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Northern Kentucky vs Youngstown State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 94-79
50-24 44-55
Position#130
Record11-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Position#227
Record8-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game70.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Northern Kentucky v Youngstown State
04 Jan 2026
NORT94
YOUN79
01 Mar 2025
NORT88
YOUN79
04 Jan 2024
NORT79
YOUN76
01 Dec 2022
NORT77
YOUN73
26 Feb 2022
NORT75
YOUN61
20 Dec 2020
NORT60
YOUN70
19 Dec 2020
NORT79
YOUN64
16 Jan 2020
NORT88
YOUN63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Youngstown State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
W
93-83
93
83
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H29/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
95-80
95
80
+15
H04/12
NCAA
IPFW
#181
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A06/12
NCAA
Brescia
#478
W
92-53
92
53
+39
H10/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A13/12
NCAA
Oakland
#212
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H18/12
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H21/12
NCAA
Robert Morris
#74
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A30/12
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-43
48-40
24-29
50-36
47-33
48-47
44-29
33-50
50-21
42-32
44-38
36-38
38-41
39-41
30-40
44-45
43-41
36-36
35-39
46-33
157.4Avg total
82.2Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)83.875.1158.8+8.769%
Season at home (10)89.573.3162.8+16.280%
Season away (6)74.278.0152.2-3.850%
Last 10 (10)82.275.2157.4+7.070%
Last 5 (5)78.278.4156.6-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.378.3152.6-4.043%
vs Similar ◀ (8)72.178.5150.6-6.450%
vs Weaker (13)82.371.5153.8+10.877%
This opponent (Youngstown State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Youngstown StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#252
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A23/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H24/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H28/11
NCAA
Wright State
#94
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H03/12
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
78-55
78
55
+23
A06/12
NCAA
Thiel
#636
W
103-52
103
52
+51
H14/12
NCAA
Robert Morris
#74
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
A18/12
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H20/12
NCAA
Detroit
#184
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H29/12
NCAA
Oakland
#212
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-25
19-43
32-30
35-31
46-26
41-38
36-29
33-39
42-30
36-25
46-22
57-30
36-32
33-37
40-28
34-37
25-32
43-41
43-40
40-45
143.9Avg total
76.8Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.170.3149.5+8.853%
Season at home (8)83.265.1148.4+18.175%
Season away (7)74.476.3150.7-1.929%
Last 10 (10)76.867.1143.9+9.760%
Last 5 (5)81.071.0152.0+10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.075.6151.6+0.453%
vs Weaker (14)81.370.0151.3+11.364%
This opponent (Northern Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +9.5+9.52nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +0.5+0.5
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +9.5+9.52nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +0.5+0.5
Northern KentuckyYoungstown State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H26/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H29/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H04/12
NCAA
IPFW
#181
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A06/12
NCAA
Brescia
#478
W
50-21
50
21
+29
H10/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A13/12
NCAA
Oakland
#212
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H18/12
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H21/12
NCAA
Robert Morris
#74
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A30/12
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H01/01
NCAA
75.4Avg total
40.0Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.535.974.4+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.435.274.6+4.153%-
Last 30 away (13)37.336.874.1+0.546%-
Last 10 (10)40.035.475.4+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.877.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.937.672.4-2.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.039.875.8-3.838%-
vs Weaker (13)39.833.673.4+6.262%-
This opponent (Youngstown State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Youngstown StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#252
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A23/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H24/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H28/11
NCAA
Wright State
#94
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H03/12
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A06/12
NCAA
Thiel
#636
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H14/12
NCAA
Robert Morris
#74
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A18/12
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H20/12
NCAA
Detroit
#184
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H29/12
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H01/01
NCAA
68.3Avg total
38.9Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.732.869.6+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.833.572.3+5.362%-
Last 30 away (14)34.432.166.4+2.357%-
Last 10 (10)38.929.468.3+9.590%-
Last 5 (5)38.030.868.8+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.535.169.5-0.653%-
vs Weaker (14)38.531.269.7+7.364%-
This opponent (Northern Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/26HIU Indy81-72
30/12/25ARobert Morris79-77
21/12/25HCharleston74-85
18/12/25HOakland77-82
13/12/25ABellarmine80-76
10/12/25HBrescia92-53
06/12/25AIPFW77-79
04/12/25HCleveland State95-80
29/11/25HBoston University74-65
26/11/25HWofford93-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/26HOakland83-85
29/12/25HDetroit68-73
20/12/25HUSC Upstate74-65
18/12/25ARobert Morris77-80 OT
14/12/25HThiel103-52
06/12/25AIU Indy78-55
03/12/25HWright State69-68
28/11/25HChicago State87-64
24/11/25HGeorgia Southern67-61
23/11/25ANC Greensboro62-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW69%
HomeWWLLW80%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %69%80%50%
Points / game83.889.574.2
Allowed / game75.173.378.0
Point differential+8.7+16.2-3.8
Avg total158.8162.8152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Youngstown State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL53%
HomeWWWLL75%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%75%29%
Points / game79.183.274.4
Allowed / game70.365.176.3
Point differential+8.8+18.1-1.9
Avg total149.5148.4150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Kentucky1611569%83.875.1+8.7
2 Robert Morris1711665%76.873.0+3.8
3 Youngstown State158753%79.170.3+8.8
4 IPFW179853%80.677.2+3.5
5 Wright State168850%76.471.0+5.4
6 Oakland168850%83.383.5-0.2
7 Wisc. Milwaukee157847%78.279.1-0.9
8 Wisc. Green Bay157847%73.175.4-2.3
9 Detroit146843%75.777.5-1.8
10 Cleveland State1661038%79.983.2-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Kentucky504494
Youngstown State245579
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