Nigeria vs Mali Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Nov 2021

Tip-off: 13:00

Final 72-70

16-15 14-24 23-16 19-15

Position#30

Record0-1

FormWWLLL

Points / game71.0

Allowed / game79.0

Nigeria 🏆

Mali

Position#49

Record1-0

FormLLLLW

Points / game76.0

Allowed / game66.0

World CupRound 2

Other2023

Meetings · Nigeria v Mali

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nigeria winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Mali winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NigeriaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ivory Coast

#45

83-66

+17

H06/09

World Cup

China

#29

86-73

+13

A08/09

World Cup

Australia

67-84

-17

A25/07

Olympic Games

Germany

#12

92-99

-7

H28/07

Olympic Games

Italy

71-80

-9

A31/07

Olympic Games

Mali

#15

81-73

H25/08

AfroBasket

Kenya

#14

71-55

+16

A27/08

AfroBasket

Ivory Coast

68-77

-9

H29/08

AfroBasket

Uganda

68-80

-12

H31/08

AfroBasket

Cape Verde

#45

71-79

-8

A26/11

World Cup

24-18

13-17

26-11

20-20

19-21

16-10

25-20

26-22

23-23

17-20

12-15

15-26

21-24

29-26

24-24

18-25

17-29

22-11

24-16

8-24

28-12

16-31

27-10

10-20

20-8

14-18

15-13

22-16

11-20

23-19

13-15

21-23

12-24

19-20

18-23

19-13

20-18

15-16

20-17

16-28

152.4Avg total

75.8Scored

76.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	71.0	79.0	150.0	-8.0	0%
Season at home	no games
Season away (1)	71.0	79.0	150.0	-8.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	75.8	76.6	152.4	-0.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	71.8	72.8	144.6	-1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	76.2	86.5	162.8	-10.2	12%
vs Similar (1)	80.0	89.0	169.0	-9.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	85.7	70.1	155.8	+15.5	71%

This opponent (Mali) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MaliLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Central African Republic

#37

66-65

A14/09

World Cup

Senegal

#24

71-82

-11

H15/09

World Cup

Ivory Coast

#45

59-69

-10

H16/09

World Cup

Central African Republic

#37

57-75

-18

H22/02

World Cup

Senegal

#24

38-62

-24

A23/02

World Cup

Ivory Coast

#45

49-69

-20

A24/02

World Cup

Nigeria

73-81

-8

A25/08

AfroBasket

Ivory Coast

67-90

-23

H27/08

AfroBasket

Kenya

#14

66-72

-6

A29/08

AfroBasket

Uganda

#71

76-66

+10

H26/11

World Cup

15-15

10-22

18-13

23-15

20-20

17-17

12-26

22-19

18-19

7-16

18-15

16-19

12-17

11-18

15-19

19-21

12-17

10-22

13-16

3-7

15-26

11-18

10-13

13-12

12-28

31-16

10-27

20-10

14-27

14-22

14-19

25-22

18-22

11-11

16-22

21-17

17-9

19-21

25-19

15-17

135.3Avg total

62.2Scored

73.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	76.0	66.0	142.0	+10.0	100%
Season at home (1)	76.0	66.0	142.0	+10.0	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	62.2	73.1	135.3	-10.9	20%
Last 5 (5)	66.2	75.6	141.8	-9.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	56.9	75.7	132.6	-18.8	5%
vs Similar (5)	73.0	72.2	145.2	+0.8	80%
vs Weaker (6)	77.7	69.2	146.8	+8.5	67%

This opponent (Nigeria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NigeriaMali

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.3	38.4	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.7	39.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.4	34.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.9	23.2	40.1	-6.4	12%	-
vs Similar (1)	16.0	13.0	29.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.8	17.9	38.6	+2.9	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	14.6	18.8	33.4	-4.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	14.8	18.4	33.2	-3.6	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	14.3	19.3	33.6	-5.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.3	20.0	35.3	-4.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	22.4	37.6	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	13.1	20.7	33.8	-7.7	11%	-
vs Similar (5)	14.6	13.2	27.8	+1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.3	17.5	36.8	+1.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	17.3	38.0	+3.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.3	40.3	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	15.2	35.7	+5.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.8	38.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.8	62%	-
vs Similar (1)	25.0	23.0	48.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.1	16.0	36.0	+4.1	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	14.7	16.2	30.9	-1.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	13.7	16.5	30.2	-2.8	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.9	15.9	31.7	+0.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.1	18.3	32.4	-4.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.6	34.8	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	12.7	16.2	28.9	-3.5	21%	-
vs Similar (5)	14.6	16.4	31.0	-1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	50%	-

NigeriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ivory Coast

#45

37-35

H06/09

World Cup

China

#29

35-31

A08/09

World Cup

Australia

40-43

-3

A25/07

Olympic Games

Germany

#12

50-50

H28/07

Olympic Games

Italy

39-40

-1

A31/07

Olympic Games

Mali

#15

44-43

H25/08

AfroBasket

Kenya

#14

34-26

A27/08

AfroBasket

Ivory Coast

34-39

-5

H29/08

AfroBasket

Uganda

31-44

-13

H31/08

AfroBasket

Cape Verde

#45

35-34

A26/11

World Cup

76.4Avg total

37.9Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	36.4	76.7	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	38.3	79.3	+2.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.6	34.5	74.1	+5.1	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	38.5	76.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	37.2	72.8	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.6	43.2	81.9	-4.6	12%	-
vs Similar (1)	41.0	36.0	77.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	40.9	33.8	74.7	+7.0	76%	-

This opponent (Mali) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MaliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Central African Republic

#37

25-37

-12

A14/09

World Cup

Senegal

#24

37-37

H15/09

World Cup

Ivory Coast

#45

25-35

-10

H16/09

World Cup

Central African Republic

#37

23-35

-12

H22/02

World Cup

Senegal

#24

22-39

-17

A23/02

World Cup

Ivory Coast

#45

26-44

-18

A24/02

World Cup

Nigeria

43-44

-1

A25/08

AfroBasket

Ivory Coast

28-49

-21

H27/08

AfroBasket

Kenya

#14

29-33

-4

A29/08

AfroBasket

Uganda

#71

36-30

H26/11

World Cup

67.7Avg total

29.4Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.3	35.0	64.3	-5.8	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	28.5	34.9	63.4	-6.4	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	30.1	35.1	65.3	-5.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.4	38.3	67.7	-8.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.4	40.0	72.4	-7.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	25.8	36.9	62.7	-11.2	11%	-
vs Similar (5)	29.2	29.6	58.8	-0.4	20%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.3	33.5	73.8	+6.8	67%	-

This opponent (Nigeria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	18.5	40.8	+3.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	19.1	41.8	+3.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	17.9	39.9	+4.1	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	16.4	36.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	15.6	34.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.6	18.5	39.1	+2.1	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	13.0	29.0	42.0	-16.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	23.4	18.0	41.4	+5.4	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.9	19.0	34.9	-3.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	15.7	19.8	35.4	-4.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.2	18.1	34.4	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.1	18.9	34.0	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	20.0	35.0	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	14.0	19.7	33.7	-5.7	26%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.2	21.4	43.6	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	16.8	14.7	31.5	+2.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	18.5	38.5	+1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	22.0	42.7	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	21.7	39.2	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.0	37.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.0	24.8	41.8	-7.8	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	26.0	24.0	50.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.4	18.3	39.7	+3.0	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	19.8	38.6	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	19.4	37.0	-1.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	15.9	33.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	15.6	34.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.1	19.0	36.1	-1.9	47%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.5	21.0	41.5	-0.5	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	38.7	81.4	+4.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	37.6	80.3	+5.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.7	39.9	82.6	+2.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	38.1	76.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	35.6	71.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	37.6	43.2	80.9	-5.6	12%	-
vs Similar (1)	39.0	53.0	92.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	44.8	36.3	81.1	+8.5	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.2	38.6	72.8	-4.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	34.6	39.5	74.1	-4.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.9	37.5	71.4	-3.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.8	34.8	67.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	35.6	69.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	31.1	38.7	69.8	-7.6	16%	-
vs Similar (5)	42.4	41.4	83.8	+1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	37.3	35.7	73.0	+1.7	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Nigeria wins

Mali wins

Date	Game	Score
25/08/21	Nigeria v Mali	81-73
01/07/18	Nigeria v Mali	93-53
25/02/18	Mali v Nigeria	59-82
21/08/13	Nigeria v Mali	74-59
17/08/11	Nigeria v Mali	84-59
10/08/09	Nigeria v Mali	74-70

Nigerialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/11/21	A	Cape Verde	71-79
31/08/21	H	Uganda	68-80
29/08/21	H	Ivory Coast	68-77
27/08/21	A	Kenya	71-55
25/08/21	H	Mali	81-73
31/07/21	A	Italy	71-80
28/07/21	H	Germany	92-99
25/07/21	A	Australia	67-84
08/09/19	A	China	86-73
06/09/19	H	Ivory Coast	83-66

Malilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/11/21	H	Uganda	76-66
29/08/21	A	Kenya	66-72
27/08/21	H	Ivory Coast	67-90
25/08/21	A	Nigeria	73-81
24/02/19	A	Ivory Coast	49-69
23/02/19	A	Senegal	38-62
22/02/19	H	Central African Republic	57-75
16/09/18	H	Ivory Coast	59-69
15/09/18	H	Senegal	71-82
14/09/18	A	Central African Republic	66-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nigeria

World Cup 2023

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	L	0%
Home	-	-
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	-	1
Win %	0%	-	0%
Points / game	71.0	-	71.0
Allowed / game	79.0	-	79.0
Point differential	-8.0	-	-8.0
Avg total	150.0	-	150.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	-	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Mali

World Cup 2023

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	76.0	76.0	-
Allowed / game	66.0	66.0	-
Point differential	+10.0	+10.0	-
Avg total	142.0	142.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Lebanon	1	1	0	100%	96.0	38.0	+58.0
2	Spain	1	1	0	100%	94.0	65.0	+29.0
3	Argentina	1	1	0	100%	93.0	67.0	+26.0
4	Belgium	1	1	0	100%	83.0	57.0	+26.0
5	Brazil	1	1	0	100%	77.0	53.0	+24.0
6	Venezuela	1	1	0	100%	77.0	56.0	+21.0
7	Lithuania	1	1	0	100%	89.0	69.0	+20.0
8	China	1	1	0	100%	79.0	63.0	+16.0
9	Iran	1	1	0	100%	82.0	66.0	+16.0
10	Ivory Coast	2	2	0	100%	74.5	60.0	+14.5
11	Russia	1	1	0	100%	92.0	78.0	+14.0
12	Kazakhstan	1	1	0	100%	84.0	74.0	+10.0
13	Mali	1	1	0	100%	76.0	66.0	+10.0
14	Great Britain	1	1	0	100%	78.0	69.0	+9.0
15	Cape Verde	1	1	0	100%	79.0	71.0	+8.0
16	Israel	1	1	0	100%	69.0	61.0	+8.0
17	Uruguay	1	1	0	100%	83.0	75.0	+8.0
18	Bosnia & Herzegovina	1	1	0	100%	97.0	90.0	+7.0
19	Jordan	1	1	0	100%	68.0	61.0	+7.0
20	France	1	1	0	100%	73.0	67.0	+6.0
21	Hungary	1	1	0	100%	81.0	75.0	+6.0
22	Georgia	1	1	0	100%	88.0	83.0	+5.0
23	Guinea	1	1	0	100%	76.0	71.0	+5.0
24	Estonia	1	1	0	100%	69.0	66.0	+3.0
25	Slovenia	1	1	0	100%	76.0	74.0	+2.0
26	Serbia	1	1	0	100%	101.0	100.0	+1.0
27	Sweden	5	4	1	80%	90.2	67.0	+23.2
28	Latvia	5	4	1	80%	92.4	77.0	+15.4
29	Montenegro	5	4	1	80%	78.0	71.4	+6.6
30	Belarus	11	8	3	73%	81.5	66.4	+15.1
31	Iceland	11	8	3	73%	84.1	76.4	+7.7
32	Portugal	11	8	3	73%	74.9	68.5	+6.4
33	Switzerland	4	2	2	50%	62.2	63.2	-1.0
34	Slovakia	11	5	6	45%	71.2	73.1	-1.9
35	North Macedonia	5	2	3	40%	67.0	71.4	-4.4
36	Kosovo	6	2	4	33%	75.8	85.2	-9.3
37	Luxembourg	10	2	8	20%	76.3	88.1	-11.8
38	Albania	6	1	5	17%	65.2	82.2	-17.0
39	Cyprus	6	1	5	17%	59.0	80.2	-21.2
40	Angola	1	0	1	0%	56.0	57.0	-1.0
41	Croatia	1	0	1	0%	74.0	76.0	-2.0
42	Netherlands	1	0	1	0%	77.0	79.0	-2.0
43	Germany	1	0	1	0%	66.0	69.0	-3.0
44	Ukraine	1	0	1	0%	83.0	88.0	-5.0
45	Czech Republic	1	0	1	0%	90.0	97.0	-7.0
46	Saudi Arabia	1	0	1	0%	61.0	68.0	-7.0
47	Colombia	1	0	1	0%	75.0	83.0	-8.0
48	Nigeria	1	0	1	0%	71.0	79.0	-8.0
49	Poland	1	0	1	0%	61.0	69.0	-8.0
50	Greece	1	0	1	0%	69.0	78.0	-9.0
51	Finland	1	0	1	0%	62.0	72.0	-10.0
52	Syria	1	0	1	0%	74.0	84.0	-10.0
53	Uganda	1	0	1	0%	66.0	76.0	-10.0
54	Italy	1	0	1	0%	78.0	92.0	-14.0
55	Turkey	1	0	1	0%	70.0	84.0	-14.0
56	Denmark	4	0	4	0%	69.5	84.5	-15.0
57	Bahrain	1	0	1	0%	66.0	82.0	-16.0
58	Japan	1	0	1	0%	63.0	79.0	-16.0
59	Central African Republic	2	0	2	0%	67.5	84.0	-16.5
60	Romania	4	0	4	0%	69.8	89.5	-19.8
61	Bulgaria	1	0	1	0%	69.0	89.0	-20.0
62	Panama	1	0	1	0%	56.0	77.0	-21.0
63	Chile	1	0	1	0%	53.0	77.0	-24.0
64	Paraguay	1	0	1	0%	67.0	93.0	-26.0
65	Indonesia	1	0	1	0%	38.0	96.0	-58.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 65 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Nigeria	16	14	23	19	72
Mali	15	24	16	15	70

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Nigeria vs Mali Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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