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Notre Dame vs Western Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 86-65
40-34 46-31
Position#291
Record3-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game61.9
Allowed / game66.1
vs
Position#300
Record2-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game64.6
Allowed / game70.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Notre Dame v Western Michigan
05 Dec 2023
NOTR86
WEST65
20 Dec 2021
NOTR85
WEST52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#72
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H02/03
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A05/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A08/03
NCAA
Niagara
#206
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
61-71
61
71
-10
H11/11
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
59-83
59
83
-24
H17/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
W
66-64 OT
66
64
+2
A17/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H23/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A29/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-28
46-53
29-48
35-39
32-33
32-34
29-30
41-33
29-42
32-29
33-39
26-44
33-25
22-30
38-22
37-33
28-31
25-34
26-33
23-29
134.7Avg total
64.9Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)61.966.1128.0-4.343%
Season at home (4)66.268.0134.2-1.850%
Season away (3)56.063.7119.7-7.733%
Last 10 (10)64.969.8134.7-4.940%
Last 5 (5)60.465.8126.2-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)64.774.4139.1-9.76%
vs Similar ◀ (10)68.167.6135.7+0.550%
vs Weaker (3)73.073.0146.0+0.033%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#59
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A26/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H01/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H04/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
H07/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
70-77
70
77
-7
H11/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A15/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A19/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H24/11
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H25/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-35
39-46
26-36
36-41
31-29
50-36
38-28
33-43
29-40
41-37
28-35
31-28
21-41
35-32
34-24
34-43
32-36
40-30
14-41
37-24
137.3Avg total
65.9Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)64.670.1134.7-5.629%
Season at home (5)67.471.0138.4-3.640%
Season away (2)57.568.0125.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)65.971.4137.3-5.530%
Last 5 (5)61.266.8128.0-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)66.677.2143.7-10.66%
vs Similar ◀ (8)70.872.0142.8-1.250%
vs Weaker (2)72.072.5144.5-0.550%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: -6.7-6.72nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: +1.6+1.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: -6.7-6.72nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: +1.6+1.6
Notre DameWestern Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#72
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H02/03
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A05/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A08/03
NCAA
Niagara
#206
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H07/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H11/11
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H17/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A17/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H23/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A29/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A02/12
NCAA
65.0Avg total
31.9Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.733.366.0-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.530.963.5+1.647%-
Last 30 away (15)32.835.768.5-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)31.933.165.0-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)31.630.061.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)31.134.665.8-3.524%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)33.731.064.7+2.760%-
vs Weaker (3)38.033.771.7+4.367%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#59
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A26/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H01/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H04/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H07/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H11/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A15/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A19/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H24/11
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H25/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
L
14-41
14
41
-27
H01/12
NCAA
62.3Avg total
27.8Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.933.962.8-5.027%-
Last 30 at home (17)29.632.962.5-3.341%-
Last 30 away (13)28.135.263.3-7.28%-
Last 10 (10)27.834.562.3-6.730%-
Last 5 (5)25.835.461.2-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)27.836.964.7-9.211%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)29.833.162.9-3.438%-
vs Weaker (2)32.028.060.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Notre Dame wins
0
Western Michigan wins
DateGameScore
21/12/21Notre Dame v Western Michigan85-52
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23AMiami (FL)49-62
29/11/23ASouth Carolina53-65
23/11/23HMd.-East. Shore75-55
17/11/23AOklahoma State66-64 OT
17/11/23HAuburn59-83
11/11/23HWestern Carolina61-71
07/11/23HNiagara70-63
08/03/23AVirginia Tech64-67
05/03/23AClemson64-87
02/03/23HPittsburgh88-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/23HSt. Thomas (Minn.)51-65
25/11/23HMercer72-66
24/11/23HSE Louisiana68-67
19/11/23AOhio State56-73
15/11/23ANorthwestern59-63
11/11/23HGeorgia State70-77
07/11/23HNorth Dakota St76-80 OT
04/03/23HCentral Michigan81-65
01/03/23HMiami (FL)62-77
26/02/23AAkron64-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game61.966.256.0
Allowed / game66.168.063.7
Point differential-4.3-1.8-7.7
Avg total128.0134.2119.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
Western Michigan
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL29%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %29%40%0%
Points / game64.667.457.5
Allowed / game70.171.068.0
Point differential-5.6-3.6-10.5
Avg total134.7138.4125.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson770100%80.368.7+11.6
2 North Carolina87188%86.272.0+14.2
3 Virginia87188%66.954.0+12.9
4 Miami (FL)86275%80.572.4+8.1
5 NC State75271%78.471.3+7.1
6 SMU Mustangs96367%74.462.0+12.4
7 Virginia Tech96367%74.468.6+5.9
8 Boston College96367%76.370.8+5.6
9 Georgia Tech64267%72.772.8-0.2
10 Pittsburgh85362%82.966.1+16.8
11 Duke85362%80.967.1+13.8
12 Syracuse85362%76.471.2+5.1
13 Wake Forest74357%78.972.7+6.1
14 Florida State74357%78.973.6+5.3
15 Stanford84450%80.276.0+4.2
16 Louisville84450%75.474.6+0.8
17 Notre Dame73443%61.966.1-4.3
18 California83538%74.672.9+1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass54180%84.869.2+15.6
2 Ball State86275%76.864.1+12.6
3 Ohio75271%81.074.4+6.6
4 Northern Illinois75271%84.678.6+6.0
5 Miami (Ohio)64267%73.065.7+7.3
6 Kent State85362%84.871.9+12.9
7 Bowling Green85362%69.867.5+2.2
8 Eastern Michigan85362%67.473.0-5.6
9 Akron74357%76.467.4+9.0
10 Toledo73443%80.778.0+2.7
11 Western Michigan72529%64.670.1-5.6
12 Central Michigan72529%64.376.4-12.1
13 Buffalo81712%69.283.1-13.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Notre Dame404686
Western Michigan343165
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