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Ole Miss vs Samford Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 73-75
42-36 31-39
Position#263
Record8-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game62.4
vs
Samford 🏆
USA
Position#91
Record9-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game72.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ole Miss winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ole MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston Southern
#350
W
93-68
93
68
+25
H13/11
NCAA
Marquette
#134
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H19/11
NCAA
Elon
#313
W
74-56
74
56
+18
A20/11
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H21/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#364
W
73-58
73
58
+15
H26/11
NCAA
Rider
#248
W
75-51
75
51
+24
H01/12
NCAA
Memphis
#78
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H04/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#129
L
48-71
48
71
-23
H12/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#65
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H16/12
NCAA
Dayton
#63
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-24
56-44
36-31
36-47
37-21
37-35
27-21
23-39
33-38
40-20
31-25
44-26
30-26
37-37
19-34
29-37
27-24
35-28
34-24
42-44
131.5Avg total
69.0Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)70.262.4132.5+7.873%
Season at home (10)69.863.0132.8+6.870%
Season away (1)74.056.0130.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)69.062.5131.5+6.570%
Last 5 (5)65.661.0126.6+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)60.364.7125.0-4.350%
vs Similar ◀ (9)66.463.9130.3+2.644%
vs Weaker (14)72.563.8136.3+8.779%
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spring Hill
#526
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H12/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
L
55-77
55
77
-22
A16/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#361
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A19/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#280
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A26/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#303
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H27/11
NCAA
Mississippi Coll.
#435
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H01/12
NCAA
Belmont
#24
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H05/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#308
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A09/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#268
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H12/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#253
W
85-84
85
84
+1
H19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
50-35
36-34
26-34
29-43
42-32
36-45
38-30
39-45
50-40
33-35
45-27
38-31
25-46
48-39
37-29
37-35
25-29
27-21
46-41
39-43
146.0Avg total
74.6Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.872.0148.8+4.882%
Season at home (7)80.171.3151.4+8.986%
Season away (4)71.073.2144.2-2.275%
Last 10 (10)74.671.4146.0+3.280%
Last 5 (5)73.468.2141.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)70.681.3151.9-10.714%
vs Similar ◀ (8)76.876.4153.1+0.462%
vs Weaker (6)81.268.5149.7+12.7100%
This opponent (Ole Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: -0.9-0.9
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: -0.9-0.9
Ole MissSamford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ole MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston Southern
#350
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H13/11
NCAA
Marquette
#134
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H19/11
NCAA
Elon
#313
W
37-21
37
21
+16
A20/11
NCAA
Boise State
#31
W
27-21
27
21
+6
H21/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#364
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H26/11
NCAA
Rider
#248
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H01/12
NCAA
Memphis
#78
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H04/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#129
L
19-34
19
34
-15
H12/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#65
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H16/12
NCAA
Dayton
#63
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H18/12
NCAA
57.9Avg total
31.1Scored
26.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.629.360.9+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (20)31.628.760.2+2.970%-
Last 30 away (10)31.830.462.2+1.440%-
Last 10 (10)31.126.857.9+4.380%-
Last 5 (5)28.226.654.8+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)27.027.754.7-0.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)29.629.859.3-0.244%-
vs Weaker (14)34.629.864.4+4.864%-
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spring Hill
#526
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H12/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A16/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#361
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A19/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#280
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A26/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#303
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H27/11
NCAA
Mississippi Coll.
#435
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H01/12
NCAA
Belmont
#24
L
25-46
25
46
-21
H05/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#308
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A09/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#268
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H12/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#253
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H19/12
NCAA
72.7Avg total
38.4Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.135.074.1+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.634.477.0+8.275%-
Last 30 away (14)35.135.770.9-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)38.434.372.7+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)35.634.470.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.636.570.1-2.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.034.876.8+7.288%-
vs Weaker (6)42.833.075.8+9.883%-
This opponent (Ole Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ole Miss wins
0
Samford wins
No previous meetings.
Ole Misslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/21HDayton76-68
16/12/21HMiddle Tenn. St.62-52
12/12/21HWestern Kentucky48-71
04/12/21HMemphis67-63
01/12/21HRider75-51
26/11/21HMiss. Valley St.73-58
21/11/21HBoise State50-60
20/11/21AElon74-56
19/11/21HMarquette72-78
13/11/21HCharleston Southern93-68
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/21HKennesaw State85-84
12/12/21HAlabama A&M Bulldogs52-50
09/12/21AAlabama State74-64
05/12/21HBelmont73-85
01/12/21HMississippi Coll.83-58
27/11/21HMcNeese State83-75
26/11/21AN. Carolina A&T77-75
19/11/21AOregon State78-77
16/11/21ASan Francisco55-77
12/11/21HSpring Hill86-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ole Miss
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11101
Win %73%70%100%
Points / game70.269.874.0
Allowed / game62.463.056.0
Point differential+7.8+6.8+18.0
Avg total132.5132.8130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samford
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW82%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %82%86%75%
Points / game76.880.171.0
Allowed / game72.071.373.2
Point differential+4.8+8.9-2.2
Avg total148.8151.4144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LSU11110100%78.253.5+24.6
2 Auburn1110191%82.065.5+16.5
3 Oklahoma119282%75.060.4+14.6
4 Alabama119282%83.472.8+10.5
5 Arkansas119282%81.571.1+10.5
6 Tennessee108280%78.557.9+20.6
7 Kentucky108280%82.162.2+19.9
8 Texas108280%71.953.5+18.4
9 Texas A&M108280%72.462.2+10.2
10 Florida118373%72.859.7+13.1
11 Mississippi St.118373%73.361.3+12.0
12 Ole Miss118373%70.262.4+7.8
13 South Carolina118373%72.665.3+7.4
14 Vanderbilt106460%70.260.7+9.5
15 Missouri116555%67.968.0-0.1
16 Georgia115645%69.570.8-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford119282%76.872.0+4.8
2 Chattanooga Mocs129375%77.862.7+15.2
3 Wofford128467%78.164.3+13.8
4 NC Greensboro128467%64.464.1+0.3
5 Citadel106460%82.770.7+12.0
6 VMI127558%79.465.7+13.8
7 Furman127558%80.575.2+5.3
8 Mercer127558%72.369.8+2.5
9 East Tennessee St127558%69.768.7+1.0
10 Western Carolina126650%76.375.8+0.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ole Miss423173
Samford363975
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