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NJIT W vs Rider Broncs W Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Projected 75-59
Projected total 134.0
Final 50-45
18-11 10-12 11-9 11-13
Position#91
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
NJIT W 🏆
USA
Vs
93%
■ NJIT 93%■ RIDE 7%
Pythia win probability
Rider Broncs W
USA
Position#270
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA Women
Women2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

NJIT Women host Rider Broncs Women on 2 November 2026 in the NCAA Women's competition, and the Pythia model names NJIT as the clear favourite with a 93% chance of victory, a 7% chance for Rider, and a projected score of 75-59 that totals 134.0 points; the model also estimates a 2% chance of overtime. NJIT's recent form shows two wins and three losses in their last five games, including a 68-65 win over Merrimack Warriors W on 19 March 2026 and a 52-59 loss to Army W on 22 March 2026, while Rider likewise has two wins and three losses in their last five, with losses to Mount St. Mary's W, Siena, and Niagara all on the road. The projected spread is 75-59, and Pythia assigns a 93% probability that NJIT will cover the home line. The model's confidence reflects NJIT's dominant scoring projection and Rider's recent struggles, and the game will be played at NJIT's venue.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NJIT W winWon
92.5%fair 1.08
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rider Broncs W winLost
7.5%fair 13.40
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NJIT WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass Lowell W
#323
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A05/02
NCAA Women
Binghamton W
#136
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A07/02
NCAA Women
New Hampshire Wildcats W
#292
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H12/02
NCAA Women
Maine Black Bears W
#148
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H14/02
NCAA Women
Albany Great Danes W
#225
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A19/02
NCAA Women
Vermont W
#40
L
37-67
37
67
-30
A21/02
NCAA Women
Bryant University W
#137
W
75-42
75
42
+33
H28/02
NCAA Women
UMBC Retrievers W
#183
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A05/03
NCAA Women
Merrimack Warriors W
#144
W
68-65
68
65
+3
A19/03
NCAA Women
Army W
#45
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A22/03
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-9
16-20
16-13
20-18
17-20
21-8
13-25
16-19
16-16
15-14
14-6
10-11
9-12
18-10
21-11
15-9
17-20
16-10
15-19
22-15
16-13
8-17
7-19
6-18
8-16
31-9
23-8
13-9
21-15
17-12
12-19
15-20
19-25
16-15
20-14
13-11
26-13
9-11
10-17
7-18
120.5Avg total
62.1Scored
58.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)62.158.4120.5+3.760%
Last 5 (5)59.459.8119.2-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)55.065.0120.0-10.029%
vs Similar (13)66.567.2133.8-0.746%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)69.755.4125.1+14.390%
This opponent (Rider Broncs W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rider Broncs WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Peters W
#341
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A24/01
NCAA Women
Mount St. Mary's W
#204
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H29/01
NCAA Women
Manhattan W
#284
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H05/02
NCAA Women
Merrimack Warriors W
#144
L
37-73
37
73
-36
A07/02
NCAA Women
St. Peters W
#341
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H12/02
NCAA Women
Marist W
#285
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H14/02
NCAA Women
Canisius W
#353
W
55-53 OT
55
53
+2
A19/02
NCAA Women
Niagara W
#373
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A21/02
NCAA Women
Siena W
#243
L
55-67
55
67
-12
H26/02
NCAA Women
Mount St. Mary's W
#204
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A28/02
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-11
13-12
16-15
7-17
14-14
12-15
17-23
16-18
12-19
17-18
15-10
27-13
14-17
2-14
13-19
8-23
12-9
13-11
3-8
12-14
10-15
20-9
16-9
10-10
12-13
11-5
10-12
12-15
13-17
12-18
15-8
12-13
18-15
14-14
4-11
19-27
11-10
12-13
10-15
13-16
109.0Avg total
51.7Scored
57.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)51.757.3109.0-5.630%
Last 5 (5)52.854.6107.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)53.763.8117.5-10.222%
vs Similar (9)51.960.2112.1-8.322%
vs Weaker (3)57.358.7116.0-1.333%
This opponent (NJIT W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 126Actual: Under 126
Over 126
69.3%
Under 126
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 131Actual: Under 131
Over 131
57.4%
Under 131
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 136Actual: Under 136
Over 136
44.8%
Under 136
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

NJIT W total 66.5Actual: NJIT W under 66.5
Over 66.5
81.6%
Under 66.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NJIT W total 70.5Actual: NJIT W under 70.5
Over 70.5
69.0%
Under 70.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NJIT W total 74.5Actual: NJIT W under 74.5
Over 74.5
53.6%
Under 74.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rider Broncs W total 56.5Actual: Rider Broncs W under 56.5
Over 56.5
58.2%
Under 56.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rider Broncs W total 60.5Actual: Rider Broncs W under 60.5
Over 60.5
42.3%
Under 60.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rider Broncs W total 64.5Actual: Rider Broncs W under 64.5
Over 64.5
27.7%
Under 64.5
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread NJIT W -3Actual: NJIT W -3
NJIT -3
89.6%
RIDE +3
10.4%
Best 5 market prices
NJIT
No market prices yet.
RIDE
No market prices yet.
Spread NJIT W 0Actual: NJIT W 0
NJIT 0
92.5%
RIDE 0
7.5%
Best 5 market prices
NJIT
No market prices yet.
RIDE
No market prices yet.
Spread NJIT W +3Actual: NJIT W +3
NJIT +3
95.1%
RIDE -3
4.9%
Best 5 market prices
NJIT
No market prices yet.
RIDE
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
NJIT WRider Broncs W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NJIT WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass Lowell W
#323
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A05/02
NCAA Women
Binghamton W
#136
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A07/02
NCAA Women
New Hampshire Wildcats W
#292
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H12/02
NCAA Women
Maine Black Bears W
#148
W
27-22
27
22
+5
H14/02
NCAA Women
Albany Great Danes W
#225
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A19/02
NCAA Women
Vermont W
#40
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A21/02
NCAA Women
Bryant University W
#137
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H28/02
NCAA Women
UMBC Retrievers W
#183
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A05/03
NCAA Women
Merrimack Warriors W
#144
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A19/03
NCAA Women
Army W
#45
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A22/03
NCAA Women
61.8Avg total
33.3Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.830.962.8+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.727.559.1+4.273%-
Last 30 away (15)32.034.466.4-2.440%-
Last 10 (10)33.328.561.8+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)34.229.263.4+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)28.332.160.4-3.943%-
vs Similar (13)33.632.265.8+1.454%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)32.028.460.4+3.670%-
This opponent (Rider Broncs W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rider Broncs WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Peters W
#341
D
23-23
23
23
+0
A24/01
NCAA Women
Mount St. Mary's W
#204
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H29/01
NCAA Women
Manhattan W
#284
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H05/02
NCAA Women
Merrimack Warriors W
#144
L
16-31
16
31
-15
A07/02
NCAA Women
St. Peters W
#341
W
25-20
25
20
+5
H12/02
NCAA Women
Marist W
#285
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H14/02
NCAA Women
Canisius W
#353
W
23-18
23
18
+5
A19/02
NCAA Women
Niagara W
#373
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A21/02
NCAA Women
Siena W
#243
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H26/02
NCAA Women
Mount St. Mary's W
#204
D
23-23
23
23
+0
A28/02
NCAA Women
52.1Avg total
25.2Scored
26.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)24.929.454.3-4.623%-
Last 30 at home (13)25.328.253.5-2.931%-
Last 30 away (17)24.530.454.9-5.818%-
Last 10 (10)25.226.952.1-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)26.625.852.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)24.929.654.5-4.617%-
vs Similar (9)24.029.853.8-5.822%-
vs Weaker (3)27.027.754.7-0.767%-
This opponent (NJIT W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
NJIT W wins
0
Rider Broncs W wins
No previous meetings.
NJIT Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26AArmy W52-59
19/03/26AMerrimack Warriors W68-65
05/03/26AUMBC Retrievers W65-66
28/02/26HBryant University W75-42
21/02/26AVermont W37-67
19/02/26AAlbany Great Danes W70-64
14/02/26HMaine Black Bears W63-42
12/02/26HNew Hampshire Wildcats W55-47
07/02/26ABinghamton W67-72
05/02/26AUMass Lowell W69-60
Rider Broncs Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26AMount St. Mary's W46-54
26/02/26HSiena W55-67
21/02/26ANiagara W52-56
19/02/26ACanisius W55-53 OT
14/02/26HMarist W56-43
12/02/26HSt. Peters W40-42
07/02/26AMerrimack Warriors W37-73
05/02/26HManhattan W71-60
29/01/26HMount St. Mary's W59-70
24/01/26ASt. Peters W46-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NJIT W
NCAA Women 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Rider Broncs W
NCAA Women 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMKC W110100%120.040.0+80.0
2 Yale Bulldogs W110100%111.038.0+73.0
3 Louisville W110100%119.047.0+72.0
4 Oakland W110100%104.032.0+72.0
5 South Carolina State W110100%112.042.0+70.0
6 Longwood W110100%96.027.0+69.0
7 Utah Tech W110100%107.039.0+68.0
8 UConn W110100%100.035.0+65.0
9 Detroit Titans W110100%94.030.0+64.0
10 George Washington W110100%84.023.0+61.0
11 Samford Bulldogs W110100%102.042.0+60.0
12 Vanderbilt W110100%112.053.0+59.0
13 St. John's (N.Y.) W110100%95.037.0+58.0
14 Morgan State W110100%103.047.0+56.0
15 Tulane Green Wave W110100%92.038.0+54.0
16 Bryant University W110100%75.025.0+50.0
17 Charleston W110100%92.043.0+49.0
18 Montana State W110100%82.038.0+44.0
19 Ole Miss W110100%80.038.0+42.0
20 East Texas A&M Lions W110100%81.040.0+41.0
21 William & Mary W110100%89.048.0+41.0
22 Georgia W110100%92.053.0+39.0
23 Butler W110100%108.071.0+37.0
24 Boise State W110100%84.048.0+36.0
25 Stony Brook W110100%73.039.0+34.0
26 USC Trojans W110100%100.068.0+32.0
27 Kennesaw State W110100%72.042.0+30.0
28 NC State W110100%80.050.0+30.0
29 Nebraska Cornhuskers W110100%81.054.0+27.0
30 South Florida W110100%80.054.0+26.0
31 Southern Mississippi W110100%85.059.0+26.0
32 Idaho Vandals W110100%71.047.0+24.0
33 Notre Dame W110100%99.075.0+24.0
34 UMass Lowell W110100%77.053.0+24.0
35 Iona W110100%76.054.0+22.0
36 Clemson W110100%68.047.0+21.0
37 UCLA W110100%73.053.0+20.0
38 Washington W110100%79.063.0+16.0
39 Georgia Tech W110100%80.065.0+15.0
40 Stanford Cardinal W110100%84.069.0+15.0
41 Coastal Carolina W110100%68.054.0+14.0
42 Mcneese State W110100%65.053.0+12.0
43 Oklahoma Sooners W110100%91.079.0+12.0
44 Houston Cougars W110100%73.065.0+8.0
45 South Carolina W110100%101.093.0+8.0
46 Wake Forest W110100%65.058.0+7.0
47 Columbia W110100%71.065.0+6.0
48 Old Dominion W110100%62.058.0+4.0
49 Cleveland State W110100%62.061.0+1.0
50 Seattle U Redhawks W110100%63.062.0+1.0
51 Virginia State W110100%63.062.0+1.0
52 New Mexico W1010%62.063.0-1.0
53 Norfolk State W1010%62.063.0-1.0
54 Penn State W1010%61.062.0-1.0
55 Central Michigan W1010%58.062.0-4.0
56 Davidson W1010%65.071.0-6.0
57 South Carolina Upstate W1010%58.065.0-7.0
58 Hampton W1010%65.073.0-8.0
59 Maryland W1010%93.0101.0-8.0
60 North Carolina W1010%79.091.0-12.0
61 Texas A&M-Kingsville W1010%53.065.0-12.0
62 Western Michigan W1010%54.068.0-14.0
63 Arizona Wildcats W1010%69.084.0-15.0
64 Hofstra W1010%65.080.0-15.0
65 UC San Diego Tritons W1010%63.079.0-16.0
66 Lehigh W1010%53.073.0-20.0
67 Radford W1010%47.068.0-21.0
68 Dominican Chargers W1010%54.076.0-22.0
69 St. Anselm Hawks W1010%53.077.0-24.0
70 St. Martin's W1010%47.071.0-24.0
71 Villanova W1010%75.099.0-24.0
72 Furman Paladins W1010%54.080.0-26.0
73 Mississippi Christian W1010%59.085.0-26.0
74 San Jose State W1010%54.081.0-27.0
75 Shorter W1010%42.072.0-30.0
76 Wofford W1010%50.080.0-30.0
77 UNLV Lady Rebels W1010%68.0100.0-32.0
78 Molloy W1010%39.073.0-34.0
79 Bushnell W1010%48.084.0-36.0
80 Tennessee Tech W1010%71.0108.0-37.0
81 West Georgia W1010%53.092.0-39.0
82 Chowan W1010%48.089.0-41.0
83 Oklahoma Christian W1010%40.081.0-41.0
84 Alcorn State W1010%38.080.0-42.0
85 Black Hills W1010%38.082.0-44.0
86 Berry Vikings W1010%43.092.0-49.0
87 MIT Engineers W1010%25.075.0-50.0
88 Texas W1010%38.092.0-54.0
89 Washington Adventist W1010%47.0103.0-56.0
90 Lafayette W1010%37.095.0-58.0
91 Lipscomb Bisons W1010%53.0112.0-59.0
92 Montevallo Falcons W1010%42.0102.0-60.0
93 District of Columbia W1010%23.084.0-61.0
94 Michigan-Dearborn W1010%30.094.0-64.0
95 Cornell W1010%35.0100.0-65.0
96 Life Pacific W1010%39.0107.0-68.0
97 Apprentice Builders W1010%27.096.0-69.0
98 Trinity College of Jacksonville W1010%42.0112.0-70.0
99 Bellarmine W1010%47.0119.0-72.0
100 Cleary University W1010%32.0104.0-72.0
101 Elms College W1010%38.0111.0-73.0
102 Baker Wildcats W1010%40.0120.0-80.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 102 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NJIT W1810111150
Rider Broncs W111291345
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