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Nicholls State vs Miss. Valley St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 104-73
48-38 56-35
Position#83
Record7-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game66.4
vs
Position#364
Record0-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game60.0
Allowed / game87.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nicholls State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miss. Valley St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Carver Bible
#629
W
120-52
120
52
+68
H13/11
NCAA
Carver Bible
#629
W
101-44
101
44
+57
H13/11
NCAA
Baylor
#16
L
60-89
60
89
-29
A15/11
NCAA
TCU
#117
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A19/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#337
W
75-72 OT
75
72
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#112
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A24/11
NCAA
Southwestern Christian
#613
W
87-58
87
58
+29
H27/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#364
W
95-80
95
80
+15
A10/12
NCAA
Blue Mountain
#402
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H14/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
57-29
63-23
35-22
66-22
28-48
32-41
30-24
20-39
21-27
41-35
22-44
41-30
40-28
47-30
55-33
40-47
39-35
48-34
37-28
31-43
147.8Avg total
80.6Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.966.4145.3+12.564%
Season at home (4)98.855.8154.5+43.0100%
Season away (7)67.672.4140.0-4.943%
Last 10 (10)80.667.2147.8+13.460%
Last 5 (5)80.070.4150.4+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)64.282.5146.8-18.20%
vs Similar (6)71.570.8142.3+0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.469.3155.6+17.195%
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#345
L
59-82
59
82
-23
H06/03
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#24
L
64-91
64
91
-27
A11/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#181
L
61-119
61
119
-58
A10/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#173
L
66-95
66
95
-29
A14/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A26/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
L
36-75
36
75
-39
A30/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#317
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A02/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#42
L
44-91
44
91
-47
A05/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
L
80-95
80
95
-15
H10/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H11/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-40
28-42
30-51
34-40
18-59
43-60
33-56
33-39
38-33
20-40
17-26
19-49
31-41
27-31
16-38
28-53
33-55
47-40
34-33
43-49
147.8Avg total
60.3Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)60.087.8147.8-27.80%
Season at home (2)78.588.5167.0-10.00%
Season away (6)53.887.5141.3-33.70%
Last 10 (10)60.387.5147.8-27.20%
Last 5 (5)59.083.0142.0-24.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)57.384.7142.0-27.47%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-19-9+0+9+191st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: -15.1-15.12nd half2nd half: +8.5+8.52nd half: -12.1-12.1
-19-9+0+9+191st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: -15.1-15.12nd half2nd half: +8.5+8.52nd half: -12.1-12.1
Nicholls StateMiss. Valley St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Carver Bible
#629
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H13/11
NCAA
Carver Bible
#629
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H13/11
NCAA
Baylor
#16
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A15/11
NCAA
TCU
#117
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A19/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#337
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A22/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#112
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A24/11
NCAA
Southwestern Christian
#613
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H27/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#364
W
55-33
55
33
+22
A10/12
NCAA
Blue Mountain
#402
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H14/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A16/12
NCAA
68.2Avg total
36.4Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.934.472.2+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.032.271.2+6.864%-
Last 30 away (16)36.936.273.1+0.662%-
Last 10 (10)36.431.868.2+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)38.633.672.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.540.574.0-7.025%-
vs Similar (6)32.035.367.3-3.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)40.632.773.3+7.879%-
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#345
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H06/03
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#24
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A11/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#181
L
18-59
18
59
-41
A10/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#173
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A14/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A26/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
L
17-26
17
26
-9
A30/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#317
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A02/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#42
L
16-38
16
38
-22
A05/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
L
33-55
33
55
-22
H10/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H11/12
NCAA
71.3Avg total
28.1Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)26.841.868.6-15.010%-
Last 30 at home (8)27.936.464.2-8.512%-
Last 30 away (22)26.443.870.2-17.49%-
Last 10 (10)28.143.271.3-15.120%-
Last 5 (5)26.238.664.8-12.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)26.841.868.6-15.010%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nicholls State wins
0
Miss. Valley St. wins
DateGameScore
10/12/21Miss. Valley St. v Nicholls State80-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/21AWisconsin68-71
14/12/21HBlue Mountain87-69
10/12/21AMiss. Valley St.95-80
27/11/21HSouthwestern Christian87-58
24/11/21AUtah Valley State63-74
22/11/21ACal Poly75-72 OT
19/11/21ATCU50-63
15/11/21ABaylor60-89
13/11/21HCarver Bible101-44
13/11/21HCarver Bible120-52
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/21HArkansas State77-82
10/12/21HNicholls State80-95
05/12/21AGrand Canyon44-91
02/12/21ANorth Alabama58-72
30/11/21AVanderbilt36-75
26/11/21AOle Miss58-73
14/11/21ACalifornia Baptist66-95
10/11/21ASt. John's (N.Y.)61-119
11/03/21APrairie View A&M64-91
06/03/21HArkansas-Pine Bluff59-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nicholls State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL64%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %64%100%43%
Points / game78.998.867.6
Allowed / game66.455.872.4
Point differential+12.5+43.0-4.9
Avg total145.3154.5140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%100%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %9%0%14%
Miss. Valley St.
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game60.078.553.8
Allowed / game87.888.587.5
Point differential-27.8-10.0-33.7
Avg total147.8167.0141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 TX A&M Commerce110100%65.062.0+3.0
2 Texas A&M-CC1310377%78.268.2+9.9
3 Stephen F. Austin118373%77.971.0+6.9
4 Nicholls State117464%78.966.4+12.5
5 UTRGV125742%72.277.2-5.0
6 SE Louisiana114736%78.774.2+4.5
7 Houston Christian93633%70.471.3-0.9
8 New Orleans103730%70.273.8-3.6
9 McNeese State113827%71.775.6-3.9
10 Incarnate Word112918%68.279.8-11.6
11 Northwestern St.112918%67.182.4-15.3
12 Lamar1221017%62.271.5-9.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Univ.115645%72.572.5+0.0
2 Grambling St.113827%62.273.0-10.8
3 Texas Southern92722%62.970.0-7.1
4 Florida A&M102820%62.671.2-8.6
5 Bethune-Cookman102820%60.871.0-10.2
6 Alabama State112918%69.880.9-11.1
7 Jackson State112918%57.169.0-11.9
8 Arkansas-Pine Bluff1321115%63.580.3-16.8
9 Alabama A&M Bulldogs91811%54.871.9-17.1
10 Alcorn State101910%60.274.6-14.4
11 Prairie View A&M9090%66.186.9-20.8
12 Miss. Valley St.8080%60.087.8-27.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nicholls State4856104
Miss. Valley St.383573
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