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Notre Dame vs Missouri Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 76-71
33-40 43-31
Position#269
Record5-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game67.2
vs
Position#111
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game68.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#173
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H11/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
56-76
56
76
-20
A12/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
89-67
89
67
+22
H04/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
102-70
102
70
+32
H08/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H12/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A16/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A24/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H25/11
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
25-22
30-32
29-43
27-33
40-25
49-42
44-31
58-39
31-28
47-30
34-31
29-33
37-30
49-49
32-39
29-32
36-24
32-39
25-39
31-27
138.2Avg total
71.4Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.467.2142.6+8.162%
Season at home (5)84.667.4152.0+17.2100%
Season away (3)60.067.0127.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)71.466.8138.2+4.660%
Last 5 (5)66.868.6135.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)65.474.4139.7-9.018%
vs Similar (14)76.971.3148.1+5.664%
vs Weaker (5)77.268.8146.0+8.460%
This opponent (Missouri) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MissouriUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#6
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A14/03
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
57-67
57
67
-10
H20/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
88-67
88
67
+21
A04/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
89-84
89
84
+5
H08/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
106-68
106
68
+38
H09/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H13/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H18/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
102-68
102
68
+34
H21/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
98-66
98
66
+32
H26/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
86-59
86
59
+27
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-50
44-45
23-30
34-37
42-26
46-41
46-51
43-33
50-40
56-28
32-30
51-30
49-27
42-46
53-42
49-26
55-30
43-36
46-24
40-35
158.8Avg total
88.1Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.968.1161.0+24.8100%
Season at home (7)93.668.3161.9+25.3100%
Season away (1)88.067.0155.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.170.7158.8+17.480%
Last 5 (5)92.065.2157.2+26.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.081.3165.3+2.767%
vs Similar (8)82.880.2163.0+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.371.0156.3+14.374%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +8.3+8.32nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +9.1+9.1
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +8.3+8.32nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +9.1+9.1
Notre DameMissouri
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#173
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H11/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A12/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H04/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H08/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H12/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A16/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A24/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H25/11
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A26/11
NCAA
64.5Avg total
33.3Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.232.865.9+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.831.164.9+2.862%-
Last 30 away (14)32.434.767.1-2.343%-
Last 10 (10)33.331.264.5+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)32.832.665.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)29.737.567.3-7.818%-
vs Similar (14)34.229.663.9+4.671%-
vs Weaker (5)37.831.068.8+6.880%-
This opponent (Missouri) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MissouriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#6
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A14/03
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H20/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A04/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H08/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H09/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H13/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H18/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H26/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H28/11
NCAA
78.3Avg total
43.3Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.634.976.5+6.770%-
Last 30 at home (19)43.233.776.9+9.579%-
Last 30 away (11)38.837.075.8+1.855%-
Last 10 (10)43.335.078.3+8.370%-
Last 5 (5)47.030.677.6+16.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.036.779.7+6.367%-
vs Similar (8)38.136.975.0+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.833.876.6+9.179%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Notre Dame wins
0
Missouri wins
No previous meetings.
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/25AHouston56-66
25/11/25HRutgers68-63
24/11/25AKansas61-71
20/11/25HBellarmine86-79
16/11/25AOhio State63-64
12/11/25HEastern Illinois78-58
08/11/25HDetroit102-70
04/11/25HLIU Sharks89-67
12/03/25ANorth Carolina56-76
11/03/25HPittsburgh55-54
Missourilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25HCleveland State86-59
26/11/25HSouth Carolina St98-66
21/11/25HSouth Dakota Coyotes102-68
18/11/25HPrairie View A&M91-73
13/11/25HMinnesota83-60
09/11/25HVMI106-68
08/11/25HSoutheast Missouri State89-84
04/11/25AHoward88-67
20/03/25HDrake57-67
14/03/25AFlorida81-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL62%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%100%0%
Points / game75.484.660.0
Allowed / game67.267.467.0
Point differential+8.1+17.2-7.0
Avg total142.6152.0127.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Missouri
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.993.688.0
Allowed / game68.168.367.0
Point differential+24.8+25.3+21.0
Avg total161.0161.9155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%86%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisville770100%96.763.0+33.7
2 Duke990100%89.159.6+29.6
3 SMU Mustangs880100%92.074.0+18.0
4 Clemson87188%85.263.8+21.5
5 Stanford87188%82.971.9+11.0
6 North Carolina76186%83.365.7+17.6
7 California76186%84.469.6+14.9
8 Virginia Tech97278%83.074.9+8.1
9 Miami (FL)86275%86.665.4+21.2
10 Virginia86275%83.472.4+11.0
11 NC State75271%93.676.6+17.0
12 Florida State75271%88.373.9+14.4
13 Wake Forest96367%85.273.4+11.8
14 Syracuse85362%73.264.6+8.6
15 Notre Dame85362%75.467.2+8.1
16 Georgia Tech85362%71.567.5+4.0
17 Pittsburgh95456%71.768.1+3.6
18 Boston College84450%70.565.6+4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LSU770100%94.368.3+26.0
2 Missouri880100%92.968.1+24.8
3 Vanderbilt880100%97.973.5+24.4
4 Georgia87188%99.071.0+28.0
5 Tennessee97278%83.065.0+18.0
6 Texas A&M97278%92.275.1+17.1
7 Texas86275%90.971.9+19.0
8 Auburn86275%88.574.6+13.9
9 Oklahoma86275%86.573.6+12.9
10 Kentucky75271%89.963.1+26.7
11 Arkansas75271%88.171.6+16.6
12 Alabama75271%95.682.0+13.6
13 Ole Miss75271%79.167.7+11.4
14 Florida85362%83.471.9+11.5
15 South Carolina85362%81.072.0+9.0
16 Mississippi St.74357%82.079.0+3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Notre Dame334376
Missouri403171
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