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North Florida vs Florida Gulf Coast Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-70
0-0 27-36 0-0 49-34
Position#361
Record6-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Position#224
Record14-15
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game77.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · North Florida v Florida Gulf Coast
30 Jan 2027
NORT v FLOR
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
NORT76
FLOR70
08 Feb 2025
NORT70
FLOR84
28 Feb 2024
NORT60
FLOR79
09 Feb 2023
NORT66
FLOR68
19 Feb 2022
NORT70
FLOR64
26 Feb 2021
NORT v FLOR
upcoming
09 Jan 2020
NORT89
FLOR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida Gulf Coast winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H23/01
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
117-114 OT
117
114
+3
H24/01
NCAA
Stetson
#304
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H30/01
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
94-100
94
100
-6
H31/01
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A06/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A07/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A12/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A14/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H20/02
NCAA
Stetson
#304
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
41-44
0-0
46-41
0-0
50-47
0-0
52-55
0-0
36-39
0-0
41-45
0-0
45-36
0-0
49-64
0-0
34-37
0-0
47-36
0-0
50-51
0-0
22-40
0-0
33-42
0-0
48-48
0-0
26-32
0-0
30-31
0-0
43-29
0-0
33-48
0-0
40-29
0-0
31-47
166.5Avg total
81.2Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.288.7168.9-8.621%
Season at home (12)88.884.6173.4+4.233%
Season away (17)74.191.6165.7-17.612%
Last 10 (10)81.285.3166.5-4.130%
Last 5 (5)71.279.4150.6-8.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)76.691.2167.8-14.512%
vs Similar (4)80.585.2165.8-4.825%
vs Weaker (2)116.567.0183.5+49.5100%
This opponent (Florida Gulf Coast) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida Gulf CoastUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#49
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A22/01
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A23/01
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H30/01
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
68-49
68
49
+19
A31/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A06/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A07/02
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H12/02
NCAA
Stetson
#304
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H14/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H19/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
75-71 OT
75
71
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
29-41
0-0
33-42
0-0
30-37
0-0
41-49
0-0
37-30
0-0
35-34
0-0
25-24
0-0
43-25
0-0
39-26
0-0
35-50
0-0
31-32
0-0
34-49
0-0
42-33
0-0
48-48
0-0
44-44
0-0
34-32
0-0
46-42
0-0
40-42
0-0
32-29
0-0
31-34
149.2Avg total
74.1Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.977.9156.9+1.048%
Season at home (17)83.876.7160.5+7.165%
Season away (12)72.079.7151.7-7.725%
Last 10 (10)74.175.1149.2-1.060%
Last 5 (5)78.878.6157.4+0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.387.3161.6-13.014%
vs Similar (16)78.178.3156.4-0.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)83.666.7150.3+16.9100%
This opponent (North Florida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: -3.1-3.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: -3.1-3.1
North FloridaFlorida Gulf Coast
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
North FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#313
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H23/01
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H24/01
NCAA
Stetson
#304
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H30/01
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H31/01
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A06/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A07/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A12/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A14/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H20/02
NCAA
Stetson
#304
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A21/02
NCAA
78.4Avg total
39.8Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.979.6-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.337.881.1+5.658%-
Last 30 away (18)35.743.078.7-7.328%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.678.4+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.436.675.0+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)36.542.478.9-5.929%-
vs Similar (4)42.235.577.8+6.875%-
vs Weaker (2)58.534.092.5+24.5100%-
This opponent (Florida Gulf Coast) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida Gulf CoastLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#49
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A22/01
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A23/01
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H30/01
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A31/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A06/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A07/02
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H12/02
NCAA
Stetson
#304
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H14/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H19/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H21/02
NCAA
69.3Avg total
35.5Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.935.171.0+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.234.571.7+2.761%-
Last 30 away (12)33.936.170.0-2.242%-
Last 10 (10)35.533.869.3+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.075.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.940.173.0-7.329%-
vs Similar (16)35.834.670.4+1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)39.331.370.6+8.086%-
This opponent (North Florida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26AStetson71-76
20/02/26HAustin Peay76-77
14/02/26AJacksonville Dolphins56-63
12/02/26AFlorida Gulf Coast81-90
07/02/26AQueens Royals72-91
06/02/26AWest Georgia81-73
31/01/26HLipscomb94-100
30/01/26HStetson77-84
24/01/26HBellarmine117-114 OT
23/01/26HEastern Kentucky87-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HCentral Arkansas75-71 OT
19/02/26HJacksonville Dolphins86-84
14/02/26HStetson78-76
12/02/26HNorth Florida90-81
07/02/26ABellarmine65-81
06/02/26AEastern Kentucky74-76
31/01/26AJacksonville Dolphins68-49
30/01/26HNorth Alabama72-64
23/01/26ALipscomb71-86
22/01/26AAustin Peay62-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Florida
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeWWLLL33%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291217
Win %21%33%12%
Points / game80.288.874.1
Allowed / game88.784.691.6
Point differential-8.6+4.2-17.6
Avg total168.9173.4165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %3%8%0%
Florida Gulf Coast
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW48%
HomeWWWWW65%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %48%65%25%
Points / game78.983.872.0
Allowed / game77.976.779.7
Point differential+1.0+7.1-7.7
Avg total156.9160.5151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)57% (7)0% (2)
Overtime %10%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Austin Peay2821775%81.571.7+9.8
2 Central Arkansas30191163%80.474.3+6.2
3 Lipscomb30181260%80.575.6+4.9
4 Queens Royals30181260%84.983.2+1.7
5 Florida Gulf Coast29141548%78.977.9+1.0
6 West Georgia29131645%76.580.2-3.7
7 Bellarmine29111838%79.181.1-2.0
8 Eastern Kentucky30111937%80.581.6-1.1
9 Stetson29101934%73.080.5-7.5
10 North Alabama2891932%70.078.0-8.0
11 North Florida2962321%80.288.7-8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
North Florida02704976
Florida Gulf Coast03603470
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