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Oldenburg vs Frankfurt Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Projected 83-82
Projected total 165.6
Scheduled
Position#12
Record4-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game83.4
Vs
53%
47%
■ OLD 53%■ FRA 47%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.4/10
Below normal
6.1/10
Above normal
Position#6
Record4-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game85.6
GermanyBBLRound 10· Gro
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Oldenburg v Frankfurt
21 Nov 2026
OLD v FRA
upcoming
28 Sep 2025
OLD75
FRA89
16 Nov 2024
OLD102
FRA92
14 Feb 2023
OLD87
FRA79
18 Apr 2022
OLD69
FRA88
21 Nov 2020
OLD86
FRA69
11 Feb 2020
OLD85
FRA81
27 Oct 2018
OLD91
FRA69
01 May 2018
OLD74
FRA90
21 Jan 2017
OLD71
FRA64
07 Oct 2015
OLD82
FRA80
21 Feb 2015
OLD81
FRA83
09 Feb 2014
OLD68
FRA66
08 Dec 2012
OLD63
FRA61
07 Apr 2012
OLD67
FRA75
02 Oct 2010
OLD70
FRA67
15 Oct 2009
OLD63
FRA61
24 May 2009
OLD61
FRA50
17 May 2009
OLD79
FRA69
16 Apr 2009
OLD66
FRA58
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Oldenburg host Frankfurt in the BBL. Pythia makes Oldenburg the favourite at 53% and projects 83-82, about 166 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Oldenburg are 4-5 this season (74.7 scored, 83.4 allowed a game), form LLLWL; Frankfurt are 4-3 this season (87.0 scored, 85.6 allowed a game), form WLLLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oldenburg win
52.5%fair 1.90
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Frankfurt win
47.5%fair 2.11
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OldenburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOldenburg
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
67-77
67
77
-10
54avg 73
A10/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#5
W
96-81
96
81
+15
95avg 73
H20/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
77-68
77
68
+9
68avg 73
A25/09
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
75-74
75
74
+1
71avg 73
H27/09
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
60-113
60
113
-53
44avg 73
A04/10
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#17
L
78-87
78
87
-9
70avg 73
H10/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
L
70-80
70
80
-10
62avg 73
H23/10
BBL
Ulm
#11
L
65-81
65
81
-16
55avg 73
A31/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#7
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
A08/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#8
L
77-95
77
95
-18
no box
H14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
16-20
15-19
16-19
27-25
27-16
14-22
28-18
21-12
19-21
13-21
24-14
8-19
15-27
28-12
24-16
18-17
13-40
18-32
11-24
20-29
19-24
18-13
21-21
24-25
15-12
25-23
6-20
20-18
12-26
20-16
13-21
22-19
22-20
15-20
15-13
18-23
11-28
17-31
31-13
156.7Avg total
73.9Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.783.4158.1-8.844%
Season at home (5)79.283.4162.6-4.240%
Season away (4)69.083.5152.5-14.550%
Last 10 (10)73.982.8156.7-8.940%
Last 5 (5)72.883.0155.8-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.285.7158.8-12.533%
vs Similar (12)84.685.8170.3-1.258%
vs Weaker (6)86.283.8170.0+2.367%
This opponent (Frankfurt) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrankfurtGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFrankfurt
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#19
W
79-71
79
71
+8
69avg 72
H06/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#15
W
89-78
89
78
+11
80avg 72
H11/10
BBL
London Lions
#9
W
81-76
81
76
+5
75avg 72
A15/10
Eurocup
Tenerife
#5
L
94-104
94
104
-10
93avg 72
H21/10
Eurocup
Cluj-Napoca
#29
W
113-97
113
97
+16
110avg 72
H27/10
Eurocup
Jena
#18
W
93-82
93
82
+11
90avg 72
A30/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#16
L
78-98
78
98
-20
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
A08/11
BBL
Maxima Roma
#11
L
89-113
89
113
-24
no box
H12/11
Eurocup
Trier
#2
L
85-99
85
99
-14
no box
H15/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-13
16-22
21-17
30-19
27-24
15-19
26-19
21-16
21-18
24-18
18-22
18-18
22-14
21-17
23-43
28-30
30-29
32-22
28-22
23-24
22-29
28-24
14-8
29-21
17-24
28-27
19-22
14-25
21-20
24-16
19-20
9-21
14-28
27-36
26-26
22-23
26-18
18-28
20-28
21-25
176.9Avg total
87.4Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.085.6172.6+1.457%
Season at home (3)89.086.0175.0+3.067%
Season away (4)85.585.2170.8+0.250%
Last 10 (10)87.489.5176.9-2.150%
Last 5 (5)83.693.8177.4-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.492.1168.5-15.814%
vs Similar (11)82.887.4170.2-4.527%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)96.285.2181.4+11.0100%
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1201%1252%1303%1354%1406%1459%15011%15512%16012%16511%17010%1757%1805%1853%1902%1951%2001%2050%210
0%1202%1304%1409%15012%16011%1707%1803%1901%2000%210
Pythia expects about 166 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 160-164 (12%).
Over/Under 164
Over 164
53.1%
Under 164
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169
Over 169
41.1%
Under 169
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 174
Over 174
30.1%
Under 174
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Oldenburg total 82.5
Over 82.5
52.4%
Under 82.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oldenburg total 86.5
Over 86.5
38.0%
Under 86.5
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oldenburg total 90.5
Over 90.5
25.2%
Under 90.5
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frankfurt total 78
Over 78
66.1%
Under 78
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frankfurt total 82
Over 82
51.3%
Under 82
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frankfurt total 86
Over 86
36.4%
Under 86
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-331%-301%-272%-242%-214%-185%-156%-128%-99%-69%-36%+010%+39%+68%+96%+125%+153%+182%+212%+241%+270%+300%+33
0%-331%-272%-215%-158%-99%-310%+38%+95%+152%+211%+270%+33
Margin from Oldenburg's side (positive = Oldenburg win). Pythia's expected margin is +0.8; Oldenburg win by 1+ in 46% of simulations.
Spread Oldenburg -3
OLD -3
44.4%
FRA +3
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
OLD
No market prices yet.
FRA
No market prices yet.
Spread Oldenburg 0
OLD 0
52.5%
FRA 0
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
OLD
No market prices yet.
FRA
No market prices yet.
Spread Oldenburg +3
OLD +3
60.7%
FRA -3
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
OLD
No market prices yet.
FRA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
OldenburgFrankfurt
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OldenburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A10/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#5
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H20/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A25/09
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
23-46
23
46
-23
H27/09
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A04/10
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#17
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H10/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H23/10
BBL
Ulm
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A31/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A08/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#8
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H14/11
BBL
80.7Avg total
36.7Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.344.583.8-5.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.944.686.5-2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)36.644.481.0-7.813%-
Last 10 (10)36.744.080.7-7.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.644.881.4-8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.943.480.3-6.533%-
vs Similar (12)39.746.686.2-6.933%-
vs Weaker (6)43.242.585.7+0.733%-
This opponent (Frankfurt) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrankfurtLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#19
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H06/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#15
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/10
BBL
London Lions
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A15/10
Eurocup
Tenerife
#5
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H21/10
Eurocup
Cluj-Napoca
#29
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H27/10
Eurocup
Jena
#18
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A30/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#16
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A04/11
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A08/11
BBL
Maxima Roma
#11
L
41-64
41
64
-23
H12/11
Eurocup
Trier
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H15/11
BBL
89.1Avg total
44.5Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.042.383.4-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.842.883.6-2.044%-
Last 30 away (14)41.341.883.1-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)44.544.689.1-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)45.050.095.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.043.583.5-3.543%-
vs Similar (11)39.440.079.4-0.645%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)47.644.291.8+3.460%-
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oldenburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oldenburg: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.8
52.4%
55.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.6
35.1%
33.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.712.3
65.8%
73.4%12.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Frankfurttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Frankfurt: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.9
53.9%
55.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.1
38.4%
33.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.916.9
80.9%
73.4%16.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oldenburg
LWLLLLWWWL
Frankfurt
LLLLWWLWWW
#12
League position
#6
-7.3
Net rating
+1.7
91.7
Offensive rating
101.3
99.0
Defensive rating
99.5
52.5%
Effective FG%
55.4%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
17.4%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.1%
3-point %
38.4%
57.4%
Assist %
55.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence91.7 · 101.3Defence99.0 · 99.5Shooting52.5% · 55.4%3-point %35.1% · 38.4%Ball care17.4% · 13.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Oldenburg   ■ Frankfurt
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Oldenburg wins
5
Frankfurt wins
DateGameScore
15/03/26Frankfurt v Oldenburg73-79
28/09/25Oldenburg v Frankfurt75-89
09/04/25Frankfurt v Oldenburg83-72
16/11/24Oldenburg v Frankfurt102-92 OT
12/10/24Frankfurt v Oldenburg85-79
14/02/23Oldenburg v Frankfurt87-79
06/11/22Frankfurt v Oldenburg70-77
18/04/22Oldenburg v Frankfurt69-88
09/02/22Frankfurt v Oldenburg103-110
03/10/21Frankfurt v Oldenburg75-67
Oldenburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HAlba Berlin77-95
08/11/26ALudwigsburg74-72
31/10/26AUlm65-81
23/10/26HBamberg70-80
10/10/26HPhoenix Hagen78-87
04/10/26ABayern60-113
27/09/26HHamburg75-74
25/09/26AWurzburg77-68
20/09/26HSyntainics MBC96-81
10/05/26ABayern67-77
Frankfurtlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HTrier85-99
12/11/26HMaxima Roma89-113
08/11/26ASyntainics MBC73-77
04/11/26ATurk Telekom78-98
30/10/26AJena93-82
27/10/26HCluj-Napoca113-97
21/10/26HTenerife94-104
15/10/26ALondon Lions81-76
11/10/26HHamburg89-78
06/10/26HSiauliai79-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oldenburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL44%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game74.779.269.0
Allowed / game83.483.483.5
Point differential-8.8-4.2-14.5
Avg total158.1162.6152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Frankfurt
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game87.089.085.5
Allowed / game85.686.085.2
Point differential+1.4+3.0+0.2
Avg total172.6175.0170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern98189%95.469.1+26.3
2 Trier87188%98.586.0+12.5
3 Rostock96367%89.381.6+7.8
4 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
5 Syntainics MBC96367%83.881.3+2.4
6 Frankfurt74357%87.085.6+1.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Chemnitz93633%89.888.8+1.0
14 Vechta93633%85.090.2-5.2
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Basketball Braunschweig93633%85.298.1-12.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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