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Oregon State vs Cal Poly Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 70-63 (OT)
25-28 24-21 21-14
Position#284
Record4-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#364
Record3-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game68.6
Allowed / game75.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oregon State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oregon StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#260
L
60-83
60
83
-23
H03/03
NCAA
California
#369
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H05/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A09/03
NCAA
Linfield
#465
W
82-46
82
46
+36
H06/11
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
81-80 OT
81
80
+1
H11/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
81-71 OT
81
71
+10
H15/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
63-84
63
84
-21
H18/11
NCAA
Baylor
#58
L
72-88
72
88
-16
H23/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
51-76
51
76
-25
A24/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-40
26-43
28-36
41-30
26-29
31-34
39-22
43-24
32-32
29-29
43-32
20-31
24-44
39-40
26-44
46-44
27-39
24-37
27-32
44-27
140.3Avg total
68.7Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.672.0143.6-0.457%
Season at home (6)75.071.3146.3+3.767%
Season away (1)51.076.0127.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)68.771.6140.3-2.950%
Last 5 (5)67.675.6143.2-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)60.871.0131.8-10.324%
vs Similar (1)57.052.0109.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)71.054.0125.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#197
W
88-68
88
68
+20
A08/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A10/03
NCAA
La Verne
#556
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H07/11
NCAA
Denver
#205
L
76-97
76
97
-21
A10/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A12/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A18/11
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A18/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A20/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
H30/11
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-40
53-28
32-26
22-38
47-33
33-29
33-51
43-46
31-41
35-39
31-22
30-38
22-35
35-38
26-26
32-41
30-38
39-31
30-43
40-42
142.4Avg total
69.1Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)68.675.1143.8-6.538%
Season at home (2)80.569.5150.0+11.0100%
Season away (6)64.777.0141.7-12.317%
Last 10 (10)69.173.3142.4-4.240%
Last 5 (5)65.472.4137.8-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)60.870.0130.8-9.212%
vs Similar (5)59.464.6124.0-5.220%
vs Weaker (1)80.062.0142.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Oregon State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.4-4.41st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.4-4.41st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -0.8-0.8
Oregon StateCal Poly
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Oregon StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#260
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H03/03
NCAA
California
#369
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H05/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A09/03
NCAA
Linfield
#465
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H06/11
NCAA
Troy
#98
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H11/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H15/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H18/11
NCAA
Baylor
#58
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H23/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A24/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H01/12
NCAA
65.6Avg total
30.6Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.833.060.8-5.230%-
Last 30 at home (18)28.632.460.9-3.833%-
Last 30 away (12)26.633.960.5-7.325%-
Last 10 (10)30.635.065.6-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)29.438.267.6-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)27.635.062.6-7.520%-
vs Similar (1)20.018.038.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)31.024.055.0+7.075%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#197
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A08/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A10/03
NCAA
La Verne
#556
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Denver
#205
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A10/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A12/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
W
31-22
31
22
+9
A18/11
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A18/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A20/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H30/11
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A02/12
NCAA
67.2Avg total
31.7Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.331.558.8-4.237%-
Last 30 at home (12)28.230.358.6-2.158%-
Last 30 away (18)26.732.358.9-5.622%-
Last 10 (10)31.735.567.2-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)27.832.860.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)26.732.459.1-5.729%-
vs Similar (5)26.227.053.2-0.860%-
vs Weaker (1)47.033.080.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Oregon State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Oregon State wins
0
Cal Poly wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/23HUC Davis71-59
24/11/23APittsburgh51-76
23/11/23HBaylor72-88
18/11/23HNebraska63-84
15/11/23HAppalachian State81-71 OT
11/11/23HTroy81-80 OT
06/11/23HLinfield82-46
09/03/23AArizona State57-63
05/03/23HCalifornia69-66
03/03/23HStanford60-83
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23AIdaho70-85
30/11/23HSan Jose State81-77 OT
20/11/23ACalifornia Baptist58-67
18/11/23APortland State57-73
18/11/23ASt. Thomas (Minn.)61-60
12/11/23AWyoming66-80
10/11/23ADenver76-97
07/11/23HLa Verne80-62
10/03/23AUC Santa Barbara54-64
08/03/23ALong Beach State88-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oregon State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW57%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %57%67%0%
Points / game71.675.051.0
Allowed / game72.071.376.0
Point differential-0.4+3.7-25.0
Avg total143.6146.3127.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %29%33%0%
Cal Poly
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL38%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %38%100%17%
Points / game68.680.564.7
Allowed / game75.169.577.0
Point differential-6.5+11.0-12.3
Avg total143.8150.0141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gonzaga76186%83.966.3+17.6
2 Washington State76186%79.363.3+16.0
3 Santa Clara97278%79.269.8+9.4
4 San Diego Toreros96367%71.168.7+2.4
5 San Francisco85362%78.161.8+16.4
6 Seattle85362%71.864.1+7.6
7 Oregon State74357%71.672.0-0.4
8 Loyola Marymount95456%77.768.9+8.8
9 Portland95456%79.078.0+1.0
10 Pacific94544%66.674.9-8.3
11 Pepperdine104640%74.274.0+0.2
12 St. Marys (CA)83538%69.961.0+8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii65183%79.368.7+10.7
2 UC Irvine96367%78.166.8+11.3
3 UC Santa Barbara64267%79.774.3+5.3
4 CS Northridge85362%79.070.5+8.5
5 Long Beach State95456%76.977.3-0.4
6 UC San Diego84450%76.070.0+6.0
7 CS Fullerton84450%70.168.6+1.5
8 UC Riverside94544%70.070.2-0.2
9 CSU Bakersfield73443%64.670.7-6.1
10 UC Davis52340%66.869.8-3.0
11 Cal Poly83538%68.675.1-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Oregon State25242170
Cal Poly28211463
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