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North Texas vs Western Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 67-33
38-18 29-15
Position#19
Record24-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game63.6
Allowed / game56.1
vs
Position#199
Record16-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · North Texas v Western Kentucky
04 Mar 2023
NORT67
WEST33
20 Feb 2021
NORT v WEST
upcoming
19 Feb 2021
NORT v WEST
upcoming
01 Mar 2020
NORT78
WEST72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Texas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North TexasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UAB
#44
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A21/01
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H27/01
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H28/01
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A05/02
NCAA
UAB
#44
W
82-79 OT
82
79
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
W
67-43
67
43
+24
H11/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A17/02
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
80-72 OT
80
72
+8
A19/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A24/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
W
64-50
64
50
+14
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
40-29
23-23
34-27
29-32
23-19
29-23
40-29
34-35
30-25
32-37
40-25
27-18
33-29
39-33
30-29
33-34
24-22
25-33
33-30
31-20
124.4Avg total
66.6Scored
57.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)63.656.1119.8+7.580%
Season at home (16)63.254.0117.2+9.281%
Season away (14)64.158.6122.7+5.679%
Last 10 (10)66.657.8124.4+8.890%
Last 5 (5)66.456.4122.8+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)54.058.0112.0-4.00%
vs Similar (5)57.861.4119.2-3.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)66.355.2121.5+11.191%
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#255
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A27/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A28/01
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H03/02
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H04/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
W
93-89
93
89
+4
H10/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
L
64-68 OT
64
68
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Rice
#164
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A19/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H24/02
NCAA
UAB
#44
L
60-72
60
72
-12
H26/02
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-34
33-44
30-35
33-35
39-40
42-34
33-37
41-32
49-39
44-50
28-35
34-27
27-43
50-40
41-29
35-37
29-33
31-39
34-27
39-41
146.7Avg total
73.0Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.370.7144.0+2.653%
Season at home (16)75.769.0144.7+6.762%
Season away (14)70.572.6143.1-2.143%
Last 10 (10)73.073.7146.7-0.750%
Last 5 (5)70.071.4141.4-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)64.269.8134.0-5.538%
vs Similar (13)73.173.2146.2-0.146%
vs Weaker (8)83.270.2153.5+13.075%
This opponent (North Texas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +0.3+0.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +0.3+0.3
North TexasWestern Kentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North TexasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UAB
#44
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A21/01
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H27/01
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
23-19
23
19
+4
H28/01
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A05/02
NCAA
UAB
#44
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H10/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H11/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A17/02
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A19/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
W
24-22
24
22
+2
A24/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H03/03
NCAA
59.1Avg total
32.7Scored
26.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.126.456.4+3.770%-
Last 30 at home (16)29.625.054.6+4.669%-
Last 30 away (14)30.627.958.6+2.771%-
Last 10 (10)32.726.459.1+6.3100%-
Last 5 (5)32.027.059.0+5.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.026.553.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (5)26.228.654.8-2.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)31.726.057.7+5.782%-
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#255
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A27/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A28/01
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H03/02
NCAA
UTEP
#250
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H04/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H10/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A17/02
NCAA
Rice
#164
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A19/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H24/02
NCAA
UAB
#44
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H26/02
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A03/03
NCAA
69.8Avg total
34.6Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.832.967.6+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.232.970.1+4.450%-
Last 30 away (14)31.932.964.8-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)34.635.269.8-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)31.833.465.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)29.432.561.9-3.112%-
vs Similar (13)34.032.766.7+1.362%-
vs Weaker (8)41.034.275.2+6.850%-
This opponent (North Texas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
North Texas wins
1
Western Kentucky wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23HMiddle Tenn. St.64-50
24/02/23ACharlotte49-55
19/02/23AUTEP80-72 OT
17/02/23ALouisiana Tech72-62
11/02/23HCharlotte67-43
10/02/23HUAB82-79 OT
05/02/23ARice74-64
28/01/23HUTEP52-42
27/01/23HUTSA Roadrunners63-59
21/01/23AUAB63-52
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23AUTEP73-68
26/02/23HUAB60-72
24/02/23HLouisiana Tech76-66
19/02/23ARice77-83
17/02/23ACharlotte64-68 OT
10/02/23HMiddle Tenn. St.93-89
04/02/23HUTEP74-69
03/02/23HUTSA Roadrunners81-74
28/01/23AFlorida Atlantic63-70
27/01/23AFlorida International69-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Texas
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayWWWWL79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %80%81%79%
Points / game63.663.264.1
Allowed / game56.154.058.6
Point differential+7.5+9.2+5.6
Avg total119.8117.2122.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%44%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)67% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %7%6%7%
Western Kentucky
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW53%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayLLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %53%62%43%
Points / game73.375.770.5
Allowed / game70.769.072.6
Point differential+2.6+6.7-2.1
Avg total144.0144.7143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%38%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Atlantic3027390%79.465.5+13.9
2 North Texas3024680%63.656.1+7.5
3 Memphis3023777%79.972.8+7.1
4 UAB3123874%82.271.0+11.2
5 Tulane28181064%80.776.4+4.2
6 Charlotte31181358%66.862.6+4.1
7 Rice30171357%77.275.8+1.4
8 Temple30161453%69.769.3+0.4
9 Wichita State29151452%70.668.9+1.7
10 East Carolina30151550%69.870.8-1.0
11 South Florida30141647%73.272.0+1.2
12 UTSA Roadrunners31102132%69.276.7-7.5
13 Tulsa2952417%65.477.3-11.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sam Houston St.3024680%73.458.5+14.9
2 Liberty3326779%75.560.5+15.0
3 Kennesaw State3325876%75.569.0+6.5
4 Middle Tenn. St.31181358%70.467.8+2.5
5 Western Kentucky30161453%73.370.7+2.6
6 Missouri State32171553%65.663.2+2.4
7 Delaware31161552%69.770.1-0.4
8 Louisiana Tech30141647%72.869.8+3.0
9 UTEP31141745%68.568.4+0.2
10 Florida International30131743%72.474.7-2.2
11 Jacksonville State31131842%69.970.3-0.4
12 New Mexico State3092130%59.061.3-2.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Texas382967
Western Kentucky181533
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