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Norths Bears W vs Penrith P. W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 94-77
27-20 19-14 23-25 25-18
Position#2
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game64.9
vs
Position#15
Record2-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game63.1
Allowed / game69.4
AustraliaNBL1 East Women
Women2025
Meetings · Norths Bears W v Penrith P. W
10 May 2025
NORT94
PENR77
11 May 2024
NORT78
PENR68
15 Apr 2023
NORT93
PENR36
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Norths Bears W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penrith P. W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Norths Bears WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
100-64
100
64
+36
A13/07
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#4
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H20/07
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
77-96
77
96
-19
H03/08
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#6
W
79-52
79
52
+27
A29/03
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#1
W
77-74 OT
77
74
+3
A05/04
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#9
W
101-62
101
62
+39
H12/04
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#16
W
83-58
83
58
+25
A13/04
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
W
84-64
84
64
+20
A25/04
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#10
W
113-69
113
69
+44
H27/04
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
106-75
106
75
+31
A03/05
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
28-14
27-15
22-21
25-19
16-14
12-25
18-10
20-29
10-28
20-25
27-14
12-11
12-14
26-13
29-14
13-17
9-13
19-23
27-15
28-22
31-11
17-26
25-3
17-16
23-12
21-12
22-18
20-22
21-12
25-9
18-21
28-14
31-14
26-19
28-22
30-22
21-22
22-17
33-14
157.3Avg total
89.1Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.964.9156.7+27.0100%
Season at home (2)107.065.5172.5+41.5100%
Season away (5)85.864.6150.4+21.2100%
Last 10 (10)89.168.2157.3+20.990%
Last 5 (5)97.465.6163.0+31.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.594.5168.0-21.00%
vs Similar (5)73.269.0142.2+4.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)85.061.6146.7+23.496%
This opponent (Penrith P. W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penrith P. WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney Comets W
#8
L
84-97
84
97
-13
H05/07
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
45-92
45
92
-47
H06/07
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#16
W
64-42
64
42
+22
A13/07
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#10
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A29/03
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#1
L
63-85
63
85
-22
H06/04
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H11/04
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#8
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A12/04
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#5
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A26/04
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#9
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A27/04
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A03/05
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
19-29
21-25
19-21
10-23
13-16
10-27
12-26
19-6
16-9
15-10
14-17
15-11
16-10
11-13
13-12
18-22
9-19
17-33
19-11
20-25
19-15
16-8
9-10
24-14
20-23
9-22
19-23
19-16
13-24
18-26
18-16
10-18
15-17
16-14
17-17
15-15
15-16
14-24
18-12
135.2Avg total
63.5Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)63.169.4132.6-6.329%
Season at home (2)63.571.5135.0-8.050%
Season away (5)63.068.6131.6-5.620%
Last 10 (10)63.571.7135.2-8.230%
Last 5 (5)64.871.0135.8-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)61.979.7141.6-17.915%
vs Similar (9)71.371.6142.9-0.256%
vs Weaker (1)64.042.0106.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Norths Bears W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: +9.7+9.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: +9.7+9.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
Norths Bears WPenrith P. W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Norths Bears WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A13/07
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#4
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/07
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
30-57
30
57
-27
H03/08
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#6
L
24-25
24
25
-1
A29/03
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#1
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A05/04
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#9
W
59-33
59
33
+26
H12/04
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#16
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A13/04
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A25/04
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#10
W
59-28
59
28
+31
H27/04
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A03/05
NBL1 East Women
75.8Avg total
41.8Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.431.172.4+10.377%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.630.974.5+12.679%-
Last 30 away (16)39.431.270.6+8.275%-
Last 10 (10)41.834.075.8+7.870%-
Last 5 (5)50.033.483.4+16.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.545.085.5-4.50%-
vs Similar (5)36.031.067.0+5.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)42.629.972.5+12.787%-
This opponent (Penrith P. W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penrith P. WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney Comets W
#8
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H05/07
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
23-39
23
39
-16
H06/07
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#16
W
35-15
35
15
+20
A13/07
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#10
W
31-21
31
21
+10
A29/03
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#1
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H06/04
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H11/04
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A12/04
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A26/04
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#9
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A27/04
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A03/05
NBL1 East Women
68.0Avg total
33.0Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.438.671.0-6.223%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.239.170.3-7.914%-
Last 30 away (16)33.438.271.7-4.831%-
Last 10 (10)33.035.068.0-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)34.036.670.6-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)29.941.271.2-11.415%-
vs Similar (9)37.735.473.1+2.233%-
vs Weaker (1)35.015.050.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Norths Bears W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Norths Bears W wins
0
Penrith P. W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25AHills Hornets W106-75
27/04/25HSutherland Sharks W113-69
25/04/25ASydney Comets W84-64
13/04/25ACentral Coast W83-58
12/04/25HCanberra W101-62
05/04/25AManly W. W77-74 OT
29/03/25ABankstown Bruins W79-52
03/08/24HSutherland Sharks W77-96
20/07/24HManly W. W71-68
13/07/24AHills Hornets W100-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25ASydney Comets W62-67
27/04/25ACanberra W58-66
26/04/25ABA CoE W68-82
12/04/25AInner West Bulls W72-82
11/04/25HHills Hornets W64-58
06/04/25HManly W. W63-85
29/03/25ASutherland Sharks W55-46
13/07/24AInner West Bulls W64-42
06/07/24HNorths Bears W45-92
05/07/24HSydney Comets W84-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Norths Bears W
NBL1 East Women 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.9107.085.8
Allowed / game64.965.564.6
Point differential+27.0+41.5+21.2
Avg total156.7172.5150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%100%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%20%
Penrith P. W
NBL1 East Women 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %29%50%20%
Points / game63.163.563.0
Allowed / game69.471.568.6
Point differential-6.3-8.0-5.6
Avg total132.6135.0131.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norths Bears W770100%91.964.9+27.0
2 Newcastle Falcons W660100%84.760.2+24.5
3 BA CoE W76186%83.367.7+15.6
4 Manly W. W64267%83.267.8+15.3
5 Maitland Mustangs W64267%79.072.7+6.3
6 Albury W64267%85.282.8+2.3
7 Inner West Bulls W53260%80.086.4-6.4
8 Hornsby S. W63350%80.882.7-1.8
9 Canberra W63350%78.082.0-4.0
10 Sydney Comets W73443%70.472.0-1.6
11 Penrith P. W72529%63.169.4-6.3
12 Sutherland Sharks W61517%74.286.2-12.0
13 Hills Hornets W61517%67.382.8-15.5
14 Central Coast W61517%61.076.7-15.7
15 Illawarra Hawks W61517%64.080.2-16.2
16 Bankstown Bruins W71614%63.479.3-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Norths Bears W2719232594
Penrith P. W2014251877
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