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Ohio State W vs UIC W Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Projected 82-59
Projected total 141.2
Final 81-34
27-7 23-6 18-16 13-5
Position#15
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Ohio State W 🏆
USA
Vs
97%
■ OHIO 97%■ UIC 3%
Pythia win probability
UIC W
USA
Position#180
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA Women
Women2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Ohio State W hosts UIC W in the NCAA Women's competition on 2 November 2026, and the Pythia model names Ohio State W as the clear favourite, rating them 97% to win largely because of their dominant season performance and recent form, with a 3-2 record in their last five games. UIC W, meanwhile, has struggled, winning only one of their last five, and the model gives them a 3% chance of victory. The projected score is 82-59, with Ohio State W expected to score 82 points and UIC W 59, for a projected total of 141.2 points. The model also estimates a 1% chance of overtime. Ohio State W's recent results include a 75-54 win over Howard W at home on 21 March 2026 and a 73-83 loss to Notre Dame W at home on 23 March 2026, while UIC W's recent outings were losses to Evansville W, Belmont Bruins, and Murray State, all at home. The game will be decided by Ohio State W's superior offensive output and UIC W's recent struggles, with the final score likely reflecting the projected 82-59 outcome.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohio State W winWon
97.5%fair 1.03
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UIC W winLost
2.5%fair 39.47
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ohio State WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland W
#63
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H15/02
NCAA Women
Minnesota W
#64
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A19/02
NCAA Women
USC Trojans W
#164
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H22/02
NCAA Women
Michigan Wolverines W
#29
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
H26/02
NCAA Women
Michigan State W
#68
W
87-68
87
68
+19
A01/03
NCAA Women
Indiana W
#171
W
83-59
83
59
+24
H05/03
NCAA Women
Minnesota W
#64
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A06/03
NCAA Women
UCLA W
#10
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A07/03
NCAA Women
Howard W
#46
W
75-54
75
54
+21
H21/03
NCAA Women
Notre Dame W
#80
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H23/03
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
18-16
14-26
15-19
16-14
13-12
13-27
19-21
19-20
16-18
26-26
27-19
28-14
12-25
13-22
21-13
23-9
26-17
13-22
25-20
12-12
24-12
25-16
22-19
16-18
16-10
15-14
13-13
10-14
11-18
19-20
22-20
20-15
23-4
19-17
13-18
22-20
13-23
19-15
19-25
146.2Avg total
75.0Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.071.2146.2+3.850%
Last 5 (5)70.664.6135.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.078.0155.0-1.029%
vs Similar (9)74.370.6144.9+3.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.360.9144.2+22.4100%
This opponent (UIC W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UIC WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville W
#318
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H07/02
NCAA Women
Belmont Bruins W
#128
L
56-71
56
71
-15
A14/02
NCAA Women
Murray State W
#13
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A15/02
NCAA Women
Indiana State Sycamores W
#287
W
95-80
95
80
+15
A20/02
NCAA Women
Drake W
#264
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A22/02
NCAA Women
Bradley W
#135
W
66-53
66
53
+13
H26/02
NCAA Women
Northern Iowa Panthers W
#165
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A28/02
NCAA Women
Murray State W
#13
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H06/03
NCAA Women
Belmont Bruins W
#128
L
70-78 OT
70
78
-8
H07/03
NCAA Women
Evansville W
#318
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H12/03
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-9
10-14
16-19
21-23
11-19
13-12
23-28
9-12
10-22
25-25
21-17
21-15
28-25
21-22
19-15
27-18
21-14
11-10
15-25
22-12
24-13
20-9
9-21
13-10
13-22
17-20
20-20
18-20
15-18
22-19
17-17
22-24
15-15
18-22
13-16
22-15
14-21
18-11
19-23
20-21
143.9Avg total
71.6Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.672.3143.9-0.740%
Last 5 (5)70.273.4143.6-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)65.969.4135.3-3.530%
vs Similar (7)65.367.7133.0-2.429%
vs Weaker (13)67.861.2129.0+6.769%
This opponent (Ohio State W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 126Actual: Under 126
Over 126
83.3%
Under 126
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 131Actual: Under 131
Over 131
74.2%
Under 131
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 136Actual: Under 136
Over 136
63.0%
Under 136
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Ohio State W total 66.5Actual: Ohio State W over 66.5
Over 66.5
94.5%
Under 66.5
5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ohio State W total 70.5Actual: Ohio State W over 70.5
Over 70.5
88.4%
Under 70.5
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ohio State W total 74.5Actual: Ohio State W over 74.5
Over 74.5
78.6%
Under 74.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UIC W total 56.5Actual: UIC W under 56.5
Over 56.5
59.3%
Under 56.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UIC W total 60.5Actual: UIC W under 60.5
Over 60.5
43.3%
Under 60.5
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UIC W total 64.5Actual: UIC W under 64.5
Over 64.5
28.4%
Under 64.5
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Ohio State W -3Actual: Ohio State W -3
OHIO -3
96.3%
UIC +3
3.7%
Best 5 market prices
OHIO
No market prices yet.
UIC
No market prices yet.
Spread Ohio State W 0Actual: Ohio State W 0
OHIO 0
97.5%
UIC 0
2.5%
Best 5 market prices
OHIO
No market prices yet.
UIC
No market prices yet.
Spread Ohio State W +3Actual: Ohio State W +3
OHIO +3
98.4%
UIC -3
1.6%
Best 5 market prices
OHIO
No market prices yet.
UIC
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
Ohio State WUIC W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ohio State WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland W
#63
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H15/02
NCAA Women
Minnesota W
#64
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A19/02
NCAA Women
USC Trojans W
#164
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H22/02
NCAA Women
Michigan Wolverines W
#29
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H26/02
NCAA Women
Michigan State W
#68
W
49-26
49
26
+23
A01/03
NCAA Women
Indiana W
#171
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H05/03
NCAA Women
Minnesota W
#64
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A06/03
NCAA Women
UCLA W
#10
L
21-32
21
32
-11
A07/03
NCAA Women
Howard W
#46
W
43-19
43
19
+24
H21/03
NCAA Women
Notre Dame W
#80
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H23/03
NCAA Women
67.2Avg total
36.6Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.032.269.2+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.632.971.5+5.871%-
Last 30 away (13)34.831.366.2+3.569%-
Last 10 (10)36.630.667.2+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)33.429.262.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.635.370.9+0.357%-
vs Similar (9)35.232.267.4+3.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)38.930.669.5+8.279%-
This opponent (UIC W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UIC WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville W
#318
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H07/02
NCAA Women
Belmont Bruins W
#128
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A14/02
NCAA Women
Murray State W
#13
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A15/02
NCAA Women
Indiana State Sycamores W
#287
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A20/02
NCAA Women
Drake W
#264
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A22/02
NCAA Women
Bradley W
#135
W
44-22
44
22
+22
H26/02
NCAA Women
Northern Iowa Panthers W
#165
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A28/02
NCAA Women
Murray State W
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H06/03
NCAA Women
Belmont Bruins W
#128
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H07/03
NCAA Women
Evansville W
#318
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H12/03
NCAA Women
68.9Avg total
34.7Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.330.461.6+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.528.961.4+3.650%-
Last 30 away (14)29.932.161.9-2.236%-
Last 10 (10)34.734.268.9+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.234.069.2+1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)29.833.263.0-3.410%-
vs Similar (7)30.730.661.3+0.143%-
vs Weaker (13)32.728.160.8+4.669%-
This opponent (Ohio State W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ohio State W wins
0
UIC W wins
No previous meetings.
Ohio State Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/26HNotre Dame W73-83
21/03/26HHoward W75-54
07/03/26AUCLA W62-72
06/03/26AMinnesota W60-55
05/03/26HIndiana W83-59
01/03/26AMichigan State W87-68
26/02/26HMichigan Wolverines W86-88 OT
22/02/26HUSC Trojans W88-83
19/02/26AMinnesota W61-74
15/02/26HMaryland W75-76
UIC Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26HEvansville W71-76
07/03/26HBelmont Bruins W70-78 OT
06/03/26HMurray State W76-78
28/02/26ANorthern Iowa Panthers W68-82
26/02/26HBradley W66-53
22/02/26ADrake W69-61
20/02/26AIndiana State Sycamores W95-80
15/02/26AMurray State W77-79
14/02/26ABelmont Bruins W56-71
07/02/26HEvansville W68-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohio State W
NCAA Women 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
UIC W
NCAA Women 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMKC W110100%120.040.0+80.0
2 Yale Bulldogs W110100%111.038.0+73.0
3 Louisville W110100%119.047.0+72.0
4 Oakland W110100%104.032.0+72.0
5 South Carolina State W110100%112.042.0+70.0
6 Longwood W110100%96.027.0+69.0
7 Utah Tech W110100%107.039.0+68.0
8 UTRGV W110100%114.047.0+67.0
9 UConn W110100%100.035.0+65.0
10 Western Carolina W110100%96.031.0+65.0
11 Detroit Titans W110100%94.030.0+64.0
12 UMBC Retrievers W110100%92.029.0+63.0
13 George Washington W110100%84.023.0+61.0
14 Samford Bulldogs W110100%102.042.0+60.0
15 New Haven Chargers W110100%103.044.0+59.0
16 Vanderbilt W110100%112.053.0+59.0
17 Vermont W110100%96.037.0+59.0
18 St. John's (N.Y.) W110100%95.037.0+58.0
19 Central Arkansas W110100%97.040.0+57.0
20 Morgan State W110100%103.047.0+56.0
21 Tulane Green Wave W110100%92.038.0+54.0
22 Army W110100%81.028.0+53.0
23 Bryant University W110100%75.025.0+50.0
24 Charleston W110100%92.043.0+49.0
25 New Hampshire Wildcats W110100%87.041.0+46.0
26 Virginia Tech W110100%85.039.0+46.0
27 Montana State W110100%82.038.0+44.0
28 Oklahoma State W110100%81.039.0+42.0
29 Ole Miss W110100%80.038.0+42.0
30 Virginia Cavaliers W110100%87.045.0+42.0
31 Chattanooga Mocs W110100%85.044.0+41.0
32 East Texas A&M Lions W110100%81.040.0+41.0
33 William & Mary W110100%89.048.0+41.0
34 Georgia W110100%92.053.0+39.0
35 Butler W110100%108.071.0+37.0
36 Boise State W110100%84.048.0+36.0
37 Jacksonville St. W110100%75.039.0+36.0
38 Northern Kentucky Norse W110100%84.049.0+35.0
39 Stony Brook W110100%73.039.0+34.0
40 Oregon W110100%87.054.0+33.0
41 USC Trojans W110100%100.068.0+32.0
42 Florida State W110100%81.051.0+30.0
43 Fordham W110100%70.040.0+30.0
44 Kennesaw State W110100%72.042.0+30.0
45 NC State W110100%80.050.0+30.0
46 Nebraska Cornhuskers W110100%81.054.0+27.0
47 South Florida W110100%80.054.0+26.0
48 Southern Mississippi W110100%85.059.0+26.0
49 Idaho Vandals W110100%71.047.0+24.0
50 Notre Dame W110100%99.075.0+24.0
51 UMass Lowell W110100%77.053.0+24.0
52 Florida Gators W110100%83.060.0+23.0
53 Monmouth W110100%63.040.0+23.0
54 Iona W110100%76.054.0+22.0
55 Clemson W110100%68.047.0+21.0
56 Minnesota W110100%82.062.0+20.0
57 UCLA W110100%73.053.0+20.0
58 Utah State W110100%61.045.0+16.0
59 Washington W110100%79.063.0+16.0
60 Austin Peay W110100%62.047.0+15.0
61 Drexel W110100%62.047.0+15.0
62 Georgia Tech W110100%80.065.0+15.0
63 Stanford Cardinal W110100%84.069.0+15.0
64 Coastal Carolina W110100%68.054.0+14.0
65 Mcneese State W110100%65.053.0+12.0
66 Oklahoma Sooners W110100%91.079.0+12.0
67 Coppin State W110100%80.069.0+11.0
68 Siena W110100%82.071.0+11.0
69 Winthrop W110100%57.046.0+11.0
70 Holy Cross W110100%64.054.0+10.0
71 Houston Cougars W110100%73.065.0+8.0
72 South Carolina W110100%101.093.0+8.0
73 Wake Forest W110100%65.058.0+7.0
74 Columbia W110100%71.065.0+6.0
75 NJIT W110100%50.045.0+5.0
76 Marshall Thundering W110100%74.070.0+4.0
77 Old Dominion W110100%62.058.0+4.0
78 Buffalo W110100%82.081.0+1.0
79 Cleveland State W110100%62.061.0+1.0
80 Seattle U Redhawks W110100%63.062.0+1.0
81 South Alabama W110100%75.074.0+1.0
82 Virginia State W110100%63.062.0+1.0
83 Akron W1010%74.075.0-1.0
84 Georgia State W1010%81.082.0-1.0
85 New Mexico W1010%62.063.0-1.0
86 Norfolk State W1010%62.063.0-1.0
87 Penn State W1010%61.062.0-1.0
88 Central Michigan W1010%58.062.0-4.0
89 UMass W1010%70.074.0-4.0
90 Rider Broncs W1010%45.050.0-5.0
91 Davidson W1010%65.071.0-6.0
92 South Carolina Upstate W1010%58.065.0-7.0
93 Hampton W1010%65.073.0-8.0
94 Maryland W1010%93.0101.0-8.0
95 Boston College W1010%54.064.0-10.0
96 Brown Bears W1010%71.082.0-11.0
97 Cheyney Wolves W1010%69.080.0-11.0
98 Newberry W1010%46.057.0-11.0
99 North Carolina W1010%79.091.0-12.0
100 Texas A&M-Kingsville W1010%53.065.0-12.0
101 Western Michigan W1010%54.068.0-14.0
102 Arizona Wildcats W1010%69.084.0-15.0
103 Campbell Fighting Camels W1010%47.062.0-15.0
104 Hofstra W1010%65.080.0-15.0
105 Marist W1010%47.062.0-15.0
106 UC San Diego Tritons W1010%63.079.0-16.0
107 Westminster UT W1010%45.061.0-16.0
108 Harvard Crimson W1010%62.082.0-20.0
109 Lehigh W1010%53.073.0-20.0
110 Radford W1010%47.068.0-21.0
111 Dominican Chargers W1010%54.076.0-22.0
112 Binghamton W1010%40.063.0-23.0
113 Bucknell W1010%60.083.0-23.0
114 St. Anselm Hawks W1010%53.077.0-24.0
115 St. Martin's W1010%47.071.0-24.0
116 Villanova W1010%75.099.0-24.0
117 Furman Paladins W1010%54.080.0-26.0
118 Mississippi Christian W1010%59.085.0-26.0
119 San Jose State W1010%54.081.0-27.0
120 Merrimack Warriors W1010%51.081.0-30.0
121 Niagara W1010%40.070.0-30.0
122 Shorter W1010%42.072.0-30.0
123 Wofford W1010%50.080.0-30.0
124 UNLV Lady Rebels W1010%68.0100.0-32.0
125 Hawaii W1010%54.087.0-33.0
126 Molloy W1010%39.073.0-34.0
127 Defiance College1010%49.084.0-35.0
128 Bushnell W1010%48.084.0-36.0
129 Oglethorpe W1010%39.075.0-36.0
130 Tennessee Tech W1010%71.0108.0-37.0
131 West Georgia W1010%53.092.0-39.0
132 Chowan W1010%48.089.0-41.0
133 Oklahoma Christian W1010%40.081.0-41.0
134 Virginia-Wise W1010%44.085.0-41.0
135 Alcorn State W1010%38.080.0-42.0
136 Md.-East. Shore W1010%45.087.0-42.0
137 Southern Jaguars W1010%39.081.0-42.0
138 Black Hills W1010%38.082.0-44.0
139 N. Carolina Central W1010%39.085.0-46.0
140 New England Pilgrims W1010%41.087.0-46.0
141 Berry Vikings W1010%43.092.0-49.0
142 MIT Engineers W1010%25.075.0-50.0
143 St. Thomas Aquinas W1010%28.081.0-53.0
144 Texas W1010%38.092.0-54.0
145 Washington Adventist W1010%47.0103.0-56.0
146 Hendrix College W1010%40.097.0-57.0
147 Lafayette W1010%37.095.0-58.0
148 Keene State W1010%37.096.0-59.0
149 Lipscomb Bisons W1010%53.0112.0-59.0
150 Mitchell W1010%44.0103.0-59.0
151 Montevallo Falcons W1010%42.0102.0-60.0
152 District of Columbia W1010%23.084.0-61.0
153 Stevenson W1010%29.092.0-63.0
154 Michigan-Dearborn W1010%30.094.0-64.0
155 Carolina University W1010%31.096.0-65.0
156 Cornell W1010%35.0100.0-65.0
157 Arlington Baptist Patriots W1010%47.0114.0-67.0
158 Life Pacific W1010%39.0107.0-68.0
159 Apprentice Builders W1010%27.096.0-69.0
160 Trinity College of Jacksonville W1010%42.0112.0-70.0
161 Bellarmine W1010%47.0119.0-72.0
162 Cleary University W1010%32.0104.0-72.0
163 Elms College W1010%38.0111.0-73.0
164 Baker Wildcats W1010%40.0120.0-80.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 164 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ohio State W2723181381
UIC W7616534
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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