North Texas faces McNeese State on 5 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model favouring the Red Raiders as the favourite and projecting a 73-71 win for the home side. North Texas is 1-0 overall, scoring 122.0 points per game and allowing 50.0, while McNeese State is also 1-0, averaging 99.0 points and conceding 78.0; both teams have 4-1 records over their last five games. North Texas's sole recent victory came 122-50 over Southwestern Christian at home, whereas McNeese State's only loss was 68-78 to Vanderbilt away, and they beat Stephen F. Austin 76-59 on the road. The only prior meeting ended with McNeese State winning 68-61 on 18 November 2024. The model gives North Texas a 59% chance of winning and a 61% probability of covering the 1.5-point line, while McNeese State has a 41% win probability and a 52% chance of the over on the 143.5-point total; overtime is a 5% possibility. The projected score of 73-71 suggests a close contest, with North Texas holding a slight edge in both points and defensive efficiency.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (1) | 122.0 | 50.0 | 172.0 | +72.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (1) | 122.0 | 50.0 | 172.0 | +72.0 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 76.8 | 68.6 | 145.4 | +8.2 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 80.8 | 65.2 | 146.0 | +15.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 66.8 | 76.0 | 142.8 | -9.2 | 17% |
| vs Similar (10) | 66.8 | 65.9 | 132.7 | +0.9 | 70% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (12) | 72.2 | 68.2 | 140.5 | +4.0 | 58% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (1) | 99.0 | 78.0 | 177.0 | +21.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (1) | 99.0 | 78.0 | 177.0 | +21.0 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 78.5 | 66.3 | 144.8 | +12.2 | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 80.4 | 72.0 | 152.4 | +8.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (1) | 71.0 | 112.0 | 183.0 | -41.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (4) | 67.5 | 67.0 | 134.5 | +0.5 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (25) | 78.4 | 65.1 | 143.5 | +13.4 | 92% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 63.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 32.3 | 30.3 | 62.6 | +2.0 | 60% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 35.2 | 29.9 | 65.1 | +5.3 | 71% | 65% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 28.5 | 30.8 | 59.3 | -2.2 | 46% | 31% |
| Last 10 (10) | 33.2 | 29.9 | 63.1 | +3.3 | 50% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.2 | 26.6 | 60.8 | +7.6 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 28.5 | 31.2 | 59.7 | -2.7 | 50% | 17% |
| vs Similar (10) | 29.8 | 31.0 | 60.8 | -1.2 | 50% | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (12) | 32.7 | 30.1 | 62.8 | +2.6 | 67% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 63.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.9 | 31.1 | 68.0 | +5.8 | 67% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 38.5 | 28.1 | 66.6 | +10.3 | 80% | 53% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 35.4 | 34.1 | 69.5 | +1.3 | 53% | 80% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.7 | 28.4 | 66.1 | +9.3 | 90% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.4 | 30.4 | 68.8 | +8.0 | 80% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (1) | 29.0 | 60.0 | 89.0 | -31.0 | 0% | 100% |
| vs Similar (4) | 32.5 | 33.0 | 65.5 | -0.5 | 25% | 75% |
| vs Weaker (25) | 38.0 | 29.6 | 67.6 | +8.3 | 76% | 64% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas +6 | 77.0% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +15.3pp | Won |
| North Texas +5 | 74.0% | 1.60 | 1.63 | 1.58 | - | - | - | +15.3pp | Won |
| North Texas +4 | 70.8% | 1.72 | 1.76 | 1.71 | 1.68 | - | - | +14.7pp | Won |
| North Texas +7 | 79.7% | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | +14.4pp | Won |
| North Texas +8 | 82.2% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +14.3pp | Won |
| North Texas +5.5 | 74.8% | 1.55 | 1.58 | 1.55 | 1.52 | - | - | +14.2pp | Won |
| North Texas +4.5 | 71.7% | 1.65 | 1.70 | 1.66 | 1.64 | 1.60 | - | +14.0pp | Won |
| North Texas +6.5 | 77.7% | 1.46 | 1.47 | 1.44 | - | - | - | +13.7pp | Won |
| North Texas +9 | 84.4% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +13.6pp | Won |
| North Texas +10.5 | 86.7% | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +13.6pp | Won |
| North Texas +7.5 | 80.3% | 1.39 | 1.41 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +13.6pp | Won |
| North Texas +10 | 86.4% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +13.3pp | Won |
| North Texas +8.5 | 82.6% | 1.33 | 1.36 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +13.3pp | Won |
| North Texas +9.5 | 84.8% | 1.29 | 1.31 | 1.26 | - | - | - | +12.7pp | Won |
| North Texas +12.5 | 89.9% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +12.2pp | Won |
| Over 135.5 | 70.3% | 1.58 | 1.62 | 1.54 | - | - | - | +11.8pp | Won |
| Over 134.5 | 72.4% | 1.51 | 1.55 | 1.47 | - | - | - | +11.0pp | Won |
| North Texas +11.5 | 88.4% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +10.6pp | Won |
| Over 133.5 | 74.4% | 1.45 | 1.50 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +10.6pp | Won |
| Over 132.5 | 76.3% | 1.40 | 1.45 | 1.35 | - | - | - | +9.8pp | Won |
| Over 131.5 | 78.2% | 1.35 | 1.40 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +9.4pp | Won |
| Over 134 | 73.9% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| Over 135 | 71.8% | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| North Texas +17.5 | 95.3% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +9.2pp | Won |
| Over 133 | 75.9% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Won |
| North Texas +16.5 | 94.5% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +8.4pp | Won |
| Over 132 | 77.8% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| North Texas +22.5 | 97.9% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +7.7pp | Won |
| North Texas +21.5 | 97.5% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Over 129.5 | 81.6% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.7% | 1.04 | 1.06 | 1.03 | - | - | - | +5.0pp | - |
| McNeese State under 77.5 | 73.6% | 1.32 | 1.35 | 1.32 | 1.30 | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| McNeese State +23.5 | 96.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| McNeese State under 82.5 | 86.6% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Over 124.5 | 88.7% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| McNeese State under 78.5 | 76.6% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| McNeese State over 53.5 | 95.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| McNeese State under 80.5 | 82.0% | 1.17 | 1.17 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| McNeese State under 81.5 | 84.4% | 1.14 | 1.15 | 1.12 | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| McNeese State +22.5 | 95.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| McNeese State over 55.5 | 93.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Won |
| McNeese State +18.5 | 91.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| McNeese State over 54.5 | 94.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +1.8pp | Won |
| McNeese State over 56.5 | 92.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| McNeese State over 57.5 | 90.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Under 168.5 | 92.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +0.8pp | Won |
| McNeese State +17.5 | 90.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Won |
| North Texas under 88.5 | 92.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Won |
| McNeese State over 61.5 | 82.2% | 1.13 | 1.14 | 1.13 | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| McNeese State under 79.5 | 79.4% | 1.18 | 1.23 | 1.12 | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| McNeese State under 76.5 | 70.4% | 1.30 | 1.35 | 1.25 | - | - | - | +0.0pp | Won |
| McNeese State over 64.5 | 73.5% | 1.26 | 1.30 | 1.22 | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
| McNeese State over 58.5 | 88.8% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -0.2pp | Won |
| McNeese State over 59.5 | 86.8% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -0.3pp | Won |
| Over 123.5 | 89.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -0.6pp | Won |
| North Texas under 86.5 | 89.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -0.6pp | Won |
| Under 163.5 | 87.4% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -1.3pp | Won |
| McNeese State over 60.5 | 84.6% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -1.5pp | Won |
| McNeese State over 63.5 | 76.6% | 1.19 | 1.20 | 1.17 | - | - | - | -2.0pp | Won |
| McNeese State +13.5 | 83.3% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -2.3pp | Won |
| Under 158.5 | 80.3% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | -2.7pp | Won |
| McNeese State over 62.5 | 79.5% | 1.13 | 1.14 | 1.12 | - | - | - | -2.8pp | Won |
| North Texas under 84.5 | 85.9% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -2.8pp | Won |
| Over 128.5 | 83.2% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -2.9pp | Won |
| Under 153.5 | 71.1% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | -3.3pp | Won |
| McNeese State over 65.5 | 70.2% | 1.27 | 1.36 | 1.25 | 1.20 | - | - | -3.5pp | Won |
| Under 164.5 | 88.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -3.7pp | Won |
| McNeese State +12.5 | 81.0% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -4.5pp | Won |
| North Texas under 82.5 | 81.1% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -5.0pp | Won |
| North Texas under 80.5 | 75.4% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -5.1pp | Won |
| North Texas under 81.5 | 78.4% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -5.4pp | Won |
| McNeese State +8.5 | 70.0% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -6.2pp | Lost |
| Under 159.5 | 81.9% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -7.5pp | Won |
| North Texas under 79.5 | 72.2% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | -9.2pp | Won |
| Under 154.5 | 73.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -12.4pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19/11/24 | McNeese State v North Texas | 68-61 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/26 | H | Southwestern Christian | 122-50 |
| 13/03/26 | A | Tulsa | 84-90 OT |
| 13/03/26 | H | Florida Atlantic | 74-70 |
| 05/03/26 | H | Rice | 62-58 |
| 01/03/26 | A | UAB | 62-58 |
| 26/02/26 | A | Charlotte | 79-80 |
| 22/02/26 | H | Florida Atlantic | 73-72 |
| 20/02/26 | H | Tulane | 71-77 |
| 15/02/26 | A | Temple | 65-62 |
| 13/02/26 | H | Memphis | 76-69 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/26 | H | UAB | 99-78 |
| 19/03/26 | A | Vanderbilt | 68-78 |
| 11/03/26 | A | Stephen F. Austin | 76-59 |
| 11/03/26 | H | UTRGV | 84-80 OT |
| 03/03/26 | A | Nicholls State | 75-65 |
| 28/02/26 | A | New Orleans | 66-63 |
| 24/02/26 | H | UTRGV | 75-68 |
| 22/02/26 | H | Texas A&M-CC | 70-54 |
| 17/02/26 | A | Northwestern St. | 75-64 |
| 14/02/26 | A | East Texas A&M | 97-54 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W | 100% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | 1 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 122.0 | 122.0 | - |
| Allowed / game | 50.0 | 50.0 | - |
| Point differential | +72.0 | +72.0 | - |
| Avg total | 172.0 | 172.0 | - |
| Over 139 | 100% | 100% | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W | 100% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | 1 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 99.0 | 99.0 | - |
| Allowed / game | 78.0 | 78.0 | - |
| Point differential | +21.0 | +21.0 | - |
| Avg total | 177.0 | 177.0 | - |
| Over 139 | 100% | 100% | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 122.0 | 50.0 | +72.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 98.0 | 50.0 | +48.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 100.0 | 55.0 | +45.0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 98.0 | 71.0 | +27.0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 74.0 | 60.0 | +14.0 | |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 83.0 | 70.0 | +13.0 | |
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 68.0 | 56.0 | +12.0 | |
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 79.0 | 67.0 | +12.0 | |
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 78.0 | 70.0 | +8.0 | |
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 80.0 | 76.0 | +4.0 | |
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 100.0 | 98.0 | +2.0 | |
| 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 78.0 | 99.0 | -21.0 | |
| 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 74.0 | 95.0 | -21.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 108.0 | 45.0 | +63.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 124.0 | 62.0 | +62.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 120.0 | 61.0 | +59.0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 110.0 | 56.0 | +54.0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 81.0 | 51.0 | +30.0 | |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 99.0 | 78.0 | +21.0 | |
| 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 55.0 | 67.0 | -12.0 | |
| 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 65.0 | 87.0 | -22.0 | |
| 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 60.0 | 91.0 | -31.0 | |
| 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 59.0 | 92.0 | -33.0 | |
| 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 57.0 | 100.0 | -43.0 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 43 | 77 | |
| 32 | 35 | 67 |
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