Northwestern faces Binghamton in the NCAA on 2 November 2026, with the model clearly favouring the Wildcats, rating them 90% to win because of their dominant season performance and a long history of victories over the Huskies. The Wildcats have won 2 of their last 5 games, including a 74-61 win over Indiana and a 76-66 home win against Penn State, while Binghamton has won 3 of their last 5, highlighted by a 74-67 home win over Maine and a 65-63 win over New Hampshire, but lost 79-92 to UMass Lowell. In their single meeting on 6 November 2023, Northwestern beat Binghamton 72-61. Pythia projects a 79-64 score, with a 90% chance for Northwestern and a 10% chance for Binghamton, and a total of 143.4 points. The home team line is -23.0 with a 23% probability of covering, and the over/under line is 146.5 with a 42% probability of the over. The overtime probability is 2%. The next game will see Northwestern attempt to extend their winning streak against Binghamton.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Northwestern winWon
90.4%fair 1.11
Best odds1.03
Implied93.6%
Edge-3.2pp
Binghamton winLost
9.6%fair 10.43
Best odds19.00
Implied6.4%
Edge+3.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H12/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A14/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A25/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H28/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H05/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A08/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H10/03
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A11/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
21-45
21
45
-24
A12/03
NCAA
67.5Avg total
32.2Scored
35.3Allowed
1st half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 69
Last 30 (30)
33.3
35.8
69.0
-2.5
47%
40%
Last 30 at home (16)
35.9
33.9
69.8
+2.1
69%
38%
Last 30 away (14)
30.2
37.9
68.1
-7.7
21%
43%
Last 10 (10)
32.2
35.3
67.5
-3.1
40%
30%
Last 5 (5)
30.8
35.6
66.4
-4.8
40%
20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)
32.5
37.6
70.1
-5.1
31%
56%
vs Similar (8)
32.4
34.0
66.4
-1.6
50%
25%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)
36.5
33.2
69.7
+3.3
83%
17%
This opponent (Binghamton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Binghamton +23.5
77.4%
1.73
Betano
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.79
BetVictor
1.78
1xBet
1.75
Bet365
1.54
+24.8pp
Lost
Binghamton +22.5
74.8%
1.80
Betano
1.90
1xBet
1.83
Betfair
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Bet365
1.62
+24.8pp
Lost
Binghamton +24.5
79.9%
1.62
Marathon Bet
1.67
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Bet365
1.47
-
+24.6pp
Lost
Northwestern under 85
72.8%
1.84
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83
-
-
-
+22.5pp
Lost
Binghamton +21.5
71.9%
1.82
1xBet
1.96
Betano
1.90
BetVictor
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.72
Bet365
1.71
+22.3pp
Lost
Binghamton +23
76.8%
1.70
Marathon Bet
1.83
Bet365
1.57
-
-
-
+22.0pp
Lost
Binghamton +24
79.4%
1.61
Marathon Bet
1.72
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
+21.2pp
Lost
Northwestern under 85.5
73.7%
1.76
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.72
-
-
-
+21.2pp
Lost
Northwestern under 84.5
70.3%
1.86
1xBet
1.90
Marathon Bet
1.86
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
+20.3pp
Lost
Northwestern under 86.5
76.9%
1.57
Betano
1.57
-
-
-
-
+19.5pp
Won
Northwestern under 87.5
79.9%
1.52
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.50
-
-
-
+19.4pp
Won
Northwestern under 88.5
82.6%
1.42
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
-
+18.6pp
Won
Binghamton +21
71.0%
1.76
Marathon Bet
1.78
Bet365
1.74
-
-
-
+18.2pp
Lost
Binghamton +22
74.0%
1.66
Bet365
1.66
-
-
-
-
+18.2pp
Lost
Northwestern under 89.5
85.0%
1.36
Bet365
1.37
Betano
1.35
-
-
-
+17.7pp
Won
Binghamton +25
81.8%
1.41
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
-
+16.1pp
Lost
Northwestern under 91.5
89.2%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+14.7pp
Won
Binghamton over 57.5
74.5%
1.37
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
-
+8.4pp
Won
Binghamton over 58.5
71.2%
1.44
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
+7.4pp
Won
Under 152.5
71.4%
1.41
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Won
Under 152
70.8%
1.43
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Won
Under 153
72.9%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+5.4pp
Won
Under 153.5
73.4%
1.36
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+5.2pp
Won
Under 154
74.9%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+4.9pp
Won
Binghamton over 56.5
77.6%
1.26
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
+4.8pp
Won
Binghamton over 55.5
80.5%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+4.3pp
Won
Under 154.5
75.4%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+4.0pp
Won
Under 156.5
79.1%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Won
Under 171.5
95.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.8pp
Won
Under 166.5
92.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Won
Northwestern (regulation)
89.0%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.1pp
Won
Under 161.5
86.7%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Won
Northwestern over 64.5
93.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.6pp
Won
Northwestern over 66.5
90.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-1.5pp
Won
Over 121.5
91.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.6pp
Won
Binghamton under 78.5
91.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.9pp
Won
Northwestern over 65.5
91.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-2.0pp
Won
Binghamton under 76.5
88.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-2.9pp
Won
Northwestern win
90.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
WilliamHill
1.02
Betfair
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-3.2pp
Won
Northwestern over 67.5
88.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-3.3pp
Won
Northwestern over 68.5
86.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-3.6pp
Won
Binghamton under 73.5
82.2%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-3.9pp
Won
Binghamton under 74.5
84.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-5.0pp
Won
Over 126.5
85.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-5.1pp
Won
Northwestern over 69.5
83.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-5.9pp
Won
Northwestern over 70.5
81.2%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-6.8pp
Won
Binghamton under 72.5
79.6%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-7.9pp
Won
Over 131.5
76.8%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-8.7pp
Won
Binghamton under 70.5
73.7%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-9.4pp
Won
Northwestern over 71.5
78.3%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-9.6pp
Won
Northwestern over 72.5
75.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-9.8pp
Won
Northwestern over 73.5
72.0%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
-10.3pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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