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Onsala W vs Sodertalje W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 71-78
19-14 17-20 15-24 20-20
Position#4
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game60.2
Onsala W
Sweden
Vs
71%
29%
■ ONSA 71%■ SODE 29%
Pythia win probability
Projected 79-72
Projected total 151.3
Sodertalje W 🏆
Sweden
Position#5
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game68.5
SwedenBasketligan WRound 5· Kollahallen
Women2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Onsala W host Sodertalje W in the Basketligan W. Pythia makes Onsala W the favourite at 71% and projects 79-72, about 151 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Onsala W are 4-0 this season (92.2 scored, 60.2 allowed a game), form WWWWW; Sodertalje W are 3-1 this season (72.0 scored, 68.5 allowed a game), form LWWWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Onsala W winLost
71.4%fair 1.40
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sodertalje W winWon
28.6%fair 3.49
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Onsala WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Kvarnby Lions W
#4
L
61-63
61
63
-2
40avg 78
A01/02
Basketettan W
Sodertalje 2 W
#5
L
71-75
71
75
-4
62avg 78
A28/02
Basketettan W
Huddinge W
#7
L
65-66
65
66
-1
58avg 78
A01/03
Basketettan W
Nassjo W
#15
W
83-53
83
53
+30
76avg 78
H07/03
Basketettan W
Marbo W
#6
W
92-46
92
46
+46
87avg 78
H20/03
Basketettan W
Lobas W
#21
W
117-45
117
45
+72
119avg 78
A11/04
Basketettan W
Hogsbo W
#11
W
94-50
94
50
+44
61avg 78
H03/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
W
85-63
85
63
+22
78avg 78
A10/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#8
W
90-64
90
64
+26
89avg 78
H17/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
100-64
100
64
+36
92avg 78
A24/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-13
15-14
19-23
15-13
18-19
16-24
20-10
17-22
21-15
18-8
12-20
14-23
16-13
20-10
20-18
27-12
23-14
29-10
28-20
12-2
32-11
27-14
30-4
28-16
19-9
30-13
22-10
23-18
19-24
30-18
13-17
23-4
19-8
17-13
32-26
22-17
28-19
29-22
27-19
16-4
144.7Avg total
85.8Scored
58.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.260.2152.5+32.0100%
Season at home (2)92.057.0149.0+35.0100%
Season away (2)92.563.5156.0+29.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.858.9144.7+26.970%
Last 5 (5)97.257.2154.4+40.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)50.568.5119.0-18.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)85.056.8141.9+28.279%
This opponent (Sodertalje W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sodertalje WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#7
W
66-59
66
59
+7
63avg 71
A11/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
84-69
84
69
+15
90avg 71
H13/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
78-76
78
76
+2
70avg 71
A16/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
57-95
57
95
-38
42avg 71
A21/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
64-73
64
73
-9
55avg 71
H24/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
64-94
64
94
-30
46avg 71
A26/04
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
W
77-74
77
74
+3
53avg 71
A03/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
80-56
80
56
+24
78avg 71
H09/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
W
64-63
64
63
+1
58avg 71
A18/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#1
L
67-81
67
81
-14
58avg 71
H24/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-11
23-8
13-19
8-21
19-9
18-20
24-18
23-22
19-17
25-24
24-17
10-18
14-20
13-21
12-26
18-28
16-18
16-25
23-17
9-13
8-25
21-18
18-29
17-22
18-29
18-16
27-18
14-11
16-12
21-10
22-18
21-16
16-11
14-9
16-23
18-20
24-30
14-18
17-15
12-18
144.1Avg total
70.1Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.068.5140.5+3.575%
Season at home (2)73.568.5142.0+5.050%
Season away (2)70.568.5139.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)70.174.0144.1-3.960%
Last 5 (5)70.473.6144.0-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)64.483.6148.0-19.114%
vs Similar (15)78.871.4150.2+7.467%
vs Weaker (8)88.060.0148.0+28.088%
This opponent (Onsala W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 144.5Actual: Over 144.5
Over 144.5
65.5%
Under 144.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 149.5Actual: Under 149.5
Over 149.5
53.7%
Under 149.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 154.5Actual: Under 154.5
Over 154.5
41.6%
Under 154.5
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Onsala W total 72.5Actual: Onsala W under 72.5
Over 72.5
73.4%
Under 72.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Onsala W total 76.5Actual: Onsala W under 76.5
Over 76.5
59.1%
Under 76.5
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Onsala W total 80.5Actual: Onsala W under 80.5
Over 80.5
43.4%
Under 80.5
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sodertalje W total 69Actual: Sodertalje W over 69
Over 69
63.2%
Under 69
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sodertalje W total 73Actual: Sodertalje W over 73
Over 73
47.3%
Under 73
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sodertalje W total 77Actual: Sodertalje W over 77
Over 77
32.0%
Under 77
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Onsala W -3Actual: Sodertalje W +3
ONSA -3
63.6%
SODE +3
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
ONSA
No market prices yet.
SODE
No market prices yet.
Spread Onsala W 0Actual: Sodertalje W 0
ONSA 0
71.4%
SODE 0
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
ONSA
No market prices yet.
SODE
No market prices yet.
Spread Onsala W +3Actual: Sodertalje W -3
ONSA +3
78.8%
SODE -3
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
ONSA
No market prices yet.
SODE
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +8.5+8.5Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +6.6+6.6Q4: -3.9-3.9
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +8.5+8.5Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +6.6+6.6Q4: -3.9-3.9
Onsala WSodertalje W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Onsala WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarnby Lions W
#4
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A01/02
Basketettan W
Sodertalje 2 W
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A28/02
Basketettan W
Huddinge W
#7
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A01/03
Basketettan W
Nassjo W
#15
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H07/03
Basketettan W
Marbo W
#6
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H20/03
Basketettan W
Lobas W
#21
W
59-25
59
25
+34
A11/04
Basketettan W
Hogsbo W
#11
W
49-22
49
22
+27
H03/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A10/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#8
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H17/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A24/10
Basketligan W
72.9Avg total
43.8Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.029.170.1+11.972%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.626.568.1+15.187%-
Last 30 away (14)40.431.972.2+8.557%-
Last 10 (10)43.829.172.9+14.780%-
Last 5 (5)50.030.280.2+19.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)26.538.565.0-12.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)42.128.470.4+13.778%-
This opponent (Sodertalje W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sodertalje WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#7
W
45-19
45
19
+26
A11/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H13/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A16/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A21/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H24/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A26/04
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A03/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H09/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
W
30-20
30
20
+10
A18/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H24/10
Basketligan W
70.6Avg total
35.5Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.035.175.1+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.635.175.7+5.569%-
Last 30 away (17)39.535.274.6+4.359%-
Last 10 (10)35.535.170.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.035.669.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.641.073.6-8.414%-
vs Similar (15)40.735.375.9+5.467%-
vs Weaker (8)45.129.874.9+15.4100%-
This opponent (Onsala W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Onsala Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Onsala W: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.023.1
51.3%
47.9%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.27.4
27.2%
30.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.614.6
67.6%
70.8%14.6
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sodertalje Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sodertalje W: 67.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.118.8
45.7%
47.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.35.9
30.6%
30.3%17.7
🏀 Free throws15.512.4
80.0%
70.8%12.4
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Onsala W
WWWWWWWLLL
Sodertalje W
LWWWLLLWWW
#4
League position
#5
+28.5
Net rating
-5.1
86.2
Offensive rating
84.2
57.8
Defensive rating
89.3
47.4%
Effective FG%
45.8%
36.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
18.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
27.2%
3-point %
30.6%
64.3%
Assist %
63.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence86.2 · 84.2Defence57.8 · 89.3Shooting47.4% · 45.8%3-point %27.2% · 30.6%Ball care18.9% · 16.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Onsala W   ■ Sodertalje W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Onsala W wins
0
Sodertalje W wins
No previous meetings.
Onsala Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ABrahe W100-64
17/10/26HVisby W90-64
10/10/26AOstersund W85-63
03/10/26HHogsbo W94-50
11/04/26ALobas W117-45
20/03/26HMarbo W92-46
07/03/26HNassjo W83-53
01/03/26AHuddinge W65-66
28/02/26ASodertalje 2 W71-75
01/02/26AKvarnby Lions W61-63
Sodertalje Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HAlvik W67-81
18/10/26ALulea W64-63
09/10/26HAIK Basket W80-56
03/10/26AUppsala W77-74
26/04/26ALulea W64-94
24/04/26HLulea W64-73
21/04/26ALulea W57-95
16/04/26ANorrkoping W78-76
13/04/26HNorrkoping W84-69
11/04/26ANorrkoping W66-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Onsala W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.292.092.5
Allowed / game60.257.063.5
Point differential+32.0+35.0+29.0
Avg total152.5149.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sodertalje W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game72.073.570.5
Allowed / game68.568.568.5
Point differential+3.5+5.0+2.0
Avg total140.5142.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Onsala W440100%92.260.2+32.0
2 Alvik W440100%83.065.8+17.2
3 Norrkoping W440100%80.266.0+14.2
4 Lulea W54180%99.256.2+43.0
5 Sodertalje W43175%72.068.5+3.5
6 Uppsala W42250%80.072.0+8.0
7 Ostersund W42250%75.882.5-6.8
8 Visby W41325%74.083.0-9.0
9 AIK Basket W41325%65.579.8-14.2
10 Lund W4040%59.875.2-15.5
11 Hogsbo W5050%58.090.0-32.0
12 Brahe W4040%57.0100.2-43.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Onsala W1917152071
Sodertalje W1420242078
← all games of the day
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