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Ohio vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 69-57
32-15 37-42
Position#241
Record13-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game77.8
Ohio 🏆
USA
vs
Position#288
Record8-17
FormLLWLL
Points / game66.4
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ohio v Ball State
17 Feb 2026
OHIO69
BALL57
14 Jan 2025
OHIO86
BALL71
10 Jan 2023
OHIO76
BALL71
10 Mar 2022
OHIO77
BALL67
01 Feb 2022
OHIO87
BALL63
23 Jan 2021
OHIO85
BALL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OhioUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#180
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H10/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
85-101
85
101
-16
A14/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A17/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H21/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
65-86
65
86
-21
H24/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A28/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
95-83
95
83
+12
A31/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H04/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-47
47-33
50-52
35-49
31-44
40-32
32-30
48-47
26-48
39-38
24-28
33-44
46-31
49-52
44-28
47-43
35-40
37-38
35-43
39-47
159.5Avg total
78.1Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)77.677.8155.4-0.250%
Season at home (16)79.674.8154.4+4.962%
Season away (10)74.382.7157.0-8.430%
Last 10 (10)78.181.4159.5-3.340%
Last 5 (5)77.878.8156.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.084.4155.4-13.418%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.176.0156.1+4.167%
vs Weaker (6)82.376.5158.8+5.850%
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass
#189
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A10/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A14/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H17/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A21/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A31/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
52-77
52
77
-25
A04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A07/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H12/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-28
46-51
34-43
43-44
44-31
32-40
33-20
35-47
29-22
29-31
27-39
28-34
27-40
25-37
36-27
37-41
27-30
26-33
31-40
37-35
136.4Avg total
65.1Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)66.470.0136.4-3.732%
Season at home (12)71.565.9137.4+5.650%
Season away (13)61.673.8135.5-12.215%
Last 10 (10)65.171.3136.4-6.240%
Last 5 (5)60.271.2131.4-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)66.779.7146.4-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)63.470.5133.9-7.223%
vs Weaker (5)67.663.0130.6+4.680%
This opponent (Ohio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: -5.5-5.5
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: -5.5-5.5
OhioBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
OhioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#180
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H10/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A14/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A17/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H21/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H24/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A28/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A31/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H04/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A08/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A14/02
NCAA
75.8Avg total
36.7Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.237.874.0-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.335.873.1+1.661%-
Last 30 away (12)34.540.875.2-6.217%-
Last 10 (10)36.739.175.8-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.834.070.8+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.442.376.6-7.918%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.835.571.2+0.258%-
vs Weaker (6)37.834.772.5+3.250%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass
#189
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A14/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H17/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
33-20
33
20
+13
A21/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H24/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A31/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A07/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H12/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H14/02
NCAA
63.3Avg total
31.3Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.532.664.1-1.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.532.467.9+3.147%-
Last 30 away (15)27.632.760.3-5.120%-
Last 10 (10)31.332.063.3-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)29.635.264.8-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)30.839.670.4-8.810%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)30.230.660.8-0.531%-
vs Weaker (5)33.229.462.6+3.860%-
This opponent (Ohio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Ohio wins
2
Ball State wins
DateGameScore
17/01/26Ball State v Ohio76-71
15/01/25Ohio v Ball State86-71
07/02/24Ball State v Ohio79-84 OT
09/03/23Ball State v Ohio70-90
11/01/23Ohio v Ball State76-71
10/03/22Ohio v Ball State77-67
02/02/22Ohio v Ball State87-63
23/01/21Ohio v Ball State85-77
02/01/21Ball State v Ohio68-78
01/02/20Ball State v Ohio65-54
Ohiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AMiami (Ohio)74-90
08/02/26AOld Dominion72-78
04/02/26HWestern Michigan91-71
31/01/26ABuffalo95-83
28/01/26AKent State57-72
24/01/26HAkron65-86
21/01/26HNorthern Illinois80-77
17/01/26ABall State71-76
14/01/26AToledo85-101
10/01/26HBuffalo91-80
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HKent State68-75
12/02/26HBuffalo53-63
07/02/26ALouisiana Monroe73-68
04/02/26ABowling Green52-77
31/01/26AToledo55-73
24/01/26HNorthern Illinois58-53
21/01/26ACentral Michigan68-67
17/01/26HOhio76-71
14/01/26AAkron77-87
10/01/26AUMass71-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohio
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %50%62%30%
Points / game77.679.674.3
Allowed / game77.874.882.7
Point differential-0.2+4.9-8.4
Avg total155.4154.4157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%31%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %4%6%0%
Ball State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL32%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLWLLW15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %32%50%15%
Points / game66.471.561.6
Allowed / game70.065.973.8
Point differential-3.7+5.6-12.2
Avg total136.4137.4135.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)25250100%92.674.3+18.3
2 Akron2520580%89.974.9+15.0
3 Kent State2618869%85.780.3+5.4
4 Bowling Green26161062%82.370.2+12.2
5 UMass26151158%81.076.7+4.3
6 Buffalo26151158%78.374.7+3.6
7 Toledo26131350%80.877.6+3.2
8 Ohio26131350%77.677.8-0.2
9 Eastern Michigan27101737%71.072.7-1.7
10 Western Michigan2591636%74.879.3-4.5
11 Northern Illinois2591636%71.176.2-5.2
12 Ball State2581732%66.470.0-3.7
13 Central Michigan2681831%73.276.9-3.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ohio323769
Ball State154257
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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