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Nueva Ecija Vanguards vs Bataan Risers Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 94-78
22-14 24-22 23-23 25-19
Position#2
Record18-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position#17
Record7-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game79.0
PhilippinesMPBL
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nueva Ecija Vanguards winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bataan Risers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nueva Ecija VanguardsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bulacan Kuyas
#29
W
98-50
98
50
+48
A08/05
MPBL
San Juan Knights
#3
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H17/05
MPBL
Marikina Verdiamonds
#27
W
88-52
88
52
+36
A24/05
MPBL
Batangas City
#8
W
71-54
71
54
+17
H31/05
MPBL
Pampanga Giant Lanterns
#7
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A06/06
MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat
#14
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H12/06
MPBL
Cebu Classic
#20
W
108-78
108
78
+30
H19/06
MPBL
Muntinlupa Cagers
#21
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A30/06
MPBL
Bacolod Masskara
#26
W
116-87
116
87
+29
H05/07
MPBL
Abra Weavers
#1
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H12/07
MPBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-11
28-15
27-12
15-12
18-25
26-18
29-28
24-15
22-12
12-9
28-11
26-20
16-16
19-12
14-8
22-18
21-23
18-11
16-17
27-23
17-25
24-6
20-25
23-27
31-24
21-26
31-6
25-22
25-17
22-15
22-23
17-19
40-37
15-20
27-14
34-16
14-24
15-22
19-18
23-18
162.1Avg total
90.1Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)89.772.6162.3+17.195%
Season at home (10)89.675.2164.8+14.490%
Season away (9)89.869.8159.6+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.172.0162.1+18.190%
Last 5 (5)93.080.8173.8+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)71.082.0153.0-11.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)90.772.1162.8+18.6100%
This opponent (Bataan Risers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bataan RisersPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marikina Verdiamonds
#27
W
103-69
103
69
+34
H07/05
MPBL
Pasig City
#18
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
A14/05
MPBL
Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
#15
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H19/05
MPBL
Rizal Golden Coolers
#10
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A27/05
MPBL
Pasay Voyagers
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A05/06
MPBL
Quezon City
#24
L
88-95
88
95
-7
H12/06
MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat
#14
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A19/06
MPBL
Basilan Viva Portmasters
#11
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H25/06
MPBL
Davao Tigers
#19
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H04/07
MPBL
Mindoro Tamaraws
#16
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H14/07
MPBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-11
23-20
26-14
28-24
13-19
32-12
14-22
21-27
12-24
21-16
18-16
16-13
19-22
17-19
11-23
24-18
24-23
25-24
14-20
23-17
24-18
11-27
23-22
30-28
18-20
29-21
14-22
21-21
17-15
17-24
16-19
20-26
24-9
14-20
11-18
25-17
19-21
18-19
27-21
20-25
161.5Avg total
81.0Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.579.0157.4-0.535%
Season at home (12)78.274.9153.2+3.342%
Season away (8)78.885.0163.8-6.225%
Last 10 (10)81.080.5161.5+0.530%
Last 5 (5)79.682.6162.2-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)70.589.0159.5-18.50%
vs Similar (9)74.681.0155.6-6.411%
vs Weaker (9)84.174.7158.8+9.467%
This opponent (Nueva Ecija Vanguards) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
Nueva Ecija VanguardsBataan Risers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nueva Ecija VanguardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bulacan Kuyas
#29
W
56-26
56
26
+30
A08/05
MPBL
San Juan Knights
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H17/05
MPBL
Marikina Verdiamonds
#27
W
34-21
34
21
+13
A24/05
MPBL
Batangas City
#8
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H31/05
MPBL
Pampanga Giant Lanterns
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A06/06
MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat
#14
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H12/06
MPBL
Cebu Classic
#20
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H19/06
MPBL
Muntinlupa Cagers
#21
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A30/06
MPBL
Bacolod Masskara
#26
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H05/07
MPBL
Abra Weavers
#1
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H12/07
MPBL
80.0Avg total
43.2Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)44.034.878.8+9.289%-
Last 30 at home (10)43.339.482.7+3.980%-
Last 30 away (9)44.829.774.4+15.1100%-
Last 10 (10)43.236.880.0+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)44.843.288.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)29.046.075.0-17.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.834.279.0+10.794%-
This opponent (Bataan Risers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bataan RisersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marikina Verdiamonds
#27
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H07/05
MPBL
Pasig City
#18
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A14/05
MPBL
Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
#15
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H19/05
MPBL
Rizal Golden Coolers
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A27/05
MPBL
Pasay Voyagers
#6
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A05/06
MPBL
Quezon City
#24
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H12/06
MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat
#14
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A19/06
MPBL
Basilan Viva Portmasters
#11
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H25/06
MPBL
Davao Tigers
#19
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H04/07
MPBL
Mindoro Tamaraws
#16
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H14/07
MPBL
78.7Avg total
40.3Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)38.737.876.5+0.945%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.236.274.4+2.142%-
Last 30 away (8)39.440.279.6-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)40.338.478.7+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.877.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)31.545.076.5-13.50%-
vs Similar (9)39.139.678.7-0.444%-
vs Weaker (9)39.934.474.3+5.456%-
This opponent (Nueva Ecija Vanguards) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nueva Ecija Vanguards wins
0
Bataan Risers wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/07/25HAbra Weavers71-82
05/07/25HBacolod Masskara116-87
30/06/25AMuntinlupa Cagers86-74
19/06/25HCebu Classic108-78
12/06/25HZamboanga Sikat84-83
06/06/25APampanga Giant Lanterns82-74
31/05/25HBatangas City71-54
24/05/25AMarikina Verdiamonds88-52
17/05/25HSan Juan Knights97-86
08/05/25ABulacan Kuyas98-50
Bataan Riserslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/07/25HMindoro Tamaraws84-86
04/07/25HDavao Tigers74-64
25/06/25HBasilan Viva Portmasters70-84
19/06/25AZamboanga Sikat82-84
12/06/25HQuezon City88-95
05/06/25APasay Voyagers86-84
27/05/25ARizal Golden Coolers71-82
19/05/25HIlagan Isabela Cowboys67-69
14/05/25APasig City85-88 OT
07/05/25HMarikina Verdiamonds103-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nueva Ecija Vanguards
MPBL 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL95%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %95%90%100%
Points / game89.789.689.8
Allowed / game72.675.269.8
Point differential+17.1+14.4+20.0
Avg total162.3164.8159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%70%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %5%0%11%
Bataan Risers
MPBL 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL35%
HomeLLLWL42%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %35%42%25%
Points / game78.578.278.8
Allowed / game79.074.985.0
Point differential-0.5+3.3-6.2
Avg total157.4153.2163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)20% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %10%8%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Abra Weavers2019195%88.269.5+18.8
2 San Juan Knights2019195%82.268.7+13.6
3 Nueva Ecija Vanguards1918195%89.772.6+17.1
4 Quezon Huskers1916384%82.666.8+15.7
5 Pampanga Giant Lanterns2015575%80.975.7+5.2
6 Zamboanga Sikat2115671%82.572.8+9.8
7 Pangasinan Heatwaves1913668%82.675.3+7.3
8 Batang Kankaloo2114767%76.872.6+4.2
9 GenSan Warriors2013765%83.774.3+9.3
10 Rizal Golden Coolers1912763%84.776.0+8.7
11 Binan Tatak Gel1912763%76.670.7+5.8
12 Pasay Voyagers2113862%78.874.0+4.8
13 Batangas City2012860%78.271.2+7.0
14 Mindoro Tamaraws2112957%81.778.0+3.7
15 Ilagan Isabela Cowboys2011955%82.275.2+7.0
16 Muntinlupa Cagers1910953%75.374.2+1.1
17 Basilan Viva Portmasters189950%78.775.1+3.6
18 Davao Tigers1981142%75.580.5-5.1
19 Sarangani Marlins2181338%82.586.6-4.1
20 Imus Braderhood2181338%77.582.6-5.1
21 Pasig City1971237%78.682.1-3.4
22 Bataan Risers2071335%78.579.0-0.5
23 Quezon City2061430%75.579.5-3.9
24 Cebu Classic2051525%71.080.6-9.6
25 Marikina Verdiamonds2041620%74.587.0-12.6
26 Valenzuela City Darkhorse2141719%71.885.5-13.7
27 Bulacan Kuyas2031715%71.395.8-24.4
28 Bacolod Masskara2021810%71.183.5-12.4
29 Manila Batang Quiapo2021810%79.5105.5-26.1
30 Paranaque Patriots191185%66.286.2-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nueva Ecija Vanguards2224232594
Bataan Risers1422231978
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