-15
23-28
14-17
12-28
22-15
17-17
17-15
16-19
7-21
17-16
21-12
19-9
19-10
16-20
135.3Avg total
69.7Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.051.0126.0+24.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)75.051.0126.0+24.0100%
Last 10 (10)69.765.6135.3+4.160%
Last 5 (5)68.668.8137.4-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.974.1141.0-7.225%
vs Similar ◀ (13)69.870.8140.7-1.046%
vs Weaker (7)74.454.1128.6+20.3100%
This opponent (USBD Alencon W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USBD Alencon WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Le Havre W
#19
W
62-52
62
52
+10
57avg 52
A28/09
French Cup Women
Montbrison W
#2
W
64-59
64
59
+5
47avg 52
H05/10
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
18-21
18-7
10-8
18-15
14-13
19-17
13-14
118.5Avg total
63.0Scored
55.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)64.059.0123.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)64.059.0123.0+5.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (2)63.055.5118.5+7.5100%
Last 5 (2)63.055.5118.5+7.5100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)64.059.0123.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nice W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
Nice WUSBD Alencon W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nice WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aulnoye AS W
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A02/03
Ligue 2 Women
Graffenstaden W
#11
W
37-19
37
19
+18
H09/03
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#7
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A16/03
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H23/03
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#9
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H30/03
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A06/04
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H10/04
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A13/04
Ligue 2 Women
Monaco W
#11
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A25/09
French Cup Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A05/10
Ligue 2 Women
69.0Avg total
36.9Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.933.170.0+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.732.170.9+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)35.333.969.2+1.456%-
Last 10 (10)36.932.169.0+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)35.633.268.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.836.670.4-2.950%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.835.472.2+1.562%-
vs Weaker (7)40.926.467.3+14.4100%-
This opponent (USBD Alencon W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USBD Alencon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Havre W
#19
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A28/09
French Cup Women
Montbrison W
#2
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H05/10
Ligue 2 Women
65.5Avg total
33.0Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (2)33.032.565.5+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (1)32.028.060.0+4.0100%-
Last 30 away (1)34.037.071.0-3.00%-
Last 10 (2)33.032.565.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (2)33.032.565.5+0.550%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.028.060.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nice W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nice Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nice W: 68.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.4 points a game
56%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.018.2
45.5%
44.5%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.96.1
25.5%
28.2%18.3
🏀 Free throws18.614.2
76.3%
70.7%14.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
USBD Alencon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

USBD Alencon W: 63.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀
🏀38%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers6.0 pts a game · 10% of the points
🏀 Free throws24.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.4 points a game
56%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.516.5
34.7%
44.5%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.52.0
12.9%
28.2%6.0
🏀 Free throws32.024.0
75.0%
70.7%24.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nice W
WLLWLWWWWL
USBD Alencon W
WW
#8
League position
#7
+5.2
Net rating
+10.0
87.3
Offensive rating
78.4
82.1
Defensive rating
68.4
42.8%
Effective FG%
31.0%
45.3%
Opp. effective FG%
41.4%
25.0%
Turnover %
20.6%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.51
25.5%
3-point %
12.9%
62.6%
Assist %
56.8%
60%
Form (last 10/2)
100%

Profile

Offence87.3 · 78.4Defence82.1 · 68.4Shooting42.8% · 31.0%3-point %25.5% · 12.9%Ball care25.0% · 20.6%Off. rebounds31.8% · 25.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.51Form (last 10/2)60% · 100%
■ Nice W   ■ USBD Alencon W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nice W wins
0
USBD Alencon W wins
No previous meetings.
Nice Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24ACentre Federal BB W75-51
25/09/24AMonaco W57-71
13/04/24AAulnoye AS W65-77
10/04/24HAulnoye AS W85-77
06/04/24AAulnoye AS W61-68
30/03/24HFeytiat W75-56
23/03/24HChartres W89-68
16/03/24APays Voironnais W72-64
09/03/24HGraffenstaden W59-46
02/03/24AAulnoye AS W59-78
USBD Alencon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24HMontbrison W64-59
28/09/24ALe Havre W62-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nice W
Ligue 2 Women 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game75.0-75.0
Allowed / game51.0-51.0
Point differential+24.0-+24.0
Avg total126.0-126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
USBD Alencon W
Ligue 2 Women 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Losses (last 2)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game64.064.0-
Allowed / game59.059.0-
Point differential+5.0+5.0-
Avg total123.0123.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nice W110100%75.051.0+24.0
2 Pays Voironnais W110100%87.067.0+20.0
3 Feytiat W110100%82.073.0+9.0
4 USBD Alencon W110100%64.059.0+5.0
5 Toulouse W110100%56.052.0+4.0
6 Tronche Meylan W110100%72.069.0+3.0
7 Le Havre W21150%63.570.5-7.0
8 Mondeville W1010%69.072.0-3.0
9 Union Hainaut W1010%52.056.0-4.0
10 Montbrison W1010%59.064.0-5.0
11 Aulnoye AS W1010%73.082.0-9.0
12 Centre Federal BB W2020%52.567.5-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nice W1818111461
USBD Alencon W1513141557
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